Ucf Knights vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Predictions January 27th 2026

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The UCF Knights return home to Orlando to host the Arizona State Sun Devils in a Big 12 vs Pac-12 style clash. UCF has been boosted by the return of Jamichael Stillwell, adding leadership and balance to a lineup already led by Riley Kugel and Themus Fulks. Arizona State, meanwhile, leans heavily on Maurice Odum’s scoring and playmaking as they try to steady themselves after a rough stretch. With the Knights favored at home, this matchup highlights a battle between a team regaining its full strength and another searching for consistency.

Line Movement and Odds

UCF enters as the favorite, but Arizona State’s offensive firepower makes this line worth monitoring. Current market:

  • UCF Spread: -6.5 (-110)
  • Arizona State Spread: +6.5 (-110)
  • UCF MoneyLine: -250
  • Arizona State MoneyLine: +200
  • Total: 147.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

UCF Outlook

The Knights average 76.2 points per game, with Riley Kugel, Jamichael Stillwell, and Themus Fulks leading the offense. Kugel’s 15 points per game highlight his consistency, while Stillwell’s return (15 points, 7 rebounds vs Colorado) showcased his impact. UCF’s efficiency (15-4 overall record; 4-3 Big 12; 7.3 assists per game for Fulks) underscores their strengths. Their ability to share the ball and defend makes them a dangerous favorite at home.

Arizona State Outlook

The Sun Devils average 74.1 points per game, with Maurice Odum, Massamba Diop, and Anthony Johnson driving production. Odum’s 33 points vs Cincinnati highlighted his dominance, while Diop’s rebounding and Johnson’s scoring provide balance. Arizona State’s struggles (11-9 overall record; 2-5 conference; three losses in last four games) underscore their inconsistency. Their ability to rely on Odum’s shooting and playmaking makes them competitive but vulnerable.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on leadership and perimeter shooting. UCF thrives on balanced scoring and Stillwell’s presence inside, while Arizona State must rely on Odum’s hot hand and Diop’s rebounding to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

UCF: Jamichael Stillwell has returned from a leg injury and is expected to play full minutes.

Arizona State: The Sun Devils report no fresh injury concerns heading into Tuesday’s contest.

Environment

Addition Financial Arena has been a reliable venue for UCF, where they’ve gone 9-1 this season. Arizona State, however, has struggled on the road, making this a clash of home dominance versus visiting inconsistency.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: UCF 78, Arizona State 71

  • UCF -6.5 → Best Bet. Their balanced scoring and home-court advantage suggest they can cover the spread.
  • Under 147.5 → Total play. Both teams’ pace points toward a combined score below the line.

UCF’s depth and the return of Stillwell should carry them to victory, while Arizona State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a moderately high-scoring contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

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