Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies Picks and Predictions January 28th 2026

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Delaware vs New Mexico State Picks and Predictions – Wednesday January 28, 2026

Delaware heads to Las Cruces for a Conference USA game against New Mexico State on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at the Pan American Center on ESPN+. This sets up as a classic spot where the favorite is priced to win comfortably, but bettors still have to decide whether the number is inflated or simply accurate.

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New Mexico State is 10-9 overall and 7-4 at home, while Delaware is 5-14 and has just one win in eight road games. The Aggies already blew the doors off Delaware 97-68 earlier this season, which matters because it hints at a real matchup edge, not just a hot shooting night.

The market is sitting at Aggies -11.5 with a total of 136.5. If Delaware can hit enough threes to keep pace, the dog can hang around. If New Mexico State controls the glass and keeps Delaware out of rhythm, this can look like the first meeting again.

Delaware vs New Mexico State Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should monitor the latest movement on the college basketball odds board leading into tip.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Delaware+528+11.5 (-110)O/U 136.5
New Mexico State-820-11.5 (-114)O/U 136.5

Delaware Betting Form

Delaware’s offensive floor is the concern, and the 67-51 loss at Liberty is the most recent example. They struggled to generate clean looks, and when the scoring dries up, it becomes almost impossible to cover a big number because you can’t answer runs. The one angle that keeps Delaware from being a full fade is the three-point shooting. They’re capable of spacing the floor and getting back into games in a hurry if they catch a good shooting pocket.

That said, relying on threes is always fragile on the road, especially in a late window game where legs can go early. Las Cruces is not an easy trip, and if Delaware’s guards start settling for quick looks instead of getting paint touches first, the offense can flatline.

If you’re betting Delaware, you’re betting two things: the Aggies don’t run away early, and Delaware’s perimeter shot-making shows up for 40 minutes. For recent results and team context, check Delaware stats and results.

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New Mexico State Betting Form

New Mexico State lost 81-78 to FIU last time out, but the offense was not the issue. They’ve been steady at home, and their profile is built to create separation against weaker teams: physical rebounding, enough scoring punch to build leads, and the ability to turn stops into points without needing a perfect half-court set every trip.

The biggest piece of evidence is the first meeting. Winning 97-68 suggests New Mexico State found scoring matchups they liked and consistently got quality shots. It also suggests Delaware couldn’t handle the Aggies’ pressure points, whether that was on the glass, in transition defense, or simply getting stretched into long defensive possessions.

The one caution when laying a big home number is game script. If the Aggies go up 15 to 18, do they stay locked in, or do they coast and let the back door open? That’s the only real fear with -11.5 here. For team trends and matchup notes, use New Mexico State schedule and stats.

Delaware vs New Mexico State Matchup Breakdown

This game is likely decided by possession quality and rebounding. Delaware wants a cleaner half-court game where their guards can create kick-out threes and avoid empty trips. New Mexico State wants the opposite: win the glass, force Delaware into tough attempts, and keep the Blue Hens from getting comfortable behind the arc.

Pace points toward a lower-scoring feel. Delaware plays slower, and New Mexico State is not a pure track team either. If the Aggies are smart, they’ll take the air out of Delaware early by making them defend multiple actions per possession, then punish the defensive rebound battle. That’s how favorites cover without needing a high tempo.

The environment matters too. The Pan American Center tends to reward the more physical team, and the travel into Las Cruces can show up in shooting legs, especially for a road team leaning on threes. If Delaware’s threes are short early, the spread becomes far more dangerous for the dog.

For a sharper way to think about how tempo, efficiency, and late-game fouling change spreads and totals, the Expert Betting Guide is a good reference point.

Delaware vs New Mexico State Predictions and Best Bets

I lean New Mexico State -11.5, with the caveat that this is a “right-side, wrong-feel” number if the Aggies coast late. The matchup already produced a 29-point Aggies win, and Delaware’s road profile doesn’t suggest they’re suddenly equipped to handle this spot.

Delaware’s only realistic path to covering is three-point variance. If they hit early, they can keep the margin in single digits deep into the second half. But that plan also assumes New Mexico State doesn’t punish them inside or on second chances. I’d rather bet the team that can win multiple ways.

On the total, I lean under 136.5. Delaware’s pace and scoring limitations set a low floor, and New Mexico State doesn’t need to sprint to win. If the Aggies build a lead and manage the game, the clock becomes your ally. The over needs New Mexico State to be highly efficient and Delaware to contribute more than their typical road output.

Best Bet: Under 136.5

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you’re building a full card for the slate, compare this game to other prices on the board via the daily college basketball picks. Late games can also move more than you’d expect, so it helps to see where the rest of the market is leaning.

For more matchup coverage, the NCAAB previews hub is the fastest way to scan the night, and the college basketball teams hub is useful when you want quick style comparisons across conferences.

If you’re following performance, the best handicappers page and the live leaderboard help you track who’s actually beating the market. If you want premium plays, you can browse options at Buy Picks. For evaluating where you’re placing action and which services you trust, the handicappers sites reviews and sportsbook reviews pages are useful to keep in rotation, and the main ScoresAndStats blog is good for broader betting angles beyond a single matchup.

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