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A close WAC showdown tips off Saturday afternoon as California Baptist travels to face UT Arlington at College Park Center. Tip is set for 3:00 PM ET. The Mavericks are slight 1.5-point home favorites in what profiles as one of the most evenly matched games on the slate.
UT Arlington (11–10, 6–4 WAC) has played its best basketball at home, covering in four of its last five there. California Baptist (12–9, 5–4 WAC) is quietly making a midseason push and enters off two straight conference wins. The books have this near a coin-flip — and given both teams’ similar metrics, the edge may come down to shot quality and foul control.
The number is tight, but there are some sharp betting angles once you dig into pace, rebounding, and efficiency.
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California Baptist Lancers vs UT Arlington Mavericks Odds
Check out the current betting lines for this Western Athletic Conference battle. Track all line movement at the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Baptist Lancers | N/A | +1.5 (-117) | N/A |
| UT Arlington Mavericks | N/A | -1.5 (-108) | N/A |
California Baptist Lancers Betting Form
Cal Baptist has made steady improvements across the board — especially on the defensive end. They hold teams to under 42% shooting and slow the pace, ranking bottom-third in tempo nationally. Their halfcourt defense can grind out stops, and they limit offensive rebounds well.
Offensively, it’s still a work in progress. The Lancers don’t shoot many threes and rely heavily on pick-and-roll action and midrange looks. When they take care of the ball and hit their free throws, they’re live in close games — but efficiency drops significantly on the road.
Check the California Baptist Lancers injury report for updates on their wing depth. For season trends and game logs, visit the California Baptist Lancers stats and results.
UT Arlington Mavericks Betting Form
UT Arlington has leaned into its physicality, especially at home. They defend the paint aggressively, rebound well, and attack the rim to draw fouls. The Mavericks play faster than CBU and try to force turnovers to create easier buckets — a key angle in matchups against slower teams.
That said, they don’t shoot it particularly well from deep. If they can’t generate points in transition or get to the line, the offense tends to stall. Their first halves have been strong at home, and they’ve covered early numbers in four straight conference home games.
Check the UT Arlington Mavericks injury report for frontcourt status. For stats and momentum trends, visit the UT Arlington Mavericks schedule and stats.
California Baptist Lancers vs UT Arlington Mavericks Matchup Breakdown
This is a clash of pace and possession value. CBU wants to limit touches, slow things down, and win with defense and rebounding. UT Arlington wants to speed it up, pressure the ball, and score off mistakes. The team that dictates tempo likely covers.
CBU is the more efficient halfcourt defense, but they struggle if they fall behind early. UT Arlington has the crowd, energy, and shot creation edge — but they also foul at a high rate, which keeps slower teams in games.
Key angles:
- Tempo: CBU wants slow, Arlington wants pace — live total angle
- FT rate: CBU hits FTs, Arlington draws more fouls
- Ball control: Slight edge to CBU in turnover margin
- Arlington has covered 4 straight home games as short favorite
The first few possessions will tell you a lot here — whoever controls rhythm may walk away with a close win.
California Baptist Lancers vs UT Arlington Mavericks Predictions and Best Bets
At a near pick’em, I’ll side with the home team that’s more comfortable dictating style. UT Arlington plays faster, gets to the rim more, and forces mistakes. They’ve been strong in tight games at home, and that gives them the lean here. I’ll take the short number with the Mavericks.
Total isn’t posted here, but if it lands in the 130s, I’d lean Over based on the tempo clash — especially if Arlington forces early offense and pushes pace.
If you’re looking for value in a near toss-up, home floor and foul pressure tip the scales.
Best Bet: UT Arlington Mavericks -1.5 (-108).
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