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Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Predictions – Monday February 2, 2026
Ottawa heads to PPG Paints Arena for a Monday night matchup with Pittsburgh at 7:00 PM on ESPN+. The market is basically calling this a near coin flip, which makes sense. Both teams are in good form, both can score, and both have special teams that can swing a tight game fast.
The Senators are 26-21-7 and playing with real edge, especially when they’re getting power plays and dictating the physical tone. Pittsburgh is 28-14-11 and has been excellent at home, but the current injury list on the blue line is something you cannot ignore in a game priced this tightly.
You’re looking at Pittsburgh around -114 and Ottawa around -105, with a 6.5 total and plus money on the Over. That’s a strong tell that the books expect chances and conversion, not a slow grind.
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep monitoring updated NHL odds as confirmed goalies and late lineup news can move both the moneyline and the 6.5.
| Team | Moneyline | Puck Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators | -105 | +1.5 (-263) | 6.5 (O +101 / U -122) |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | -114 | -1.5 (+210) | 6.5 (O +101 / U -122) |
Ottawa Senators Betting Form
Ottawa’s 4-1 win over New Jersey was the clean version of what makes them dangerous. They played with pace, they got production from the top of the lineup, and they cashed two power-play goals. When Ottawa is converting on the man advantage, they don’t need perfect 5v5 control to win games.
From a betting standpoint, the Senators’ identity travels. They hit, they push the tempo in spots, and their power play gives them a path to break a game open with two quick swings. The one concern is how much defensive stability they have if a key blueliner ends up limited or out, because Pittsburgh can punish mistakes around the slot.
For a quick read on recent performance and broader trends, use the Ottawa Senators stats and results page. For availability, especially on the back end, check the latest status here: Ottawa Senators injury report.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Form
Pittsburgh’s 6-5 win over the Rangers is a great snapshot of where they’re at right now. The offense is rolling, they’re getting scoring from more than one line, and they’re comfortable living in higher-event games when the matchup calls for it. That’s exactly why the total is 6.5 with real interest in the Over.
The counterpoint is roster stress on defense. Pittsburgh can still win with that, but it changes how you handicap the side and the total. When the blue line is thin, you often see cleaner looks against, more scramble sequences, and more reliance on the goalie to erase mistakes. In a near pick’em price range, that matters.
For deeper form and home splits, check the Pittsburgh Penguins schedule and stats page. The injury list is a big part of this handicap, so confirm who’s actually in before you bet: Pittsburgh Penguins injury report.
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Matchup Breakdown
At 5v5, this is a clash of strengths that can create volatility. Ottawa can bring pace and physical pressure, but Pittsburgh’s skill and finishing can punish any loose coverage. If the Senators win the neutral-zone battle and force Pittsburgh into rushed exits, Ottawa can control long stretches without needing to dominate shot totals.
Special teams are likely to decide which team gets separation. Ottawa’s power play is a real weapon, and Pittsburgh’s power play is right there with it. The difference might come down to discipline and how the game is called. If either side takes two avoidable minors, you’re suddenly one conversion away from chasing a number.
Goalie confirmation is the last piece. Neither starter is confirmed in what you provided, so treat the side and the Over as slightly conditional. If Pittsburgh goes with its preferred starter and Ottawa’s crease is anything less than sharp, that supports the Penguins’ moneyline case. If Ottawa has the better goalie performance, the Senators can absolutely win outright and still fit the Over script if special teams show up.
If you want a process check for totals and puck line math in these tight-price games, the NHL betting guide is a useful framework.
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is Pittsburgh on the moneyline. At essentially a short price, I’ll side with the home team that’s been finishing at a high level and has shown it can win different styles, even when the game gets messy.
Ottawa’s case is real, though. Their power play can win this game by itself if Pittsburgh’s defensive depth gets stretched and the penalty count creeps up. If Ottawa gets first goal and forces Pittsburgh to chase, that tends to create the kind of pace that also supports the Over.
On the total, I’m aligned with the Over 6.5 at plus money. Both teams have the offensive ceiling, both have special teams that can add “free” goals to the scoreboard, and Pittsburgh’s current defensive availability issues can turn routine shifts into high-danger sequences. The Under path exists if the game is called tight and both goalies are sharp, but at +101, I’d rather take the plus number in a matchup built for chances.
Best Bet: Over 6.5 (+101)
NHL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re building a slate, start by comparing sides and totals on the NHL picks page so you can see where the market is concentrated and where the contrarian angles are showing up.
For longer-term performance tracking, the best handicappers page and the leaderboard make it easier to separate short-run variance from consistent ROI. If you want to follow verified cards, you can also buy picks and line those plays up with matchup context from the NHL previews hub. And if you’re thinking bigger picture for futures positioning as the season moves forward, the Stanley Cup betting guide is a solid reference for timing and price discipline.
