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The Toronto Maple Leafs (29-17-6) head west to face the Edmonton Oilers (28-20-2) Tuesday night at Rogers Place. Puck drop is set for 9:00 p.m. ET in what could be a preview of a high-flying, offense-driven matchup. Both teams are in the thick of the playoff race in their respective divisions, with Toronto pushing for top-three in the Atlantic and Edmonton aiming to secure a Wild Card — or climb into a Pacific seed.
Toronto enters with three wins in their last four, including a shootout victory over Florida. Edmonton is one of the hottest teams in hockey, riding a massive surge since mid-December that’s pulled them out of their early-season hole. The Oilers are puck line favorites at -1.5 (+122), while Toronto’s +1.5 line is juiced to -150. Expect speed, offense, and some betting value under the surface — depending on who’s in goal.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Odds
Here are the current puck line odds for Tuesday’s game. Totals and moneylines may be off the board or shifting due to goalie news, so always confirm the latest NHL odds closer to puck drop.
| Team | Puck Line |
|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | +1.5 (-150) |
| Edmonton Oilers | -1.5 (+122) |
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Form
Toronto has been steady, if not spectacular. They’re 6-3-1 in their last 10 and continue to ride top-tier scoring talent. Auston Matthews is on a tear, Mitch Marner is generating consistent assists, and William Nylander remains a play-driving force. When they get rolling, few teams can keep up — even a surging Edmonton.
Defensively, though, it’s a different story. Toronto still leaks chances. Over the past 10 games, they’ve allowed 3.3 goals per game and struggle to close out third periods. Special teams remain solid: the power play sits top five in conversion rate, while the penalty kill is hovering around league average.
Goaltending remains the swing variable. Ilya Samsonov has bounced back slightly after a brutal start, but he’s not reliable night to night. Martin Jones offers more stability but is far from elite. That volatility makes the Leafs dangerous in both directions — capable of scoring five or giving up six.
Track more Toronto Maple Leafs stats and results, and watch the Toronto Maple Leafs injury report for last-minute lineup moves.
Edmonton Oilers Betting Form
The Oilers are scorching hot. Since early December, they’ve gone 17-3-0 and completely reversed a brutal start to the season. Connor McDavid is back to full health and full dominance, Leon Draisaitl is producing at a top-five rate, and Zach Hyman is having a career year on the wing.
Edmonton’s recent success isn’t just offense. Their defensive metrics have improved dramatically. Evan Bouchard has emerged as a true top-pairing defenseman, and the Oilers are allowing fewer high-danger chances than they did through the first two months. Stuart Skinner has quietly posted a .919 SV% over his last 10 starts, giving them a real chance to win every night.
At home, Edmonton has covered the puck line in six of its last eight games. They’ve also outscored opponents by more than two goals per game during that stretch. Their power play is back near 30% — always a threat, especially if Toronto gives them four or five looks.
See more in the Edmonton Oilers schedule and stats, and monitor the Edmonton Oilers injury report for updates on key depth players.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Matchup Breakdown
This matchup screams pace. Both teams are top 10 in scoring, top 10 in shots, and can generate rush chances with elite speed. McDavid vs Matthews will headline, but the matchup under that — Nylander vs Draisaitl, Marner vs Hyman — could swing the game.
Toronto’s issue is controlling elite offensive teams on the road. They’ve given up 4+ goals in five of their last eight away games against top-10 scoring teams. Edmonton fits that bill — and they’re red-hot at home. The Oilers’ last four home wins have come by 2+ goals.
Goaltending is the X-factor. If Samsonov starts, the Over and the Edmonton puck line gain value. If Jones goes, maybe the Leafs hang around longer. For Edmonton, Skinner’s current form is more than good enough to neutralize most of Toronto’s second-unit looks.
Power play edge goes to the Oilers. Discipline may be key — Toronto takes more minors than Edmonton, and the Oilers make teams pay. If the Leafs stay out of the box and Matthews goes nuclear, it’s a different story. But Edmonton has more margin for error at home.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Predictions and Best Bets
This line is sharp — but I still lean Oilers -1.5 at +122. The way they’re playing at home right now, they’re covering this number with regularity, and Toronto’s defensive gaps are exploitable. Even with Matthews surging, the Leafs haven’t shown they can beat top-tier teams on the road consistently.
Totals lean Over if Samsonov starts, but I’ll wait for confirmation before making that play. The first period could be explosive — both teams score early and often, and Edmonton’s been a 1P wagon at home.
That said, the safest lean is to trust form and momentum. Edmonton is rolling. Until they slow down, I’m not stepping in front of them.
Best Bet: Edmonton Oilers -1.5 (+122).
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