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The Ottawa Senators (20-28-3) travel to Lenovo Center on Tuesday night to take on the Carolina Hurricanes (31-16-5) in an Atlantic vs Metro clash where only one team has real postseason hopes. Carolina currently sits second in the Metropolitan Division and is in full chase mode for a top seed, while Ottawa continues to drift near the bottom of the East standings.
Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. ET, with the Hurricanes priced as -212 home favorites on the moneyline and -1.5 (+117) on the puck line. Ottawa enters as a +177 underdog, getting +1.5 at -141. The total sits at 6.5 goals, shaded to the Under. The Senators have shown flashes, but Carolina’s defensive structure and elite metrics make this a potential mismatch — if they play to form.
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Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes Odds
Below are the current betting odds for this game. Lines may move based on starting goalies or late injury news, so always check the latest NHL odds before locking in any plays.
| Team | Moneyline | Puck Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators | +177 | +1.5 (-141) | Over 6.5 (-103) |
| Carolina Hurricanes | -212 | -1.5 (+117) | Under 6.5 (-119) |
Ottawa Senators Betting Form
The Senators are what they’ve been for much of the last decade — fun offensively, erratic defensively, and nowhere close to consistent enough to contend. They’ve lost four of their last six and continue to leak high-danger chances. Tim Stützle and Brady Tkachuk provide punch up front, and Claude Giroux has been solid in transition, but the defensive zone coverage is soft and goaltending remains a major issue.
Ottawa ranks bottom five in goals against (3.53 GA/G), and their penalty kill sits near the league basement at 72.4%. That’s a serious problem against a Carolina team that thrives on zone time and pressure. Even when the Sens get decent starts, their third periods have collapsed — they’ve been outscored 12–3 in the final frame over their last five games.
Goaltending hasn’t stabilized either. Anton Forsberg and Joonas Korpisalo are splitting starts, but neither has cracked a .900 SV% in their last six appearances. It puts extra pressure on an already fragile blue line.
For more numbers, see the full Ottawa Senators stats and results. Before betting them in any role, check the Ottawa Senators injury report — their depth is thin and any scratches matter.
Carolina Hurricanes Betting Form
Carolina continues to roll. The Canes have won seven of their last 10 and are among the best possession teams in the NHL. Their 5-on-5 expected goal share remains top three in the league, and they’re doing it without needing elite goaltending or sky-high shooting luck. They grind you down, win the shot volume battle, and force mistakes.
Sebastian Aho is driving offense at a near point-per-game pace, Martin Necas adds speed, and Andrei Svechnikov remains a power-play threat. Defensively, the Hurricanes are giving up just 2.4 goals per game at home and rank top five in xGA/60. They don’t make many mistakes — and when they do, they usually recover quickly.
Goaltending is the one area they’re still rotating. Pyotr Kochetkov has taken more starts recently and looks like the better option over Antti Raanta. Either way, behind Carolina’s system, they don’t need elite saves — just good enough to let the skaters dictate pace.
Their puck line results have been better of late too, covering -1.5 in five of their last eight wins. If they get a lead on Ottawa, they’re fully capable of extending it with a late push.
Dig into the Carolina Hurricanes schedule and stats, and monitor the Carolina Hurricanes injury report for confirmation on their defensive pairings and goaltender rotation.
Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes Matchup Breakdown
This is a stylistic nightmare for Ottawa. Carolina plays one of the tightest systems in hockey — built around puck retrieval, possession, and suppression of scoring chances. The Senators, on the other hand, are high-event, loose in their own zone, and prone to breakdowns.
At 5-on-5, this could get lopsided quickly. Carolina leads the league in shots for per 60 (SF/60) and gives up the fewest shots on net overall. Ottawa is bottom 10 in both shot share and expected goal suppression. If Carolina stays disciplined and doesn’t give the Sens power plays, the puck could live in the Ottawa zone all night.
Special teams also favor Carolina. Their power play isn’t elite (currently around 20%), but their penalty kill is — and Ottawa’s power play has been wildly inconsistent. If this becomes a physical or penalty-heavy game, the Canes have the upper hand.
Goalie edge is moderate. Carolina doesn’t have a Vezina-level starter, but Ottawa’s goaltending has actively lost them games. Unless Korpisalo or Forsberg plays out of his mind, it’s tough to see them stealing a result here.
Key matchup notes:
- Carolina: 17-6-2 at home
- Ottawa: 8-15-2 on the road
- Hurricanes allow just 2.4 GA/G at home
- Senators allow 3.6 GA/G on the road
- xG share: CAR top 3 | OTT bottom 10
Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes Predictions and Best Bets
It’s not a cheap price, but this looks like a sharp puck line spot for Carolina. They’ve been covering -1.5 at a better rate lately, and Ottawa has repeatedly lost by multiple goals — especially against structured teams. The Canes’ puck control, home record, and pressure game all point toward a potential 4–2 or 5–2 win.
If you want less risk, the moneyline is playable in parlays. But at +117, the puck line is where the value is for straight bets.
As for the total — 6.5 is a bit high for a Carolina home game, but Ottawa’s defensive lapses and goaltending make the Over worth a lean. Especially if Carolina’s power play gets 4+ chances.
First period angle? The Canes have scored first in six of their last eight at home. Ottawa has trailed early in five of its last six. Carolina 1P ML could be another sharp derivative if the price is playable.
Best Bet: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (+117).
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