Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Predictions February 3rd 2026

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The Washington Capitals (25-23-5) travel to Xfinity Mobile Arena to face the Philadelphia Flyers (27-21-6) in a Metropolitan Division showdown Tuesday night. Puck drops at 7:30 p.m. ET in what should be a gritty, low-margin battle between two clubs jockeying for Wild Card position in the East.

Philadelphia is a modest home favorite at -133 on the moneyline, while Washington sits at +113. These teams are neck-and-neck in the standings, and while neither is dominant, both play hard-nosed hockey and tend to stay in close games. This line reflects that — and suggests the value may sit with whichever team has the better goaltending situation come puck drop.

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Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds

Moneyline prices are current as of Tuesday morning. Always check for updated lines on the latest NHL odds page before locking in bets, as goalie confirmation and injury reports can shift the market.

TeamMoneyline
Washington Capitals+113
Philadelphia Flyers-133

Washington Capitals Betting Form

The Capitals remain unpredictable. They’ve gone 5–5 in their last 10, with wins over playoff teams and puzzling losses to bottom feeders. Alex Ovechkin has started to show life again — four goals in his last five — and Dylan Strome continues to be one of the most quietly effective forwards in the conference. But scoring depth is still limited, and their special teams have regressed.

The power play, once a top weapon, now ranks 23rd in conversion rate. The penalty kill is more solid but has struggled on the road. Washington allows 3.2 goals per game as visitors and often gets hemmed in against forechecking teams — a problem against Philly’s aggressive style.

Goaltending will be key here. Darcy Kuemper and Charlie Lindgren have split duties, with Lindgren slightly outperforming lately. Neither is elite, but if Lindgren gets the nod, the Caps’ moneyline becomes more playable — he’s posted a .918 SV% in his last four starts.

View the Washington Capitals stats and results, and monitor the Washington Capitals injury report for updates, especially on their top-four blueliners.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Form

The Flyers are exactly what you’d expect under coach John Tortorella — relentless, physical, and willing to grind out low-event wins. They’ve gone 6–4 over their last 10 and have shown real strength at home, winning seven of their last 10 at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Travis Konecny leads the team in goals and continues to drive the top line, while Owen Tippett and Joel Farabee have stepped up in secondary scoring roles. Still, this is not an offensive juggernaut. Philly relies on structure, puck battles, and volume shooting more than elite finishing.

Their goaltending has held up reasonably well. Samuel Ersson has been solid with a .914 SV% across his last five, while veteran backup Cal Petersen has made a few spot starts. If Ersson is in net Tuesday, the Flyers are a legitimate home favorite — not overpriced, but fair. Their penalty kill also ranks top 10, which could neutralize the Capitals’ still-dangerous PP1.

Check the Philadelphia Flyers schedule and stats, and monitor the Philadelphia Flyers injury report to confirm forward depth and goaltending status.

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Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Matchup Breakdown

These teams match up closely in the standings, but their styles clash a bit. Washington still leans on its top-end talent and can be dangerous in transition, while the Flyers are all about structure and effort. This game will likely be decided at 5-on-5 and in net.

Neither team is elite at driving play — both rank middle of the pack in expected goals and shot share — but Philly’s forecheck and physicality can wear down teams, especially at home. Washington has struggled against aggressive teams with strong cycle games, and that’s where the Flyers thrive.

Special teams lean slightly toward Philadelphia. The Flyers’ penalty kill is far more reliable, and their discipline is better. If the game stays tight and low-scoring, that edge matters.

Recent form also favors the Flyers slightly — particularly at home — but the margin is thin. Both teams have had issues closing games, and both tend to play to one-goal outcomes.

Key matchup angles:

  • Flyers: 7–3 last 10 home games
  • Capitals: 5–11 in last 16 road games
  • Both teams trending Under — last 5 combined: 7-3 to the Under
  • First period Under hit in 6 of Flyers’ last 8
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Washington Capitals
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Philadelphia Flyers
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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Seattle Kraken
5 PICKS
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Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Predictions and Best Bets

This one is close. It’s not a game I’m rushing to bet heavily, but there is a slight edge with the home side — particularly if Ersson starts. The Flyers have a more consistent structure, a stronger penalty kill, and better recent form at home. That’s enough to justify -133 in a matchup this tight.

If you want more value, consider the regulation line or 3-way moneyline on Philly. They’ve won 5 of their last 6 at home in regulation. The puck line doesn’t offer much unless you’re chasing plus-money and expecting a late empty netter.

As for the total — lean Under 6 if that’s the number we see. Both teams are trending that way, and this feels like a 3–2 or 2–1 game. Don’t expect fireworks.

Best Bet: Philadelphia Flyers moneyline (-133).

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