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William & Mary Tribe vs UNCW Seahawks Betting Preview
The William & Mary Tribe visit the UNCW Seahawks in a Coastal Athletic Association matchup at Trask Coliseum in Wilmington. William & Mary enters with a 14-8 record and looks to rebound after a high-scoring loss to Campbell, while UNCW aims to defend its 19-3 overall mark after a win over Towson. With the Seahawks favored by 4.5 points, this contest highlights a battle between Tribe’s offensive firepower and Seahawks’ home dominance.
Line Movement and Odds
UNCW is favored, but William & Mary’s offensive pace makes this line worth tracking. Current market:
- William & Mary Spread: +4.5 (-106)
- UNCW Spread: -4.5 (-119)
- William & Mary MoneyLine: +185
- UNCW MoneyLine: -240
- Total: 158.5 (-110)
Check the college basketball picks for real-time updates, especially as bettors weigh UNCW’s home dominance against William & Mary’s ability to cover spreads.
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Matchup Breakdown
William & Mary Outlook
The Tribe average 83.8 points per game, with Reese Miller, Kyle Pulliam, and Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi leading the offense. Fasasi’s 18 points vs Campbell highlighted his efficiency, while Miller’s perimeter shooting adds balance. William & Mary’s efficiency (second nationally in assists per game at 21.0; 10.2 made threes per game; 25th in free throw attempts) underscores their strengths. Their ability to score efficiently and share the ball makes them dangerous underdogs.
UNCW Outlook
The Seahawks average 77.9 points per game, with Nolan Hodge, Pat Wessler, and Greedy Williams driving production. Hodge’s 23 points vs Towson highlighted his scoring, while Wessler’s double-double showcased rebounding depth. UNCW’s efficiency (19-3 overall record; 11-1 at home; 40.5 rebounds per game, 37th nationally; 26 free throw attempts per game, 19th nationally) underscores their strengths. Their ability to rebound and defend at home makes them tough to beat in Wilmington.
Key Factors
This matchup may hinge on tempo and rebounding. William & Mary thrives on Miller’s shooting and Fasasi’s efficiency, while UNCW must rely on Hodge’s scoring and Wessler’s rebounding to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide whether William & Mary can cover the spread.
Injuries / Availability
William & Mary: The Tribe report no fresh injury concerns heading into Thursday’s contest.
UNCW: The Seahawks are expected to have their full rotation available.
Environment
Trask Coliseum has been a fortress for UNCW, where they’ve gone 11-1 this season. William & Mary, however, has shown resilience with high offensive output, making this a clash of Seahawks’ home dominance versus Tribe’s scoring depth.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: UNCW 80, William & Mary 78
- William & Mary +4.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and perimeter shooting suggest they can keep the game closer than expected.
- Under 158.5 → Total play. Both teams’ tempo balance points toward a combined score just under the line.
UNCW’s depth and rebounding should carry them to victory, while William & Mary’s offensive firepower keeps the spread competitive. Expect a contest that leans lower-scoring, with totals landing just under the posted number.
Handicappers and Service Plays
CAA games often spotlight tempo mismatches and rebounding battles. Our Best Handicappers highlight analysts who specialize in conference efficiency trends, while the Leaderboard tracks who’s delivering consistent returns. For William & Mary vs UNCW, premium insights are also available at Buy Picks, helping bettors decide whether the spread or total offers the sharper edge.
