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UT Martin Skyhawks vs Picks and Southeast Missouti State Redhawks Predictions February 17, 2026

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The Ohio Valley Conference race heats up tonight as the UT Martin Skyhawks host the Southeast Missouri State (SEMO) Redhawks in a pivotal rematch at the Kathleen and Tom Elam Center. Tip-off is set for 8:30 PM ET, and you can catch the action live on ESPN+.

UT Martin enters as a 3.5-point favorite, boasting a formidable 12-1 home record and sitting atop the OVC standings at 20-7. SEMO (16-11), however, is one of the few teams to have solved the Skyhawks this season, having secured a dominant 66-50 victory in their previous meeting on January 20.

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Southeast Missouri State vs UT Martin Odds

The line has seen slight movement in favor of the home team as the Skyhawks look to avenge their earlier loss. For live line updates, check the latest college basketball odds.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
SEMO+127+3.5 (-111)O 140.5 (-110)
UT Martin-160-3.5 (-110)U 140.5 (-110)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Betting Form

The Redhawks arrive in Martin with plenty of momentum after a 73-61 win over Lindenwood. Marqueas Bell has been a revelation lately, coming off a 25-point performance where he shot a blistering 80% from the floor. SEMO’s interior efficiency is their hallmark, ranking in the top 100 nationally with a 54.9% two-point field goal percentage.

While their 6-7 road record is modest, the Redhawks have been a tough out in conference play. Junior guard Luke Almodovar (14.4 PPG) provides a secondary scoring threat that has historically troubled the Skyhawks’ perimeter defense. For a deeper look at their trends, visit the SEMO stats and results page and monitor the SEMO injury report for any late-breaking updates.

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UT Martin Skyhawks Betting Form

The Skyhawks are currently the class of the OVC, and their home-court dominance is no fluke. They are led by the versatile Andrija Bukumirović, who averages 14.4 points and 8.0 rebounds per game. UT Martin is one of the best rebounding teams in the country, ranking 25th nationally with over 41 boards per contest.

Despite their success, the Skyhawks have struggled against SEMO, losing 9 of the last 11 meetings in this rivalry. Head coach Jeremy Shulman will look to Matas Deniusas (12.9 PPG) and Filip Radaković to maintain the balanced scoring attack that helped them beat SIUE 81-76 in their last outing. Check out their home-court splits on the UT Martin schedule and stats page and keep an eye on the UT Martin injury report.

Southeast Missouri State vs UT Martin Matchup Breakdown

This game presents a classic contrast in styles. UT Martin wants to use their size to dominate the glass, while SEMO relies on efficient, high-percentage shooting and individual playmaking.

  • Rebounding vs. Efficiency: UT Martin averages 41.1 rebounds per game compared to SEMO’s 33.4. If the Skyhawks can limit SEMO to “one-and-done” possessions, they should control the game.
  • The Pace Factor: Both teams rank low in possessions per game (UT Martin 64.9, SEMO 66.3), which explains the relatively low total of 140.5.
  • History: SEMO dominated the first meeting 66-50, holding UT Martin to their lowest scoring output of the season.

For more OVC bracketology and conference updates, see our college basketball championship odds tracker.

Southeast Missouri State vs UT Martin Predictions and Best Bets

The lean here is SEMO +3.5. The Redhawks have established a mental edge in this series, and their ability to score 75.7 PPG—higher than the Skyhawks’ average—suggests they are well-equipped to stay within a one-possession margin, if not pull the upset outright.

For the total, we recommend Under 140.5. Given the slow pace of both offenses and the defensive intensity typical of OVC rivalry games, this has the markings of a 68-65 type of finish. Our model projects a narrow 71-69 victory for UT Martin, allowing SEMO to cover the spread.

Best Bet: SEMO +3.5 (-111) and Under 140.5 (-110).

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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

The OVC is a prime market for value-seekers. Stay ahead of the curve with today’s college basketball picks for the full Tuesday slate.

Our top sports handicappers are currently breaking down OVC trends on the handicapper leaderboard. To get professional insight on tonight’s mid-major action, you can buy expert picks from our verified pros. Don’t forget to also look at our ncaa women’s basketball championship odds coverage as we approach the madness of March.

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