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Oregon State Beavers vs San Diego Toreros Picks and Predictions February 25, 2026

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The San Diego Toreros head north to Corvallis to face the Oregon State Beavers in a late-season non-conference tilt this Wednesday, February 25, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET at Gill Coliseum with the action streaming live on ESPN+. Oregon State comes in with a 15-14 record and a solid 11-8 mark at home, while San Diego is looking to improve on a difficult 2-10 road record.

The betting market has established the Beavers as a 6.5 point favorite, reflecting their home-court advantage and recent momentum. San Diego is coming off a 12 point loss to Loyola Marymount where they struggled to find a consistent rhythm. Meanwhile, Oregon State looked sharp in an 83-73 victory over Pepperdine. With the moneyline currently sitting at -332 for the Beavers and +248 for the Toreros, the oddsmakers clearly expect the Pac-12 representative to defend their floor.

This is a classic late-season matchup where motivation and travel can play a massive role. San Diego has the offensive tools to stay competitive, but they have to overcome their season-long struggles away from home. Oregon State has been much more reliable in Corvallis, winning 11 games on their home court and showing a better ability to close out tight contests.

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San Diego vs Oregon State Odds

Bettors should always monitor the latest college basketball odds before placing a wager, as lines can shift based on market movement and availability news.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
San Diego+248+6.5 (-111)O 143.5 (-108)
Oregon State-332-6.5 (-113)U 143.5 (-116)

San Diego Betting Form

San Diego brings a fairly potent offense into this matchup, averaging 75.2 points per game. They are a team that relies on ball movement and efficiency at the stripe, ranking 85th in assists per game and 97th in free-throw percentage at 75.7 percent. In their recent loss to Loyola Marymount, Toneari Lane and Adrian McIntyre combined for 37 points, proving that they have the individual talent to put up big numbers even when the team results aren’t there.

The concern for the Toreros remains their defensive consistency and their 2-10 record on the road. They have the potential to cover these larger spreads because they can score in bunches, but they often struggle to get the necessary stops late in games. For a closer look at their seasonal performance, you can check the San Diego stats and results.

Rotation stability is key for the Toreros as they close out February. It is always wise to keep an eye on the San Diego injury report to ensure their primary scorers like Dominique Ford and Juanse Gorosito are ready for the physical challenge of playing in Corvallis. If they can find their stroke from the perimeter early, they might be able to pressure an Oregon State defense that hasn’t always been elite.

Oregon State Betting Form

Oregon State has found a way to be competitive this year largely by protecting their home court. Their 11-8 record at Gill Coliseum is the backbone of their season. They aren’t the most explosive team, averaging just 70.7 points per game, but they are disciplined. Josiah Lake II is coming off a stellar game where he flirted with a triple-double, recording 18 points, 5 rebounds, and 8 assists against Pepperdine. When he is facilitating at that level, the Beavers are a much more dangerous team.

The Beavers have won six of their last ten games straight up, showing they are playing their best basketball of the year right now. They also share a high proficiency at the free-throw line, hitting 76.9 percent of their attempts. To see how they have handled similar opponents this season, you can look at the Oregon State schedule and stats.

Health has been relatively good for the Beavers lately, but bettors should still verify the Oregon State injury report before locking in a play on the spread. They rely on Johan Munch to provide a double-double presence inside, and any absence in the frontcourt could leave them vulnerable to San Diego’s attacking guards.

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San Diego vs Oregon State Matchup Breakdown

This game features an interesting contrast in offensive output versus tempo. San Diego actually scores more points per game than Oregon State, but the Beavers play at a much more deliberate pace, averaging only 65.1 possessions per game. This suggests that if the Beavers can control the tempo, the game will be a low-possession grind that favors the home team. However, if San Diego can force the Beavers into a track meet, their higher scoring average could come into play.

Free throws could be the deciding factor here, as both teams rank in the top 100 nationally in that category. If the game is close late, it might turn into a parade to the foul line, which often impacts the total. Perhaps the biggest edge for Oregon State is their 7-6 record as a favorite, showing they generally handle the games they are expected to win. If you want to dive deeper into these situational trends, checking out a college basketball betting guide can help you weigh road underdogs against home favorites.

  • San Diego scores 75.2 points per game (85th in assists).
  • Oregon State is 11-8 at home this season.
  • The Beavers play at a slow pace (65.1 possessions per game).
  • The Toreros shoot 75.7% from the free-throw line.

San Diego vs Oregon State Predictions and Best Bets

I think the 6.5 points is a bit too much for Oregon State to cover given their lower scoring average and slow pace of play. While I expect the Beavers to win the game straight up, our model projects a much tighter 74-71 finish. San Diego has the scoring punch to keep this within a couple of possessions, especially if the game slows down and becomes a free-throw contest late in the second half.

For the total, I am leaning toward the Under 143.5. Oregon State’s preference for a slow-paced game usually keeps the score down, and even though San Diego likes to move the ball, they may struggle to find open looks against a disciplined Beavers defense in a tough road environment. If the possessions stay in the mid-60s, it’s hard to see these two teams combining for 144 points.

The value here is on the underdog to keep things respectable. San Diego’s ability to move the ball and hit free throws should be enough to stay within the 6.5 point cushion.

Best Bet: San Diego +6.5 (-111)

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