Friday night Sun Belt action heads to Harrisonburg, Virginia, as the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers visit the James Madison Dukes at the Atlantic Union Bank Center. Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+ for a game that carries plenty of weight for conference seeding as both teams look to carry momentum into the final stretch. Coastal Carolina comes into the contest with an 18-12 record and has found a nice rhythm lately, while James Madison sits at 17-13 with a very impressive 11-3 record on their home court.
James Madison enters as the clear favorite at -5.5 on the spread with a moneyline of -255. Coastal Carolina is catching 5.5 points and sits at +195 on the moneyline for the outright upset. The total for this matchup is listed at 139.5, suggesting a game that might rely more on defensive stops and half-court execution than a high-speed track meet. For bettors, the contrast in style between Coastal’s rebounding dominance and the Dukes’ efficient home shooting is the primary puzzle to solve before placing a wager.
While James Madison has been a fortress in Harrisonburg, Coastal Carolina has shown they can compete on the road and aren’t afraid of a hostile environment. This game marks a crucial point in the schedule where fatigue and motivation often intersect. Perhaps the most intriguing part of this matchup is whether the Dukes can maintain their three-game winning streak against a Coastal team that has recently found ways to win close games against tough opponents.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs James Madison Dukes Odds
The following table outlines the current betting lines for Friday’s game. It is always wise to shop around and monitor the latest college basketball odds as tipoff approaches, since conference matchups often see late movement based on public money or last-minute lineup changes.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | +195 | +5.5 (-113) | O 139.5 (-110) |
| James Madison Dukes | -255 | -5.5 (-109) | U 139.5 (-110) |
Coastal Carolina Betting Form
Coastal Carolina is coming off a massive confidence booster, a 76-71 win over Georgia State. AJ Dancler was the catalyst in that game, putting up 32 points on 60 percent shooting from the floor. When Dancler is on, the Chanticleers are a different beast, but they also rely heavily on their work inside to stay competitive. They average 40.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 33rd in the country, and that ability to control the glass often allows them to stay in games where their shooting might be a bit cold. You can track their season-long trends and splits by checking the Coastal Carolina stats and results.
Perhaps the most notable factor for bettors is Coastal’s resilience as an underdog. They have covered the spread in 11 of 18 games as the dog this season and have gone 4-1 straight up in their last five outings. Their three-point shooting, which produces nine makes per game, provides a ceiling that can threaten any team in the Sun Belt if they get hot early. I think their ability to stay disciplined on the defensive boards will be the biggest factor in preventing James Madison from going on one of their trademark runs.
Health is always a concern late in the season, and depth can be tested in these quick turnaround spots. It is vital to review the Coastal Carolina injury report to ensure their primary rebounding core and Dancler are fully ready for the physical toll of this matchup. If they are missing any pieces in the frontcourt, their 33rd-ranked rebounding edge could disappear quickly against the Dukes.
James Madison Betting Form
James Madison has been incredibly tough to beat at home this year, winning 11 of 14 games at the Atlantic Union Bank Center. They recently handled Georgia Southern 82-66, led by a 24-point effort from Cliff Davis and a double-double from Preston Fowler. The Dukes are a balanced offensive unit, averaging 74.2 points per game and shooting a solid 45.1 percent from the field. Their ability to stretch the floor with nearly nine made threes per game at a 35.2 percent clip makes them difficult to defend when their role players are feeding off the crowd. Take a look at the James Madison schedule and stats to see how they have fared against teams with similar defensive profiles.
The Dukes are currently on a three-game winning streak and have won eight of their last ten, signaling that they are likely peaking at the right time. They have been relatively reliable as favorites, going 10-5 straight up, though the 5.5-point spread can be a bit tricky in a conference where games often stay within two possessions. Their shooting efficiency is their main weapon, but they will need to be much more attentive to their defensive rebounding than they were in earlier parts of the season.
Monitoring the James Madison injury report is a must, especially given the physical nature of Sun Belt play. Any absence in their backcourt would put a lot of pressure on Davis to create his own shot against a Coastal defense that has been tightening up lately. As long as Fowler is healthy and active on the glass, the Dukes should be able to dictate the pace of the game in front of their home fans.
Coastal Carolina vs James Madison Matchup Breakdown
This game will likely be won or lost on the glass. Coastal Carolina’s 33rd-ranked rebounding unit is their greatest asset, and if they can limit James Madison to single-shot possessions, they will hang around until the final minutes. The Dukes are efficient shooters, but they don’t necessarily dominate the boards, which gives the Chanticleers a real window to control the tempo of the game. If Coastal can turn this into a half-court wrestling match, the 5.5 points start to look very generous for the visitors.
James Madison’s primary edge is their perimeter shooting and home-court advantage. Cliff Davis and Preston Fowler are high-IQ players who know how to exploit defensive rotations. If Coastal Carolina gets too aggressive trying to block shots or secure rebounds, the Dukes will likely find open shooters in the corners. The turnover battle will also be crucial; Coastal can sometimes be a bit loose with the ball, and James Madison has shown they can convert those mistakes into quick transition buckets before the defense can set.
- Coastal Carolina averages 40.3 rebounds per game, a top-tier national mark.
- James Madison is 11-3 at home and on a three-game winning streak.
- The spread favors the home team, but Coastal has covered 11 of 18 as an underdog.
I think the key will be whether AJ Dancler can replicate his recent scoring outburst. If James Madison sells out to stop him, Coastal’s secondary scorers must step up from the perimeter. For those looking for more insight into conference dynamics, a college basketball betting guide can provide more context on how Sun Belt home-court edges typically factor into late-season spreads.
Coastal Carolina vs James Madison Predictions and Best Bets
When I look at the 5.5-point spread, I see a bit of a discrepancy between the market perception and Coastal Carolina’s current form. The Chanticleers are playing their most consistent basketball of the year right now, and their rebounding strength is exactly the kind of trait that travels well on the road. While James Madison is a very tough out in Harrisonburg, I think 5.5 points is a lot to give a team that has already covered in 61 percent of their games as an underdog.
James Madison likely wins this game outright, but I expect Coastal to keep it within a single possession or two. The Dukes’ winning streak is impressive, but they haven’t faced a rebounding unit as active as the Chanticleers in a few weeks. If Coastal can hit their season average of nine threes, they could even threaten the moneyline late in the second half. However, the smarter play is taking the points and trusting the rebounding edge to keep the score tight.
Regarding the total, 139.5 is low enough to make you pause, but the pace numbers suggest it is the right side to target. Both teams average in the low 70s for points, but they do it through efficient shots rather than high volume. In a game with seeding implications, I expect more disciplined defense and longer possessions. My projection has this game finishing around 72-68, which keeps us just under the total and comfortably within the spread for the underdog.
I’m sticking with the Chanticleers for the cover here. They have shown they don’t quit in road games, and their ability to generate extra possessions through offensive rebounding should be enough to keep James Madison from pulling away.
Best Bet: Coastal Carolina +5.5 (-113).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
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