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Georgia State Panthers vs Old Dominion Monarchs Picks and Predictions February 27, 2026

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The Sun Belt Conference schedule continues Friday night as the Old Dominion Monarchs travel to Atlanta to face the Georgia State Panthers at the GSU Convocation Center. Tipoff is slated for 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+. This matchup features two teams with identical 10-20 records looking to find some positive momentum before the conference tournament begins. Despite the similar records, the oddsmakers have installed Old Dominion as a narrow 1.5-point road favorite, likely due to their slightly more explosive offensive ceiling.

Georgia State has struggled with consistency this season but remains a dangerous opponent on their home floor, where they currently hold a 7-7 record. Old Dominion is coming off a high-scoring 97-88 loss to Marshall, showing they can put up points in bunches but often struggle to get the necessary stops. With the spread sitting at almost a pick’em, this game will likely come down to which secondary scorers can step up when the primary stars are bracketed by the defense.

The current betting lines list Old Dominion at -123 on the moneyline, while Georgia State sits at -103. The total is set at 147.5, which is relatively high for two teams that have struggled with shooting percentages throughout the year. For bettors, the decision hinges on whether you trust Old Dominion’s scoring depth or Georgia State’s ability to capitalize on home-court advantage and free-throw efficiency.

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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers Odds

The following table reflects the current betting landscape for Friday’s game. Be sure to check the latest college basketball odds for any late movement as tipoff approaches.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Old Dominion Monarchs-123-1.5 (-107)O 147.5 (-113)
Georgia State Panthers-103+1.5 (-116)U 147.5 (-109)
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Old Dominion Betting Form

Old Dominion features a potent scoring duo in KC Shaw and Jordan Battle. In their recent loss to Marshall, Shaw exploded for 26 points while Battle added 24. When those two are clicking, the Monarchs can hang with anyone in the Sun Belt. They average 75.4 points per game and aren’t afraid to push the pace, ranking 148th nationally in field goal attempts per game. Caelum Swanton-Rodger provides a strong interior presence, recently shooting over 70 percent from the field to chip in 17 points.

The Monarchs have been a solid bet lately, going 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games. They also have a winning record (4-3) when favored this season, suggesting they generally take care of business in close matchups. Their tendency to play high-scoring games is notable for total bettors, as their defensive struggles often invite shootouts. You can find more detailed trends by visiting the Old Dominion stats and results page.

Injuries have been a factor earlier in the season, but the core rotation appears healthy heading into this contest. Keeping an eye on the Old Dominion injury report is still recommended, particularly regarding their frontcourt depth, as any absence there would make it difficult to contain Georgia State’s ability to draw fouls inside.

Georgia State Betting Form

Georgia State is looking to snap out of a funk after a 76-71 loss to Coastal Carolina. Malachi Brown was spectacular in that game, nearly recording a triple-double with 26 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. Jelani Hamilton (18.5 PPG) remains their most consistent scoring threat, and his ability to get to the free-throw line is a major part of the Panthers’ offensive identity. Georgia State ranks 30th in the nation in free-throw percentage (79.1%), meaning they rarely leave points on the table when they get to the stripe.

The Panthers have been reliable at home, maintaining a .500 record in Atlanta despite their overall struggles. They have also covered the spread in nearly 48% of their games as underdogs, showing they can be a feisty out when the market undervalues them. You can check their home/road splits and recent performances at the Georgia State schedule and stats page.

Depth has been tested for the Panthers recently, so verifying the Georgia State injury report is crucial. If they are missing any of their primary ball-handlers, their offensive efficiency—which is already a concern at 38% from the field—could drop even further, making it difficult to keep up with Old Dominion’s pace.

Old Dominion vs Georgia State Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is a classic contrast between volume scoring and free-throw efficiency. Old Dominion wants to turn this into a track meet, relying on Shaw and Battle to outscore the Panthers in transition. Georgia State, meanwhile, would prefer a more controlled game where they can drive to the basket, draw contact, and utilize their 79.1% free-throw shooting to stay ahead.

The defensive side of the ball is where both teams have struggled. Old Dominion allows over 77 points per game, while Georgia State’s opponents shoot a high percentage from the floor. The battle on the glass between Old Dominion’s Swanton-Rodger and Georgia State’s Anthony Enoh will be a key subplot; whichever team can limit second-chance points will likely have the upper hand in a game projected to be this close.

  • Old Dominion scores 75.4 PPG but allows 77.6 PPG.
  • Georgia State is one of the best free-throw shooting teams in the country (79.1%).
  • The Monarchs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 outings.

For those looking to dive deeper into the betting strategies for these Sun Belt clashes, a college basketball betting guide can offer valuable insights into how to weigh conference-specific trends like home-court advantage.

Old Dominion vs Georgia State Predictions and Best Bets

While the records are identical, Old Dominion has a bit more “firepower” at the top of their roster. KC Shaw and Jordan Battle are high-usage players who can take over a game in the closing minutes. The model projects a 76-72 victory for the Monarchs, which would cover the 1.5-point spread. Georgia State’s reliance on free throws is a viable strategy, but if the game turns into a high-possession affair, Old Dominion’s superior field goal volume should carry them through.

As for the total, the 147.5 mark feels a bit inflated by Old Dominion’s recent high-scoring games. Georgia State has struggled mightily with their field goal percentage (38%), and if they can’t get to the line at a high rate, the under becomes very appealing. Both teams are fighting for their season, which often leads to tighter defenses and more nerves in the second half.

I’m siding with the road favorites here. Old Dominion has been more consistent against the spread lately and has the individual talent to secure a bucket when the game is on the line.

Best Bet: Old Dominion -1.5 (-107).

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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

Finding an edge in the Sun Belt requires careful analysis of matchup data and situational trends. You can follow today’s college basketball picks for expert advice on this game and others across the country. Our team of handicappers specializes in identifying value in mid-major conferences where the lines might not be as sharp.

To see who is currently the hottest in the industry, check the handicapper leaderboard. You can also follow top sports handicappers to get a look at their betting strategies and see which experts are finding success with the Sun Belt this season.

For those who want to skip the research and get straight to the winners, premium NCAAB picks are available daily. You can buy expert picks to gain access to the most confident plays on the board, backed by deep data and historical trends.

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