UP TO $250 BONUS BET

The Best Live In-Game Betting

21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions March 4, 2026

Last Updated on

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into the Prudential Center on Wednesday night looking to snap a cold spell that has seen them drop three straight games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM as Craig Berube’s squad attempts to find some consistency in what has been a frustrating season for the blue and white. Currently sitting 13th in the Atlantic Division with a 27-25-10 record, the Leafs are coming off a tight 3-2 loss to Philadelphia. Despite the recent slump, Toronto remains a dangerous offensive threat, led by Auston Matthews, who continues to pepper opposing netminders with high shot volume.

Across the ice, the New Jersey Devils are finding their stride at the right time. Led by former Leafs coach Sheldon Keefe, New Jersey enters this contest with momentum following a dominant 5-1 thrashing of the Florida Panthers. The Devils currently occupy the 7th spot in the Metropolitan Division with a 29-29-2 record. This matchup is a virtual pick’em in the eyes of oddsmakers, with the Devils slightly favored at -113 on the moneyline and the Leafs returning at -106. With both teams fighting to climb the Eastern Conference standings, this broadcast on ESPN+ should provide plenty of fireworks between two teams that aren’t afraid to generate shots.

UP TO $250 BONUS BET

The Best Live In-Game Betting

21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Odds

These are the current betting lines for Wednesday’s clash. NHL bettors should always monitor the latest NHL odds for any movement as we approach puck drop.

TeamMoneylinePuck LineTotal
Toronto Maple Leafs-106+1.5 (-280)O 5.5 (-125)
New Jersey Devils-113-1.5 (+218)U 5.5 (+102)
Ice Hockey
2026-03-04 19:10
Open
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 PICKS
New Jersey Devils
Ice Hockey
2026-03-04 22:10
Open
St Louis Blues
4 PICKS
Seattle Kraken
Ice Hockey
2026-03-04 22:10
Open
Carolina Hurricanes
5 PICKS
Vancouver Canucks
Ice Hockey
2026-03-04 22:10
Open
New York Islanders
2 PICKS
Anaheim Ducks

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Form

The Maple Leafs have struggled to turn their physical play and possession into wins lately. While they rank 11th in the league with 194 goals scored and lead the NHL in faceoffs won, the results haven’t followed. John Tavares and Auston Matthews have been the primary pillars of the offense, but the team has lacked the “finishing touch” during this three-game skid. You can get more perspective on their road performance by checking the Toronto Maple Leafs stats and results.

Defensively, the Leafs are feeling the squeeze. They currently rank 23rd in the league in goals against, and the loss of Christopher Tanev on the blue line is a significant blow to their penalty kill and shot-blocking capability. Perhaps the most concerning trend for bettors is their 9-14 record on the puck line as an underdog. Before placing your bets, make sure to check the Toronto Maple Leafs injury report for any updates on their defensive rotations or goaltending assignments.

New Jersey Devils Betting Form

The Devils are playing a much more structured game under Sheldon Keefe lately. Their offensive pressure is relentless, ranking 7th in the NHL in shots on goal. This volume was on full display in their recent victory over Florida, where Dougie Hamilton and Jack Hughes orchestrated a clinical performance. Jacob Markstrom has provided the veteran stability in net that this young roster desperately needed, proving reliable in high-danger situations. For a look at how they stack up for the rest of the week, visit the New Jersey Devils schedule and stats.

New Jersey’s betting trends offer a bit of a contradiction. While they have won two of their last three, the under has hit in five consecutive Devils games. This suggests that while the offense is dangerous, their improved defensive rank (15th) is keeping scores lower than in years past. Keep an eye on the New Jersey Devils injury report, specifically regarding Johnathan Kovacevic and Brett Pesce, as any absences on the backend could force New Jersey into a higher-scoring shootout style.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Matchup Breakdown

The battle in the faceoff circle will be a major story here. Toronto leads the league in draws, which allows them to dictate the pace of play. However, New Jersey’s ability to generate high-volume shots on goal often negates possession edges. If the Devils can use their speed to gain the zone and test a Tanev-less Leafs defense, they could force Toronto into a defensive shell.

Special teams will also be pivotal. Toronto’s physical edge (top 10 in hits) can lead to penalties, and a New Jersey power play featuring Jack Hughes is not something you want to test frequently. For bettors looking to understand how coaching changes or divisional rivalries impact the board, an NHL betting guide or a sports betting strategy guide can provide extra layers of analysis.

  • Toronto is 1st in the NHL in faceoffs won.
  • New Jersey is 7th in the league in shots on goal.
  • The Leafs have hit the over in 60.5% of their games this season.
  • New Jersey’s last 5 games have all stayed under the total.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Predictions and Best Bets

This is a tough spot for Toronto. They are winless in three and facing a coach in Sheldon Keefe who knows their roster better than anyone. New Jersey’s home-ice advantage and the steady goaltending of Jacob Markstrom give them the slight edge in a game that feels like it will be decided by a single goal. I think the Devils’ ability to generate more quality scoring chances will eventually wear down a Toronto defense that is missing its best stay-at-home blueliner.

When looking at the total of 5.5, it’s a battle of trends. Toronto usually trends toward the over, while New Jersey has been an “under” machine recently. Given the projected score of 3-2, the Under at +102 offers some interesting value. However, the most confident play here is on the side. I expect New Jersey to stay disciplined and take advantage of a Toronto team that is currently lacking confidence.

Best Bet: New Jersey Devils moneyline (-113).

Smart NHL picks start here.

Numbers over narratives.

Get Free Trial

NHL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

Winning at NHL betting requires staying on top of line movements and injury news. You can find free NHL picks for every game on the board by following our team of experts. The top sports handicappers at ScoresAndStats are fully transparent, with their latest results available on the handicapper leaderboard.

If you are looking for more than just a moneyline pick, you can buy expert picks to get access to premium plays, including player props and derivative period bets. Don’t go into Wednesday’s slate without the best data in the industry.

Top Winners – Yesterday
Sports Central
$972
2. Sas Insider
$574
3. Skyler Lockheart
$553
4. Jacob Hoffman
$490
5. Bill Blatt
$402
Top Winners – This Week
Skyler Lockheart
$1,091
2. Sports Central
$981
3. Logan Wilson
$867
4. Jhon Walsh
$578
5. Mario Deluca
$497