UFC 326: Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Odds and Predictions

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 brings a five-fight main card to Las Vegas on March 7, 2026. The headline fight is Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, and the rest of the board gives bettors a mix of solid favorites, a few close prices, and several spots where price matters more than name value.

The card currently includes 13 fights based on the provided inputs. As always with MMA, late changes can happen, so it is worth checking the final board and fight order before placing any action.

There is enough here to build a focused betting card without forcing longshots just for the sake of it, so let’s dive in and make some UFC Picks.

Where To Watch UFC 326?

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 streams on Paramount+.

What Time Does UFC 326 start?

The Early Prelims start at 5:00 PM ET, the Prelims start at 7:00 PM ET, and the Main Card starts at 9:00 PM ET.

Where Is UFC 326?

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

UFC 326 Main Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

This main card has a clear shape. There are several moderate favorites, one near-pick’em style fight with Michael Johnson sitting at -120, and a pair of prices above -200 that will draw attention from bettors building parlays.

Keep reading for the main card breakdowns and a closer look at which favorites are worth trusting and which lines deserve a more careful comparison with other handicappers.

Step Inside

The Betting Octagon
For Elite UFC Picks!

Get Free Trial

UFC 326 Predictions For The Main Card

The UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Main Card starts at 9:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

Max Holloway (-230) vs. Charles Oliveira (+195)

• Division: Lightweight

Max Holloway enters at 27-8-0. Charles Oliveira comes in at 36-11-0. That alone tells you this is a proven main event between two fighters with a lot of cage time and a lot of ways to win exchanges.

At this price, the betting question is whether Holloway deserves favorite status at north of -200. He does. Oliveira’s experience and upside are obvious, but Holloway is the side the market trusts more, and that matters when the line is this clear without pushing into extreme favorite territory.

The safer betting read is to stay with the favorite rather than reaching for the plus-money comeback angle. In a fight between two established names, price and consistency push this toward Holloway.

Bet: Max Holloway (-230)

Caio Borralho (-275) vs. Reinier de Ridder (+235)

• Division: Middleweight

Caio Borralho is listed at 17-2-0, while Reinier de Ridder is 21-3-0. Both records are strong, but the market is clearly leaning to Borralho here.

A line of -275 says Borralho is not just favored but expected to control the fight more often than not. De Ridder’s record makes the underdog side interesting on paper, but the price gap suggests Borralho is the more reliable pick if you are building around win probability instead of chasing value for its own sake.

This is one of the cleaner main-card sides. You do not need to overcomplicate it.

Bet: Caio Borralho (-275)

Raul Rosas Jr. (-225) vs. Rob Font (+190)

• Division: Bantamweight

Rob Font is 22-9-0. Raul Rosas Jr. is 11-1-0. That is a meaningful contrast in experience, but the line still leans clearly toward Rosas Jr.

This is the kind of fight where bettors have to choose between the more established résumé and the side the market is pricing as the better current option. Rosas Jr. at -225 is a real favorite, though not an untouchable one, and that makes him playable as a straight side if you agree with the number.

Font’s record gives the dog some credibility, but the market read is still clean enough to stay with the favorite.

Bet: Raul Rosas Jr. (-225)

Drew Dober (+100) vs. Michael Johnson (-120)

• Division: Lightweight

Drew Dober is 28-15-0. Michael Johnson is 25-19-0. This is the tightest line on the main card, and it shows.

When the board gives you -120 versus +100, it is signaling a competitive fight with very little margin. That usually means discipline matters more than confidence. Johnson gets the lean because he is the listed favorite, but this is not the spot to treat as a high-conviction anchor.

From a betting perspective, this is a pick where price sensitivity matters. If you are playing the main card straight, Johnson is the side. If you are parlaying, this is the fight to handle with caution.

Bet: Michael Johnson (-120)

Gregory Rodrigues (-200) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+170)

• Division: Middleweight

Gregory Rodrigues enters at 18-6-0. Brunno Ferreira is 15-2-0. Ferreira’s record is good enough to keep this from feeling automatic, but the market still places Rodrigues in a solid favorite role.

At -200, Rodrigues sits in that middle ground where he is clearly favored without carrying the premium of the biggest number on the card. That makes him one of the more practical sides for bettors who want a favorite without laying the heaviest juice available.

Ferreira has enough on paper to stay live, but Rodrigues is still the more dependable side based on the information provided.

Bet: Gregory Rodrigues (-200)

UFC 326 Preliminary Card Odds

Here are the latest prelim odds for UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2.

The prelim board is wider than the main card. Donte Johnson is the clear standout favorite at -650, while several other spots land in the playable favorite range between roughly -135 and -265.

There is also some conflict in the listed prices for Tobias, Jung Young Lee, and Luke Fernandez, which matters if you are trying to shop numbers. Even so, the board still points toward a favorite-heavy prelim read.

UFC 326 Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The prelims begin at 5:00 PM ET for the Early Prelims and 7:00 PM ET for the Prelims on Paramount+.

Long Xiao (-145) vs. Cody Garbrandt (+125)

• Division: Bantamweight

Cody Garbrandt is listed at 14-7-0. Xiao Long comes in at 27-10-0. The line is competitive, but Long is still the favorite.

This is not a runaway number. At -145, Long is being priced as the more likely winner, though not by a huge margin. That usually creates a cleaner straight-bet angle than a parlay anchor.

Garbrandt’s experience keeps the matchup interesting, but the number says Long is the side.

Bet: Long Xiao (-145)

Donte Johnson (-650) vs. Cody Brundage (+460)

• Division: Middleweight

Donte Johnson is 7-0-0. Cody Brundage is 11-8-1. This is the most lopsided moneyline on the provided card.

At -650, Johnson is clearly expected to win. The question is not who the market prefers. It is whether the price is worth paying. For straight picks, he is the obvious call. For betting value, this is the kind of number many bettors will either avoid or use only in carefully built parlays.

The pick is simple even if the price is not friendly.

Bet: Donte Johnson (-650)

Ricky Turcios (+160) vs. Alberto Montes (-185)

• Division: Featherweight

Ricky Turcios is 13-5-0. Alberto Montes is 11-1-0. The line gives Montes a solid but not overwhelming edge.

That kind of board shape usually says one side is trusted more, but not enough to ignore the underdog entirely. Montes is still the cleaner pick because the market is pricing him that way, and his record supports the idea that he belongs in the favorite role.

Turcios has enough experience to make this competitive. Still, the better betting read is Montes.

Bet: Alberto Montes (-185)

Cody Durden (+115) vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (-135)

• Division: Flyweight

Cody Durden is 17-9-1. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is 9-1-0. This is another close prelim line.

At -135, Tumendemberel is not a heavy favorite, but he is still the side the market prefers. In fights like this, the cleanest approach is usually to follow the favorite unless there is a strong reason not to, and none is provided here.

This is a modest-confidence pick, not a headline play.

Bet: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (-135)

Sumudaerji (-240) vs. Jesus Aguilar (+205)

• Division: Flyweight

Sumudaerji is listed at 18-7-0, while Jesus Aguilar is 12-3-0. The line puts Sumudaerji in clear control from a betting standpoint.

A -240 favorite on the prelims is strong enough to command respect without moving into the same risk-reward problem as a -650 favorite. That makes this one of the more usable prelim sides for bettors looking for a straight play or a parlay addition.

Aguilar has the kind of record that keeps him relevant, but the number still points to Sumudaerji.

Bet: Su Mudaerji (-240)

Rafael Tobias (-200 / -220) vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (+170 / +185)

• Division: Light Heavyweight

Rafael Tobias is 14-1-0. Diyar Nurgozhay is 10-2-0. The odds conflict in the provided inputs, but both versions still show Tobias as a clear favorite.

That matters because even when the exact line shifts, the market direction does not. Tobias is favored whether you price him at -200 or -220, and Nurgozhay remains a live but secondary option at plus money.

When line disagreement still points the same way, the side is more important than the exact number. Tobias is the pick.

Bet: Rafael Tobias (-200 / -220)

Jung Young Lee (-265 / -250) vs. Gaston Bolanos (+225 / +210)

• Division: Featherweight

JeongYeong Lee is listed at 11-3-0, and Gaston Bolaños is 8-5-0. The line conflict is noted, but both versions still have Lee as a strong favorite.

That puts this fight in a familiar betting bucket. The market is not calling it a toss-up, and the price range is wide enough to show real confidence in the favorite side. The exact entry price matters, but the betting read does not really change.

Lee is one of the stronger prelim favorites on the board.

Bet: Jung Young Lee (-265 / -250)

Luke Fernandez (-225 / -220) vs. Rodolfo Bellato (+190 / +180)

• Division: Light Heavyweight

Luke Fernandez comes in at 6-0-0. Rodolfo Bellato is 12-3-1. This is another fight with conflicting prices, but both still point toward Fernandez.

The gap is not extreme, though it is wide enough to make Fernandez a legitimate favorite rather than a slight lean. Bellato’s record keeps the fight from feeling automatic, but the betting board still prefers Fernandez with room to spare.

This is a reasonable favorite play as long as the number stays in the current range.

Bet: Luke Fernandez ( -225 / -220)

The Best UFC 326 Picks

The following is our best UFC picks for this weekend’s event:

• Max Holloway (-230)
• Caio Borralho (-275)
• Gregory Rodrigues (-200)
• Su Mudaerji (-240)
• Jung Young Lee (-265 / -250)

These are the cleaner sides on the board because they combine clear market support with more manageable pricing than the most extreme favorite on the card. It is still important to shop numbers, especially where the provided inputs show conflicting odds.

UFC 326 Card

Check out the updated UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 fight card: