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Nashville SC visits the New England Revolution on Wednesday, May 13, 2026, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, with kickoff set for 7:30 p.m. ET in MLS regular-season play. This is a strong Eastern Conference spot, with Nashville sitting third at 7-1-3 and 24 points, while New England is right behind at 7-3-1 and 22 points. The gap is small enough that this one has real table value, especially with both clubs sitting inside the top-four picture.
Nashville already beat New England 4-1 in the season opener, but this is a very different setting. The Revolution have flipped their season at home, winning six straight MLS matches at Gillette Stadium and putting together the best home start in club history. Nashville is still the better table team by points and goal difference, but its road profile is not as clean as its overall record.
The market makes Nashville a slight road favorite, which is understandable based on the full-season numbers. Still, I think this is one of those MLS spots where home form matters more than the table snapshot. New England does not need to dominate to be the right side. It just needs to keep this close and make Nashville defend longer stretches.
Nashville SC vs New England Revolution Odds
These are the current 3-way moneyline betting lines, with the draw priced around +250, and bettors should always monitor the latest soccer odds before kickoff.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | +135 | -0.5 (+120) | O 2.5 (-122) |
| New England Revolution | +182 | +0.5 (-175) | U 2.5 (-110) |
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Nashville SC Betting Form
Nashville has been one of the strongest teams in the East through the first part of the season. The Boys in Gold have lost only once in 11 league matches, with 23 goals scored and just eight allowed. That goal differential tells the story pretty well. This is not only a team winning tight games. Nashville has been creating chances, controlling possession, and limiting opponents on the other end.
The attack runs through Sam Surridge, Hany Mukhtar, Warren Madrigal, and Cristian Espinoza. Surridge has been the main finisher, Madrigal just scored twice in the 2-2 draw with D.C. United, and Mukhtar still gives Nashville the kind of final-third creativity that can break a match open. Over the last 10 league games, Nashville has averaged 1.9 goals, 5.1 shots on goal, and 55.8 percent possession, which is a strong road-underdog or road-favorite profile depending on the opponent.
The issue is the away split. Nashville has been unbeaten in its last three road games, but across the last 10 away matches, it has averaged only 0.90 goals while allowing 1.30. That is why I’m not rushing to lay -0.5 away from home. Nashville can absolutely win this match, but the price asks them to be sharper on the road than they have usually been.
New England Revolution Betting Form
New England is one of the hotter home teams in MLS right now. The Revolution have won six straight league matches at Gillette Stadium, and their last two home league wins came against Philadelphia and Charlotte. They are not doing it with overwhelming shot volume every week, but the results are there, and the confidence at home is pretty obvious.
Carles Gil remains the key player in possession and chance creation, while Luca Langoni has been the top assist provider with six. New England’s last 10 league games show seven wins, two losses, and one draw, with 1.9 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per match. That defensive improvement is a big part of why the +0.5 line looks playable.
The injury picture is not totally clean. Brou Benjamin Angoua is out with a knock, and Wilfrid Jaures Kaptoum is out with a hamstring issue. Still, the projected group with Matt Turner, Mamadou Fofana, Peyton Miller, Carles Gil, Alhassan Yusuf, Langoni, Dor Turgeman, and Griffin Yow gives New England enough balance to compete. The Revolution may not have Nashville’s overall goal differential, but at home, they are a different team.
Nashville SC vs New England Revolution Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is going to be about control versus comfort. Nashville has been better at keeping the ball, averaging 55.8 percent possession over its last 10 matches, while New England is more comfortable around 48.5 percent. That does not automatically favor Nashville, though. New England can live without owning the ball if Gil and Langoni get enough transition touches.
Nashville’s best path is to make the match clean. If Mukhtar finds pockets between New England’s midfield and back line, Surridge and Espinoza can attack the final third with quality. Nashville also has enough defensive structure to avoid turning this into a wide-open MLS track meet, which matters because the Revolution have been more efficient than dominant at home.
New England’s best path is pressure in moments, not constant pressure. The Revolution need to make Nashville defend wide areas, force second balls near the box, and test Brian Schwake early. If they can make this feel like a home-field tempo game, the +0.5 starts to look even better. The weather in Foxborough should be cool and cloudy around kickoff, which should not slow the game much but may keep the pace from getting too loose.
From a betting angle, this is the kind of match where a soccer betting guide approach helps. Nashville has the stronger season-long profile, but New England has the venue edge, the current home form, and the better number. That makes the handicap more attractive than trying to pick the 3-way winner.
Nashville SC vs New England Revolution Predictions and Best Bets
I lean New England +0.5. Nashville is good, and I do not want to undersell that. The goal difference is real, the attack has layers, and the early-season head-to-head win was convincing. But this is a different match at Gillette Stadium, and New England’s home form is too strong to ignore.
The 3-way moneyline is tempting at +182, but I would rather keep the draw on my side. Nashville’s defense is good enough to make this tight, and New England has not always created huge shot volume even when winning at home. A 1-1 draw or narrow 2-1 Revolution win both fit the way this matchup sets up.
For the total, I lean Under 2.5 slightly. That might feel a little strange with Nashville’s attacking numbers and New England’s home scoring, but Nashville’s road matches have been lower-event overall, and New England has tightened up defensively. The Over can get there if Nashville scores first and forces the Revolution to chase, but at -122, I do not think the price is giving enough value.
BTTS is playable, but again, I prefer the side protection. New England has covered the +0.25 line consistently at home, and Nashville has not been as reliable covering short favorite numbers away from home. This feels like a spot to respect both teams and take the home underdog with insurance.
Best Bet: New England Revolution +0.5 (-175).
MLS Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
MLS betting can be tricky because home-field form, travel, lineup news, and midweek scheduling can swing the handicap quickly. That is why checking today’s soccer picks can help bettors compare this matchup against the rest of the board before locking in a side.
ScoresAndStats gives bettors access to top sports handicappers with different betting styles, league specialties, and tracked long-term records. For a tight MLS match like this, it helps to compare whether experts are leaning Nashville, New England plus the goal, Under 2.5, or a derivative angle.
The handicapper leaderboard adds transparency across profit and performance, while MLS picks can help bettors focus on league-specific angles. Bettors looking for deeper card access can also compare premium soccer picks before kickoff.
