Cremonese vs Udinese Picks and Predictions – May 17, 2026

Last Updated on

Cremonese travel to face Udinese at Bluenergy Stadium in Udine on Sunday, May 17, 2026, in Serie A Matchday 37. Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET, and this is one of the more interesting late-season betting spots because the table pressure is almost completely on the away side.

Udinese are sitting in mid-table with a stronger recent form profile, while Cremonese are still trying to escape the final relegation place with two matches left. That creates a pretty simple betting question: do you trust the desperate team catching a price, or do you back the better-form side at home against a road team that has struggled badly in 2026?

Cremonese got the result they needed last weekend against Pisa, but this is a tougher ask. Udinese have been defending better, the goalkeeper play has improved, and their recent wins over AC Milan, Torino, and Cagliari give them a cleaner path to control this match without needing to force the tempo too much.

Cremonese vs Udinese Odds

These are the current betting lines for this Serie A matchup, and bettors should always monitor the latest soccer odds before locking in a play. This is a 3-way moneyline market, with Udinese priced as the home favorite and the total sitting at 2.5 goals.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Cremonese+200+0.5 (-185)O 2.5 (+110)
Draw+230N/AN/A
Udinese+150-0.5 (+130)U 2.5 (-129)

Go Inside the Handicappers’ Playbook

All in one spot. Real-time line moves, sharp reads, and verified edges.

Cremonese Betting Form

Cremonese finally gave themselves some life with a 3-0 win over Pisa last weekend, and that result mattered because Lecce also dropped points. Jamie Vardy scored for the first time since January, Federico Bonazzoli kept his own scoring run moving, and David Okereke also got back on the scoresheet. That is the positive version of Cremonese, the one that can make a survival race uncomfortable.

The issue is the away profile. Cremonese have lost eight of their last nine away matches in 2026, with the only win in that stretch coming at Parma. They also failed to score in recent road defeats to Cagliari and Napoli, which is a problem when this market is asking bettors to trust them to create enough danger in Udine. The desperation is real, but desperation does not always equal attacking quality.

The lineup situation is not perfect either. Federico Baschirotto is out with a hamstring problem, while Martin Payero, Faris Moumbagna, Romano Floriani Mussolini, and Giuseppe Pezzella have been listed as players needing assessment. Cremonese still have enough direct threat through Vardy, Bonazzoli, and wide service, but if they fall behind, I am not sure they have the clean chance creation to chase this match for long stretches.

Udinese Betting Form

Udinese are not playing for survival or Europe, but they have not looked checked out. They have taken 10 points from their last five league matches and are coming off wins over AC Milan, Torino, and Cagliari during that stretch. That matters because this is exactly the kind of late-season match where motivation narratives can get overbet if the in-form team is being dismissed too quickly.

The defensive form is the biggest betting point. Udinese have kept back-to-back clean sheets, and another one here would match their best clean-sheet run of the season. Maduka Okoye has been important behind that structure, and Udinese’s back line has looked more stable lately, even with some moving pieces. Kingsley Ehizibue is suspended, while Jurgen Ekkelenkamp and Alessandro Zanoli are out, so there are still some personnel concerns.

Keinan Davis returning with an assist is another useful detail. He gives Udinese a more reliable outlet and has been involved in 14 league goals this season, including 10 goals of his own. Udinese do not need to dominate possession to be effective here. They can win territory, use their physical edge, and attack moments when Cremonese have to open up.

Cremonese vs Udinese Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is probably not going to be a clean possession battle. Udinese and Cremonese both sit in the lower half of Serie A for possession share, so the game may come down to field position, second balls, set pieces, and which side handles transition moments better. That leans toward Udinese because they have the stronger defensive rhythm and a better recent clean-sheet profile.

Cremonese have to decide how aggressive they want to be. They need points, but if they chase too early, they expose a defense already missing Baschirotto. If they sit too deep, they may not generate enough sustained pressure. That is a bad middle ground for a relegation side, and it is where Udinese’s home setup becomes appealing at plus money on the -0.5 spread.

The first goal should shape the market more than usual. If Cremonese score first, they can protect the point and turn this into a tense, low-margin match. If Udinese score first, Cremonese have to stretch themselves, and that opens the exact kind of space Udinese can attack through Davis, Zaniolo, or wide runners. For bettors using a sports betting strategy guide, this is a good example of why game state matters more than just table motivation.

The total is tricky. Cremonese’s urgency points toward chances late, but Udinese’s recent clean sheets and Cremonese’s poor road scoring profile point the other way. I slightly prefer the Under 2.5, but the price is already shaded that direction. That makes Udinese on the side a cleaner betting read than forcing the total.

Cremonese vs Udinese Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Udinese to win, and the price is playable because the market still respects Cremonese’s desperation. I get it. Cremonese need the match more. But Udinese are in better form, have the cleaner defensive structure, and are facing a road side that has repeatedly failed to travel well this year.

The 3-way moneyline at +150 is interesting, but Udinese -0.5 at plus money is the sharper way to frame the same opinion if that number is still available. A draw does not help, obviously, but the price is better than laying a heavier draw-no-bet number. In a match where Udinese have the form edge and Cremonese have to carry pressure, I would rather back the home side to finish the job.

The total leans Under 2.5, mostly because Cremonese’s road attack has been unreliable and Udinese have found a better defensive rhythm. The fear is a late-game survival push creating chaos. That is why I would not make the Under my top play, even though I understand the market move toward it.

For derivative angles, Udinese win to nil is worth a small look if the price is strong enough. Cremonese can score through Vardy or Bonazzoli, sure, but they may need a set piece or broken transition to get there. From the main markets, though, I prefer the side.

Best Bet: Udinese -0.5 (+130).

Serie A Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

Late-season Serie A betting can get uncomfortable because motivation, rotation, and relegation pressure all move the market quickly. Bettors looking beyond one match can compare today’s soccer picks with league-specific angles like Serie A picks to see where the sharper value is showing up.

ScoresAndStats also makes it easier to compare expert styles. Some handicappers attack sides and Asian handicaps, while others focus more on totals, BTTS, or late-season motivation spots. The top sports handicappers page and transparent handicapper leaderboard help bettors track long-term records instead of only chasing one hot pick.

For bettors who want more direct action, premium soccer picks can help narrow a busy board into stronger plays. That matters in matches like Cremonese vs Udinese, where the standings say one thing, but the form and price may be pointing somewhere else.

Top Winners – Yesterday
Knup Sports – POTD
$1,331
2. Scott’s Picks
$468
3. Evan Lewis
$439
4. Mike Kelly
$342
5. Al McMordie
$248
Top Winners – This Week
Al Grant
$1,139
2. Knup Sports – POTD
$864
3. Scott’s Picks
$822
4. Evan Lewis
$738
5. Ricky Tran
$700