Afghanistan vs Pakistan Picks and Predictions June 10th 2026

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Afghanistan faces Pakistan in an international friendly at the National Football Stadium in Malé, Maldives, on Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET, or 9:00 p.m. local time. Pakistan is the designated home team, although both countries are playing at a neutral venue.

This is an immediate rematch from Sunday, when Pakistan defeated Afghanistan 2-0 at the same stadium. Umer Nawaz opened the scoring in the fifth minute from a Shayak Dost assist, and Harun Hamid added the second during stoppage time after being released by Adil Nabi.

There are no league points or qualification stakes attached to this International Friendly. Still, the quick turnaround adds a competitive edge. Afghanistan has had three days to identify what went wrong, while Pakistan can build on consecutive wins and five straight goals without conceding.

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Afghanistan vs Pakistan Odds

These are the current 3-way moneyline and total prices for Afghanistan vs Pakistan. The spread prices shown below represent the pick’em draw-no-bet market. Bettors should monitor the latest soccer odds because prices have remained tight and could move after the starting lineups are announced.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Afghanistan+2000.0 (-111)O 1.5 (-170)
Pakistan+1950.0 (+100)U 1.5 (+130)

Afghanistan Betting Form

Afghanistan has produced one win, one draw and one loss during its June friendly schedule. The Lions of Khorasan defeated Maldives 1-0 through a late Roman Fazi goal, played a scoreless match against Bangladesh U23 and then lost 2-0 to Pakistan. That leaves Afghanistan with one goal scored and two conceded across three matches.

The defensive numbers are respectable, but the attacking output remains limited. Afghanistan created occasional danger in Sunday’s meeting, particularly through Omid Popalzay’s set-piece delivery. Popalzay struck the crossbar from a free kick, while Omid Musawi directed a second-half header wide. Neither opportunity developed into sustained pressure, and Pakistan was mostly comfortable protecting the central areas.

José Antonio Nogueira may need a slightly more aggressive midfield setup in the rematch. Afghanistan often allowed Popalzay to receive the ball too far from the penalty area, leaving Fazi and Musawi isolated against Pakistan’s center backs. Bringing an additional midfielder forward could improve the chance creation, but it would also expose Afghanistan to the same transitions that produced Pakistan’s late second goal.

Afghanistan’s betting value is difficult to identify at +200. The moneyline assumes that the first meeting was misleading, yet Pakistan generated the cleaner attacking moments and defended with greater discipline. Afghanistan draw no bet at -111 offers protection against another scoreless result, but the price still appears short for a team that has scored once in three matches.

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Pakistan Betting Form

Pakistan enters with its best sequence of results in some time. Nolberto Solano’s team began the June window with a scoreless draw against Bangladesh U23 before defeating Maldives 3-0 and Afghanistan 2-0. The Shaheens have scored five times without conceding over their last two appearances.

Umer Nawaz has scored in both victories, giving Pakistan a more reliable central presence in the penalty area. Abdul Samad Arshad scored against Maldives, while Harun Hamid has found the net in each of the last two matches. Hamid’s ability to arrive from a wider or deeper starting position has been especially useful once opponents begin committing more players forward.

Pakistan’s attack has not been based on dominant possession. Solano’s team has been comfortable defending in a compact shape before progressing quickly through Shayak Dost, Otis Khan and the Nabi brothers. Against Afghanistan, the opening goal came from Dost finding space on the left before delivering a low pass toward Nawaz. The second came through a direct transition after Afghanistan pushed for an equalizer.

Abdullah Iqbal and Easah Suliman give Pakistan a solid central-defensive foundation, while Yousuf Butt provides experience in goal. Confirmed lineup and injury information remains limited, but there has been no clear indication that Solano must make major changes. Some rotation is possible after three matches in a short window, although the recent continuity has clearly helped.

The Pakistan moneyline is playable at +195, but draw no bet at +100 offers a better risk profile. Pakistan has already shown that it can frustrate Afghanistan for long stretches, and the push protection matters in a matchup where both teams have recently produced several low-scoring results.

Afghanistan vs Pakistan Matchup Breakdown

Afghanistan’s first priority must be avoiding another early goal. Pakistan scored after only five minutes on Sunday, which allowed Solano’s side to control the game state. The Shaheens could stay compact, protect the middle and wait for Afghanistan to take greater risks. Afghanistan never looked completely comfortable once it was forced to create against an organized block.

Nogueira may try to apply more pressure to Pakistan’s build-up during the opening stages. That would make sense, at least in short bursts. Pakistan is more dangerous when it can settle behind the ball and attack open space than when it must control long possessions against a set defense. The risk is that an aggressive press could leave Nawaz, Hamid or Dost isolated against a retreating back line.

Pakistan’s wide combinations remain its clearest attacking advantage. Dost can create separation on the left, while Hamid’s movement gives the Shaheens another runner arriving around the far post or inside channel. Afghanistan must decide whether to keep its wider midfielders deeper or ask a central player to shift toward the ball. Either adjustment could open space elsewhere.

The midfield battle should be physical and fairly congested. Neither side has consistently produced high possession shares or large shot totals during this window. Pakistan has been more efficient with its opportunities, while Afghanistan has relied heavily on direct service, free kicks and second balls. Reliable xG and big-chance data is not consistently available for these matches, so the recent game patterns carry more weight than incomplete advanced metrics.

Set pieces may offer Afghanistan its best scoring route. Popalzay nearly converted a direct free kick in the previous meeting, and Pakistan could eventually concede dangerous fouls while protecting the top of the penalty area. At the other end, Iqbal and Suliman provide aerial targets when Pakistan wins corners or wide free kicks.

Neither side has a meaningful travel or rest advantage. Both squads have remained in Malé and played the previous meeting on June 7. The conditions may be more important. Temperatures are expected to remain near 84 degrees around kickoff, and thunderstorms are possible later in the evening. Humidity and another short turnaround could lower the second-half tempo.

The immediate rematch also creates a psychological question. Afghanistan knows exactly where Pakistan hurt it, but familiarity works both ways. Solano can anticipate the likely adjustments and prepare his team to attack the new spaces they create. Bettors evaluating the effect of game state and tactical changes can review the expert soccer betting guide.

Afghanistan vs Pakistan Predictions and Best Bets

Pakistan is the side lean. The Shaheens have been sharper in both penalty areas, and they have already shown that their defensive structure matches up well with Afghanistan’s attack. Nawaz offers a reliable target, while Dost and Hamid provide more transition threat than Afghanistan handled in the first meeting.

The 3-way moneyline is close to even, with Pakistan at +195 and Afghanistan at +200. I think that undervalues the recent evidence. Pakistan has scored five goals across its last two games, kept three consecutive clean sheets and defeated Afghanistan by two goals only three days ago.

That does not mean another comfortable win is guaranteed. Afghanistan should adjust its defensive width and may keep more players behind the ball during the opening half. Immediate rematches often become tighter because the losing team has a clear tactical reference. A slower start would not be surprising.

The total is set at only 1.5 goals, which makes the decision more difficult. Over 1.5 at -170 is expensive, while Under 1.5 at +130 loses if the match finishes 1-1 or Pakistan repeats its 2-0 victory. The larger game profile leans low scoring, but the line has already accounted for that.

Both teams to score leans No. Pakistan has not conceded during this June window, and Afghanistan has scored only once across three matches. Afghanistan can threaten from a set piece, but its open-play chance creation has not been consistent enough to trust.

Pakistan draw no bet offers the cleanest value. It backs the team in better form while protecting the stake if the match finishes level. The projected score is Pakistan 1, Afghanistan 0.

Best Bet: Pakistan Draw No Bet (+100).

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International Friendly Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

International friendlies require bettors to account for rotation, motivation, travel and tactical experimentation. Recent results matter, but the way teams create and allow chances usually provides more useful information. Readers can compare this matchup with today’s soccer picks and review the best soccer bets this week.

ScoresAndStats tracks the results and betting performance of its top sports handicappers. The transparent handicapper leaderboard allows bettors to compare experts with different market preferences, league specialties and recent records.

Readers looking for additional analysis can also review available premium soccer picks. Comparing multiple opinions can be especially useful for lower-profile international friendlies, where lineup confirmation and limited market liquidity may create significant late movement.

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