We’ve got a packed NBA schedule of games this Saturday night – let’s find a few over/under bets to target for the action.
Online Sportsbooks for NBA Handicappers
New York Knicks at Oklahoma City Thunder Picks
Knicks vs. Thunder Betting Report
Best Bet: Under 214 points
When looking at over/under bets in the NBA, it may go without saying, but the key is to focus on offensive and defensive strength.
The Knicks-Thunder game on Saturday afternoon shows distinct value in the under.
New York is the strongest defense in the NBA, at or near the top in many rankings, from points per game to defensive efficiency to opponent’s effective field goal percentage.
They should be able to slow down Oklahoma City’s offense, which is the fourth worst in the NBA when studying similar metrics.
It’s a similar story on the other side. The Thunder have a top-ten defense of their own while the Knicks have a bottom-ten defense.
Finding this overlap is a clear sign to target an under, and while betting unders may make the viewing experience difficult, this game is the right time to pull the trigger.
The Knicks are 15-23 this season against the overs, the third-worst mark in the NBA. Oklahoma City is more in the middle at just 18-19 against the overs.
Take this bet confidently to start your NBA Saturday betting right.
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Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards Picks
Bucks vs. Wizards Betting Report
Best Bet: OVER 236 points
The Bucks may be able to power this over by themselves based on this matchup disparity.
Washington’s defense has been abysmal this season, third-worst by aggregate. They allow the second-most points per game, at 119.4.
Now they’re tasked with slowing down Milwaukee, who coincidentally scores the second-most points per game offensively, at 119.2.
The Washington offense is at least passable, led by All-Star Bradley Beal and guard Russell Westbrook, and should be able to get some points up against the Bucks.
Further cementing this pick is the high pace Milwaukee plays at. Pace can be a largely impactful indicator when betting an over. There’s merit to studying total possessions per game and shots attempted per game. That equates to opportunity and volume. More opportunity equals more chances the ball goes in the hoop.
The Bucks are fifth in the NBA in field goals attempted per game and ninth in possessions per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo and company should be able to move the ball at will against this Wizards defense.
Portland Trail Blazers at Minnesota Timberwolves Picks
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Betting Report
Best Bet: OVER 233 points
The last pick of the night is a Western conference battle between the Trail Blazers and Timberwolves.
The pick here goes back to pace. Minnesota is the number-one team in the NBA in pace of play – going against a Portland defense ranked 27th in the league. While the Timberwolves offense hasn’t been largely efficient this season, this is a bet on pure opportunity.
Portland has a top-ten offense going against Minnesota’s 26th worst defense, another target area to exploit.
Damian Lillard has been on fire for the last month-plus, and should have no issues against this Timberwolves defense.
Portland is 20-16 against overs this season, while Minnesota is 19-18.