Last updated: November 3, 2026
F1 Championship Odds for the 2026 Drivers’ Championship are officially settled. Kimi Antonelli clinched his first Formula 1 world title with a third-place finish in the Mexico City Grand Prix on November 1, becoming the youngest champion in F1 history.
The ScoresAndStats championship prediction therefore finished correctly, but there is no longer an active Drivers’ Championship wager to make. Antonelli has 380 points and cannot be caught with only four Grands Prix remaining.
The season-long betting focus now shifts to the Constructors’ Championship and individual race picks. Mercedes leads Ferrari by 126 points and can guarantee the team title as early as this weekend in São Paulo.
2026 F1 Championship Odds: Drivers Market Closed
The Drivers’ Championship is no longer a futures market. Antonelli has mathematically secured the title, so any pre-Mexico prices should now be treated as historical context rather than current F1 Championship odds.
| Championship Market | November 3 Status | Betting View |
|---|---|---|
| Drivers’ Championship | Kimi Antonelli clinched | Market settled |
| Constructors’ Championship | Mercedes leads Ferrari by 126 | Mercedes overwhelming favorite |
| São Paulo Grand Prix | Nov. 8 | Next active race market |
The previous October 28 update had Antonelli at approximately a 99.7% observed title probability and recommended passing on a new championship bet because almost all of the expected outcome was already included in the price. That market is now fully resolved.
Kimi Antonelli Wins the 2026 F1 Championship
Antonelli entered Mexico needing only ninth place to secure the championship regardless of what his rivals did. He did considerably better, starting fourth and finishing third behind Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton.
| Mexico City Finish | Driver | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Max Verstappen | 25 |
| 2nd | Lewis Hamilton | 18 |
| 3rd | Kimi Antonelli | 15 |
| 4th | Charles Leclerc | 12 |
| 5th | Lando Norris | 10 |
| 6th | George Russell | 8 |
The podium moved Antonelli to 380 championship points. Verstappen is now second with 261, leaving a 119-point gap with only 100 driver points still available across Brazil, Las Vegas, Qatar and Abu Dhabi.
Antonelli was 20 years and 68 days old when he clinched, breaking Sebastian Vettel’s record as the youngest Formula 1 World Champion. He also became the first Italian Drivers’ Champion since Alberto Ascari in 1953.
It came in only Antonelli’s second Formula 1 season. He has won nine Grands Prix in 2026, turning an early-season title battle into a dominant championship advantage before the final four rounds.
How the ScoresAndStats Championship Prediction Finished
The Prediction Was Right
The October 28 update had one clear championship conclusion: Antonelli would win the 2026 Drivers’ title before the season finale.
That call was based on a 123-point lead entering Mexico and only 125 points being available at the time. Antonelli needed two points to eliminate every remaining mathematical path for his challengers.
He did not merely scrape through the clinching scenario. A third-place podium added 15 points and ended the title fight with four races still on the calendar.
Passing on the Late Future Also Made Sense
The same update advised against opening a new Antonelli championship position at an observed 99.7% probability. The prediction was strong, but the potential return was too small for the remaining crash, mechanical and penalty risk.
That distinction remains important when grading futures analysis. Picking the eventual champion does not automatically make a near-certain late-season price a good bet.
Earlier Antonelli futures had already captured the valuable part of the move. By Mexico week, individual Grand Prix markets offered a more practical risk-reward decision than buying the title after almost all uncertainty had disappeared.
ScoresAndStats Betting Takeaway: Antonelli delivered the predicted championship, while the decision to avoid a near-certain late futures price still holds up. The winner was clear, but the value had already disappeared before Mexico.
With the Drivers’ title settled, the ScoresAndStats Formula 1 betting guide explains race winners, podiums, points finishes, qualifying and head-to-head markets for the remaining rounds.
Updated 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship Standings
| Position | Driver | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | 380 |
| 2 | Max Verstappen | 261 |
| 3 | Lewis Hamilton | 259 |
| 4 | George Russell | 250 |
| 5 | Charles Leclerc | 245 |
| 6 | Lando Norris | 221 |
The championship is finished, but second place is not. Verstappen, Hamilton, Russell and Leclerc are separated by only 16 points, creating a meaningful secondary battle across the final four Grands Prix.
Mercedes Can Clinch the Constructors’ Championship in Brazil
The remaining season-long title is the Constructors’ Championship. Mercedes has 630 points after Mexico, while Ferrari has 504. Red Bull Racing and McLaren are already mathematically eliminated.
| Team | Points | Championship Status |
|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 630 | Leader |
| Ferrari | 504 | -126, still alive |
| Red Bull Racing | 382 | Eliminated |
| McLaren | 365 | Eliminated |
Four races leave a maximum of 172 team points available. Mercedes can guarantee the championship in São Paulo by outscoring Ferrari by at least four points. That would increase the lead from 126 to at least 130 with only 129 points available over the final three races.
A current prediction-market snapshot places Mercedes around a 99.9% implied chance to win the Constructors’ Championship. That makes Mercedes the obvious prediction but, much like Antonelli before Mexico, not an attractive new futures wager at such an extreme price.
Constructors’ prediction: Mercedes. Our betting decision is to pass on a new title future and focus instead on individual race markets where the price can still create a meaningful edge.
Remaining 2026 Formula 1 Schedule
The Drivers’ Championship is settled, but Formula 1 still has four standard Grand Prix weekends remaining. São Paulo is next and could also decide the Constructors’ title.
| Race Date | Grand Prix | Championship Note |
|---|---|---|
| Nov. 8 | São Paulo | Mercedes can clinch Constructors’ title |
| Nov. 21 | Las Vegas | Round 21 |
| Nov. 29 | Qatar | Round 22 |
| Dec. 6 | Abu Dhabi | Season finale |
None of the final four weekends includes an F1 Sprint, so each driver has a maximum of 25 championship points available per race and each constructor can score a maximum of 43 from a one-two finish.
F1 Championship Odds FAQs
Who won the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship?
Kimi Antonelli won the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship. He clinched the title with a third-place finish in the Mexico City Grand Prix on November 1.
Are 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship odds still available?
The 2026 Drivers’ Championship is already settled, so that futures market is finished. Pre-Mexico prices should now be treated as historical odds rather than current betting opportunities.
How old was Kimi Antonelli when he won the F1 title?
Antonelli was 20 years and 68 days old when he clinched the championship, making him the youngest World Champion in Formula 1 history.
What is the ScoresAndStats F1 championship prediction result?
The ScoresAndStats prediction that Antonelli would win the 2026 Drivers’ Championship was correct. The October 28 update also recommended passing on a new title wager because the late-season market had already priced him near certainty.
Who leads the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship?
Mercedes leads Ferrari 630-504 after the Mexico City Grand Prix. Mercedes can guarantee the championship in São Paulo by outscoring Ferrari by at least four points.
What is the next Formula 1 race after Mexico?
The São Paulo Grand Prix is next, with the race scheduled for November 8, 2026, at Interlagos. Las Vegas, Qatar and Abu Dhabi follow to close the season.
The Drivers’ Championship is already decided, but remaining race and Constructors’ markets can still lose and prices may move before each session. Treat past results as context rather than guarantees, keep stakes affordable and never wager more than you are comfortable losing.