NASCAR Picks This Week:

NASCAR Picks: Your Weekly Winning Edge

Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

This week starts with a clean NASCAR betting slate built around Las Vegas Motor Speedway. From a betting standpoint, that gives bettors a straightforward weekend card with a Cup headliner, a secondary-series board, and enough posted prices to build a practical short list.

There is no Truck Series race on the schedule this week, so the focus stays on the two active boards that matter. That trims the card down in a useful way and keeps the betting conversation centered on races with confirmed markets.

The O’Reilly Auto Parts Series gets going Saturday with The LiUNA! at Las Vegas. The race board is lighter than the Cup card, but there is still enough to work with between the outright market, one usable matchup, and a futures angle that carries some value.

The Cup race is the headline event, with the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube set for Sunday. Tyler Reddick brings the streak into Vegas, but the actual posted board puts Kyle Larson, William Byron, and Denny Hamlin at the front, which is where this week’s best betting decisions start.

So, without any further delay, pull those seatbelts down tight and strap in as we take a look at some of our best NASCAR picks this week. Feel free to use any of these for your NASCAR bets this weekend and don’t forget to check out our best handicappers.

NASCAR Picks Today

Cup Series

• Kyle Larson outright (+900)
• Kyle Larson Top 3 (+120)
• William Byron Top 10 (-165)

NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series

• Justin Allgaier outright (+350)
• Jesse Love championship futures (+350)
• Justin Allgaier over William Byron (-275)

Pennzoil 400 Picks This Week

• Race: Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube
• Race #: Race #5 of 36
• Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026.
• Where: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
• Broadcast: FS1; PRN; SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.
• Start Time: 4:00 p.m. ET.

Las Vegas is the Cup stop this week after Phoenix, and the board reflects that kind of transition spot. It is a 267-lap, 400.5-mile race, so there is enough race distance for the best-priced contenders to matter without forcing bettors too far down the board.

This board gets interesting because Tyler Reddick enters Vegas chasing a fourth straight Cup win, but the shortest prices still sit with Larson, Byron, and Hamlin. That is usually where the value discussion begins: whether to pay for the short end or use the same names in lower-variance markets.

Race Winner

• Kyle Larson: +900
• William Byron: +1200
• Denny Hamlin: +1200
• Josh Berry: +2800

The outright market is asking bettors to decide whether the front of the board is priced fairly for this track and this week. Larson gets the nod because he is already the shortest Cup outright shown and his price is still a playable number compared with the other listed favorites.

The number is what makes it workable. +900 is not a giveaway, but it is still long enough to justify exposure on the shortest driver on the posted board.

There is also a track-fit argument built into the setup. Las Vegas is a 1.5-mile intermediate, and Larson is regularly priced near the top on this kind of layout.

Bet: Kyle Larson (+900)

Top 3 Finish

• Kyle Larson: +120
• William Byron: +160
• Denny Hamlin: +160
• Josh Berry: +360

The better angle here is the Top 3 market if you want Larson exposure without taking the full outright risk. This board still keeps him as the shortest option, which lines up with the way the race winner market is priced.

At +120, the tradeoff is simple. You lose some upside compared with the outright, but you gain a cleaner path to cashing the ticket on a driver the board already respects most.

That makes this a strong companion play for bettors who want a lower-variance version of the same read. In a weekly roundup, that kind of market usually deserves serious attention.

Bet: Kyle Larson (+120)

Top 10 Finish

• Kyle Larson: -200
• William Byron: -165
• Denny Hamlin: -165
• Josh Berry: +135

This market is more about price versus path than trying to call the winner. Byron stands out because he is still one of the shortest Vegas prices on the board, but the Top 10 line offers a safer entry point than asking him to win outright.

That is the appeal here. If you like Byron near the front but do not want to pay for the outright uncertainty, this is the cleaner way to get involved.

Among the listed options, -165 is still a manageable number for a driver already priced close to the top in the main market. It is not flashy, but it is practical.

Bet: William Byron (-165)

The LiUNA! Picks This Week

• Race: The LiUNA!
• Race #: Race #5 of 33
• Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026.
• Where: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
• Broadcast: CW; PRN; SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.
• Start Time: 5:30 p.m. ET.

Las Vegas is race No. 5 on the O’Reilly schedule, and this board is thinner than the Cup side. Still, there is enough here to build around recent form, especially with Justin Allgaier coming off the Phoenix win and moving into the regular-season points lead.

That recent result matters even more because the searchable event-specific board is limited. When the market depth is thinner, recent form becomes a bigger part of the betting case.

Race Winner

• Austin Hill: +350
• Justin Allgaier: +350
• Jesse Love: +550
• Brent Crews: +600

The outright market starts with two co-favorites, Austin Hill and Justin Allgaier, both at +350. From a betting standpoint, Allgaier gets the edge because the price is the same and the recent form is stronger inside the sheet.

Winning Phoenix and taking the points lead does not guarantee anything this week, but it gives the play a clean and current foundation. There is no need to overcomplicate the pick when the number is still available at the co-favorite level.

If you want more price, Jesse Love is on the board at +550, but the stronger supported play from the sheet is still Allgaier. The market and the form line up.

Bet: Justin Allgaier (+350)

Driver Futures Snapshot

• William Byron: +225
• Jesse Love: +350
• Justin Allgaier: +550
• Taylor Gray: +650

This is not a Vegas race-only market, but it is still useful this week because it shows how the board is shaping the secondary series beyond Saturday. Byron is the shortest number, but Jesse Love is where the price starts to get more interesting.

Love finished second at Phoenix and remains one of the shortest futures prices available. That makes +350 a reasonable balance between current standing on the board and a number that still gives bettors something to work with.

The favorite is easy to see. The value question is a little different, and that is where Love becomes more playable than the shortest price.

Bet: Jesse Love (+350)

Head-to-Head Matchups

• William Byron vs Justin Allgaier: William Byron +225 / Justin Allgaier -275

There is only one confirmed matchup here, so the decision is straightforward. Allgaier comes in off the Phoenix win and the points lead, and the market reflects that by making him a clear favorite in this pairing.

The downside is the price. -275 is not light, so this is more of a board-management play than a big-value swing.

Still, if you want a direct form-based angle instead of betting the outright, this is the cleanest secondary-series market on the page. The board is narrow, but the path is clear.

Bet: Justin Allgaier (-275)

Best NASCAR Picks Of The Week

These are the strongest plays from the full board this week. The list leans toward the cleanest numbers with the clearest support rather than forcing longshots just to chase bigger payouts. win on Saturday.

Kyle Larson to win Pennzoil 400

Larson makes the final list because he is the shortest current Cup outright on the board and still brings back +900. That is enough room to stay interested without moving too far away from the best-supported name in the market.

Bet: Kyle Larson to win Pennzoil 400 (+900)

Kyle Larson Top 3

This is the more conservative Larson angle, and that matters on a board where the same driver is already favored outright. The number is lower, but the path is cleaner.

Bet: Kyle Larson Top 3 (+120)

William Byron Top 10

Byron’s Top 10 price works because it gives bettors a safer version of the same front-end board respect he carries in the outright market. It is not the biggest return, but it is one of the more practical positions on the sheet.

Bet: William Byron Top 10 (-165)

Justin Allgaier to win The LiUNA!

Allgaier is easy to keep on the best-bets list because the price is still +350 and the form note is fresh. Coming off the Phoenix win, he is one of the few secondary-series plays with both a usable number and a clean support case.

Bet: Justin Allgaier to win The LiUNA! (+350)

Justin Allgaier over William Byron

This matchup play is less about upside and more about clarity. If you want a direct opinion tied to the current form line in the O’Reilly series, this is the sharpest one-on-one option on the board.

Bet: Justin Allgaier over William Byron (-275)

OPTIONAL SEASON / CHAMPIONSHIP PROPS

NASCAR Cup Series Championship

• Christopher Bell: +550
• Kyle Larson: +550
• William Byron: +600

This board is tighter than the weekly race market, which is what makes Larson interesting rather than automatic. He is tied for the shortest listed championship price, so there is no discount here, but the market is still clearly rating him at the very top.

That matters in a week where he is also the shortest current Cup outright. The weekly board and the futures board are telling the same story.

Bet: Kyle Larson (+550)

NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship

• William Byron: +225
• Jesse Love: +350
• Justin Allgaier: +550

This futures market gives a little more breathing room than the shortest price. Byron leads the board, but Jesse Love at +350 is the better angle if you want a number with some room while staying near the top tier.

Love also carries a strong recent result into the week after finishing second at Phoenix. That keeps the play grounded in both current form and board position.

Bet: Jesse Love (+350)