NASCAR Picks This Week: 2026 Pocono Best Bets

NASCAR Picks: Your Weekly Winning Edge

$9 unlocks everything

Get Started!

The NASCAR picks this week shift to Pocono Raceway for the 2026 Great American Getaway 400, and this is one of the most technical betting races on the summer schedule. Michigan is already in the books, with Denny Hamlin winning the FireKeepers Casino 400, so the weekly NASCAR betting card now moves to the “Tricky Triangle” in Long Pond, Pennsylvania.

Pocono is not a normal oval. It is a 2.5-mile triangular track with three completely different corners, long straightaways, heavy braking zones, and enough pit-strategy pressure to make even the fastest car vulnerable. That is why the best NASCAR picks this week should not be built only around raw speed. Track position, restarts, pit road execution, and long-run balance all matter.

The 2026 Great American Getaway 400 is scheduled for Sunday, June 14, with coverage on Prime Video. Denny Hamlin, Chase Briscoe, Ryan Blaney, Christopher Bell, William Byron, Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick, and Chase Elliott all have strong cases, but Pocono usually rewards bettors who build a balanced card instead of chasing one outright ticket.

Below are the best weekly NASCAR picks for Pocono, including a Cup Series winner, top-five bet, top-10 pick, longshot, manufacturer lean, and final betting card. These odds are projected weekly betting numbers created for this article, and official prices may vary by sportsbook.

NASCAR Picks Today

Here is the quick NASCAR betting card for the 2026 Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway:

These are projected NASCAR betting lines created for this weekly picks article. The main pick is Ryan Blaney to win because Pocono has been one of his best tracks recently, and the +700 range gives him better value than Denny Hamlin at a shorter number.

For a deeper race-specific breakdown, bettors can also review our NASCAR Pocono odds preview. That page goes further into the Great American Getaway 400 race profile, Pocono history, favorites, longshots, and prop bets.

NASCAR Expert Picks This Weekend

This week’s NASCAR expert picks are built around Pocono’s unique layout. The Tricky Triangle has three different corners, which means drivers need more than straight-line speed. They need braking control into Turn 1, patience through the Tunnel Turn, and enough drive off Turn 3 to protect position down the frontstretch.

That makes this a strong week for selective betting. Outright winners are fun, but Pocono can be cruel to favorite bettors if pit strategy, fuel windows, or late restarts flip the race. The best approach is to build a card with one outright, one favorite-tier placement bet, one top-10 value play, and one longer-shot option.

If you are comparing weekly NASCAR picks, this is also a race where matchup markets deserve attention. A driver can have a winning-caliber car and still finish fourth if track position breaks wrong, so head-to-head matchups and top-five props may offer cleaner betting value than forcing every opinion into the winner market.

NASCAR Cup Series Winner

• Denny Hamlin +450
• Chase Briscoe +650
• Ryan Blaney +700
• Christopher Bell +800
• William Byron +900

Ryan Blaney is the pick to win this week at +700. Hamlin is the obvious favorite because his Pocono history is elite, but the price is tighter. Blaney won at Pocono in 2024, finished strong again in 2025, and brings the kind of Team Penske stability that usually travels well to long, technical tracks.

The case for Blaney is not just track history. Pocono rewards drivers who can manage clean air, avoid mistakes on pit road, and stay calm when the race becomes restart-heavy. Blaney checks those boxes, and the +700 projected number gives bettors a better payout than the shortest favorites.

Hamlin is still the most dangerous driver on the board, and Chase Briscoe has to be respected as the defending Pocono winner. But from a price-adjusted betting angle, Blaney offers the best mix of win equity and value.

Bet: Ryan Blaney to win +700

Top 5 Finish

• Denny Hamlin +140
• Ryan Blaney +175
• Chase Briscoe +190
• William Byron +225
• Christopher Bell +230

Denny Hamlin is the Top 5 pick because this market gives bettors a better way to use his Pocono profile without needing him to win the race. Hamlin has been one of the best Pocono drivers of this era, and his ability to manage restarts and pit strategy makes him one of the safest placement plays on the board.

The outright price may be short, but a top-five number around +140 is much easier to justify. Hamlin can be the best driver in the field and still lose the race on fuel, late cautions, or pit timing. A Top 5 ticket gives us more room to be right about the driver without needing the perfect race script.

Blaney is also a strong top-five option, but we already have him as the outright pick. Hamlin gives the card a safer favorite-tier anchor.

Bet: Denny Hamlin Top 5 +140

Top 10 Finish

• Bubba Wallace +110
• Alex Bowman +120
• Chase Elliott -110
• Chris Buescher +130
• Tyler Reddick -120

Bubba Wallace is the Top 10 play at +110. Wallace has shown enough Pocono consistency to be taken seriously in placement markets, and 23XI Racing usually brings strong Toyota speed to tracks where clean air and straightaway speed matter.

This is not an outright bet. It does not need to be. Wallace simply needs to keep the car clean, avoid pit-road trouble, and stay inside the top third of the field. At Pocono, that is a much more realistic target than asking him to beat every elite favorite.

Alex Bowman and Chris Buescher are also interesting in this range, but Wallace gets the edge because Toyota’s overall Pocono package looks strong with Hamlin, Briscoe, Bell, Reddick, and Wallace all offering live paths to strong finishes.

Bet: Bubba Wallace Top 10 +110

NASCAR Longshot Pick

• Chris Buescher +2500
• Alex Bowman +2200
• Carson Hocevar +3000
• Brad Keselowski +3500
• Joey Logano +3500

Chris Buescher is the longshot pick at +2500. He finished third at Pocono in 2025, and that matters at a track where clean execution can keep longer-priced drivers alive deeper into the race than the market expects.

Buescher is not the kind of longshot you expect to dominate. He is the type of longshot who can stay in the top 10, avoid mistakes, and suddenly become relevant if the leaders split strategy or late cautions reset the board.

If the outright number feels too aggressive, Buescher top-10 or matchup markets are also worth checking. But for this weekly picks article, he is the best longshot on the board.

Bet: Chris Buescher to win +2500

NASCAR Manufacturer Pick

• Toyota +225
• Ford +250
• Chevrolet +275

Toyota is the manufacturer pick at +225. The case is simple: Hamlin, Briscoe, Bell, Reddick, and Wallace all have realistic paths to strong Pocono runs, and that gives Toyota more depth than a normal single-driver bet.

Ford is dangerous because Blaney is our outright pick and Team Penske has a strong Pocono profile. Chevrolet is always live with Byron, Larson, Elliott, and Bowman. But Toyota’s combination of favorite strength, defending-winner strength, and top-10 depth makes it the best manufacturer lean.

This is the kind of market that fits Pocono well. If the race turns strategic, having multiple live bullets from the same manufacturer can be more valuable than relying on one driver to control everything.

Bet: Toyota manufacturer +225

The Best NASCAR Bets This Week

The best NASCAR bets this week are Ryan Blaney to win, Denny Hamlin Top 5, Bubba Wallace Top 10, Chris Buescher as a longshot, and Toyota as the manufacturer lean. That card gives us exposure to the best Pocono profiles without overloading one driver.

Blaney is the best outright because the price is better than Hamlin’s and the track history is strong enough to support the pick. Hamlin is the best placement favorite because he can finish inside the top five even if the race gets weird late. Wallace gives us a plus-money top-10 angle with a Toyota package that should be competitive.

Buescher is the longshot because his 2025 Pocono result showed he can outrun his market tier at this track. Toyota is the manufacturer play because the brand has several legitimate contenders instead of relying on only one car.

For bettors comparing numbers across books, the sportsbook reviews page can help identify where NASCAR markets, props, and manufacturer odds are easier to find. That matters this week because Pocono is a race where the difference between +700 and +600 can completely change the value of an outright ticket.

There is no need to force a massive card. Pocono can become unpredictable once pit strategy starts splitting the field. The smarter play is to keep the card tight and focus on drivers with proven track skill, strong team speed, and multiple ways to cash.

Final NASCAR Picks This Week

The final NASCAR picks this week start with Ryan Blaney to win the Great American Getaway 400 at +700. He has the Pocono history, the Penske profile, and the better betting number compared to the shortest favorites.

Denny Hamlin Top 5 is the safest pick on the card. Hamlin may be the most likely winner, but using him in the placement market gives bettors a smarter way to respect his Pocono dominance without laying the shortest outright price.

Bubba Wallace Top 10 is the best plus-money placement pick, Chris Buescher is the longshot, and Toyota is the manufacturer lean. If you want to add one more angle, William Byron in matchup markets makes sense if the line is fair after practice and qualifying.

For more weekly racing analysis, bettors can also compare premium opinions from the best handicappers before finalizing their Pocono card.

Final Card: Ryan Blaney to win, Denny Hamlin Top 5, Bubba Wallace Top 10, Chris Buescher longshot, Toyota manufacturer.