2025 NASCAR Pocono Odds, Predictions and How To Watch

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On Sunday, June 22, NASCAR’s Cup Series heads to “The Tricky Triangle” for The Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway. This weekend’s event marks the 17th race of the season and the final one before NASCAR makes its in-season tournament debut next week in Atlanta.

Last weekend, the Cup Series made its debut in Mexico City and it was a hit. If you missed the NASCAR results for the Viva Mexico 250, Shane van Gisbergen took the checkered flag and secured himself a spot in the NASCAR playoffs.

Sunday’s race is on the opposite end of the spectrum from the road course of Mexico City. Pocono is a unique superspeedway shaped like a rounded triangle and demands a different style of racing from its participants.

So, it should come as no surprise that drivers like Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Ryan Blaney, Christopher Bell and William Byron all sit at the top of the NASCAR betting sites. Of those favorites, Hamlin has a two-car length lead over the rest.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR Pocono odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our The Great American Getaway 400 predictions for this weekend’s Pocono NASCAR Cup Series race.

The Great American Getaway 400 Race Profile

Pocono Raceway, also referred to as Pocono Superspeedway, has been on the Cup Series calendar since its debut in 1974. Pocono got its popular nickname, the Tricky Triangle, due to the track being shaped like a triangle with rounded edges.

The track itself is made of asphalt, with a 2.5-mile lap distance, and turns with banking from six to 14 degrees.

Pocono used to feature two annual events. However, after a 40-year run, NASCAR replaced the second Pocono race with one at WWTR in 2022.

Sunday’s The Great American Getaway 400 breaks down as follows:

  • Total Miles: 400 miles
  • Total Laps: 160 laps
  • Stage 1: 30 laps
  • Stage 2: 65 laps
  • Final Stage: 65 laps

Sunday’s Great American Getaway 400 begins at 2pm ET and can be seen live on Amazon Prime.

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Previous The Great American Getaway 400 Winners

Denny Hamlin holds the record for most wins in this race with five. He also had won two races in the retired second Pocono race, which gives him seven total wins at this venue. Ryan Blaney is the defending race winner.

The following is a list of the most recent winners:

  • 2024: Ryan Blaney
  • 2023: Denny Hamlin
  • 2022: Chase Elliott
  • 2021: Kyle Busch
  • 2020: Denny Hamlin
  • 2019: Denny Hamlin
  • 2018: Kyle Busch
  • 2017: Kyle Busch
  • 2016: Chris Buescher
  • 2015: Matt Kenseth

In total, there are eight active drivers who have won at Pocono in their Cup Series’ careers. Joe Gibbs Racing leads the pack with 11 wins in this event. Hendrick Motorsports is second with seven. However, when you combine both Pocono races, Hendrick has 19 total wins and JGR has 17.

Chevrolet leads the manufacturer battle with 15 wins in this event and 19 victories in the retired Pocono race. That’s 34 total victories. Ford is second with 25 total wins.

Pocono NASCAR Odds

Check out the latest odds for The Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway:

NASCAR Pocono OddsNASCAR Pocono Odds
Denny Hamlin +450Kyle Larson +700
Ryan Blaney +700William Byron +700
Christopher Bell +900Tyler Reddick +1000  
Chase Elliott +1600Brad Keselowski +1800
Ty Gibbs +1800Chris Buescher +1800
Bubba Wallace +1800Joey Logano +2000
Alex Bowman +2000  Carson Hocevar +2200
Ross Chastain +2500Kyle Busch +3000
Chase Briscoe +3000Erik Jones +4000
Ryan Preece +5000Austin Cindric +2200

NASCAR Pocono Favorites

The following drivers are considered by oddsmakers to be the odds-on favorites to win The Great American Getaway 400:

Denny Hamlin +450          

  • Driver Standings: 5
  • Wins: 3
  • Top 5:7
  • Top 10: 8

Denny Hamlin didn’t race last weekend due to the birth of his child. But it’s no surprise that the #11 car sits as the odds-on favorite to win this Sunday’s race.

In 35 Pocono starts, Hamlin has seven wins, 16 Top 5s, 23 Top 10s and an 11.3 average finish. He leads the field in all of those stats except for average finish, which he is third.

Hamlin was runner-up in this race last year and won it in 2023. He has three victories in the last eight Pocono races. The #11 car is clearly the one to beat this weekend.

Kyle Larson +700

  • Driver Standings: 2
  • Wins: 3
  • Top 5: 9
  • Top 10: 11

Kyle Larson sits second in the standings, and is tied with two other drivers for the second spot in betting odds for this race.

However, it’s a bit of a reach for the top driver in the Cup Series with these odds. Larson has never won at Pocono in his 17 starts. He’s finished runner up twice, with the most recent coming in 2021. Larson was 13th last year and 20th in 2023.

That 11.5 average finish is a bit concerning considering how well other favorites race at this track. I would put Larson as a Top 10 driver with a Top 3 ceiling.

Ryan Blaney +700

  • Driver Standings: 7
  • Wins: 1
  • Top 5: 6
  • Top 10: 7

If you recall last year’s race, Ryan Blaney picked up the Pocono victory and turned his season around. It was his first win at this track since 2017, and snapped a two-race streak of finishing 30th or worse at this venue.

This year, Blaney comes in sitting better than he was at this time in the 2024 season. He won his first race of the season in Nashville three weeks ago.

While he had some misfortune in Michigan two weeks ago, and was out of his element at Mexico City last weekend, Blaney should be a contender in this weekend’s event. He does have three Top 6 finishes in the last five Pocono races, and I see the #12 car pulling that off again, this Sunday.

William Byron +700

  • Driver Standings: 1
  • Wins: 1
  • Top 5: 7
  • Top 10: 10

William Byron continues to lead the pack in the driver standings. He also leads all active Cup Series drivers with the best average finish (9.4) at Pocono Raceway.

In 11 starts at this track, Byron has never finished lower than 18th. He has three Top 5s and six Top 10s over that span, while also leading laps in five of those races.

With how consistent the #24 car has been this season, along with his strong showing at Pocono for his Cup Series career, I like for Byron to be a Top 10 driver with a Top 3 ceiling. Although he can certainly pick up his first Pocono win this weekend, Byron has never finished higher than third. That gives me pause on taking him as a race winner.

Christopher Bell +900      

  • Driver Standings: 3
  • Wins: 3
  • Top 5: 7
  • Top 10: 11

Out of all the pre-race favorites, Christopher Bell has the least impressive resume at Pocono Raceway. In 11 starts at the Tricky Triangle, Bell has two Top 5s, three Top 10s, and a 16.3 average finish. He’s never finished higher than 4th and he’s only led laps in two of those appearances.

Bell is a super talented driver who showed that he can compete at any track. With that said, I believe the #20 car has a Top 5 ceiling this weekend.

Tyler Reddick +1000 

  • Driver Standings: 6
  • Wins: 0
  • Top 5: 3
  • Top 10: 5

Is there a driver that has been more “mid” than Tyler Reddick this season. The #45 car has only led 94 laps in 16 races and sits sixth in the standings. However, like with Byron and Chase Elliott, Reddick is one of the only drivers to have finished every race without a DNF tag.

In seven Pocono starts, Reddick has two Top 5s, four Top 10s, and a 13.6 average finish. While these numbers won’t put him at the top of the pecking order, they do slide him in just above the “mid” portion of this field.

I’m more comfortable with picking Reddick to finish as a Top 10 car than anything else for the 23XI driver this weekend.

The Best NASCAR Pocono Betting Value

The following drivers are my NASCAR picks for the best betting value in The Great American Getaway 400 based on their previous success at the Pocono Raceway:

Chase Elliott +1600

Chase Elliott is one of my favorite drivers this weekend. I love his consistency at Pocono over his Cup career. In 15 starts at this track, Elliott has one win, four Top 5s, and 10 Top 10s.

He won this race in 2022, and has three straight Top 10s at Pocono. I expect the #9 car to continue this trend of Top 10 finishes and even challenge for the win on Sunday.

There’s plenty of value for Elliott’s race-winning odds. But I love his Top 10 odds (-125) the best. I’ll break it down further in this preview below.

Ty Gibbs +1800

Sitting 24th in the standings, Ty Gibbs really needs to put his foot on the gas if he wants to make the Playoffs. Gibbs is well behind a handful of cars for that final spot.

However, if you watched last weekend’s races in Mexico City, then you would’ve seen Gibbs put on two strong performances in the Xfinity Series and Cup Series races regardless of the finishes.

I think that Gibbs will carry that momentum over to Pocono this weekend. In three starts at this track, Gibbs has one Top 5 finish. A blown engine last year caused his resume to plummet.

With that said, Gibbs’ value is with his Top 10 odds (+100). If you dismiss the engine failure last year, then Gibbs has a 10.5 average finish in his two Pocono races.

However, if you go look at his Xfinity record in Pocono races, then you see that Gibbs has two second place finishes in his only Xfinity starts.

The Top NASCAR Pocono Longshot

Erik Jones (+4000) is my longshot bet this weekend. And, the big reason why is due to his past performances at Pocono Raceway.

In 13 starts at this venue, Jones has five Top 5s, eight Top 10s, and a 13.5 average finish. He also has a 10.7 average finish with two Top 10s in the last three Pocono races.

You could take a flier on Jones’ race winning odds. However, I prefer his longish Top 10 odds (+220). Jones has a 61.5% Top 10 finishing rate and two in the last three Pocono events.

The Great American Getaway 400 Predictions

My Top 5 drivers are Hamlin, Blaney, Byron, Larson, and Elliott or Reddick. With that in mind, what better way to celebrate the birth of your child than to win at Pocono the next weekend?

Hamlin fell from third to fifth in the standings due to missing the Viva Mexico 250 race. Yet, he received a Playoff waiver and retains his eligibility due to the circumstances. He was also allowed to keep his 18 Playoff Points already won.

Although drivers like Blaney, Byron, Larson and Elliott can upset this feel-good story, I’m taking the #11 car to ride into Pocono, take the checkered flag, earn the prize money, and head straight to the store to pick up some diapers.

Bet: Denny Hamlin +450

NASCAR Pocono Raceway Prop Bets

Check out some of our favorite prop bets for this weekend’s The Great American Getaway 400:

Either To Win The Great American Getaway 400

As you can see from above, I have both Ryan Blaney and Denny Hamlin finishing in the Top 5. Furthermore, these two drivers have won four of the last six of this specific Pocono race. Blaney also won the retired second Pocono race in 2017.

I really like Hamlin this weekend, but something tells me that Blaney will be up for the challenge and could steal the spotlight from Hamlin and his baby.

Bet: Ryan Blaney or Denny Hamlin (+250)

Either To Finish In The Top 3 for Pocono

Blaney and Hamlin are my Top 2 drivers this Sunday. But Chase Elliott is right there with that duo. I love his consistency at this track and feel that he could easily crack the Top 3.

Kyle Larson leads the Cup Series in just about every major statistical category. So, it wouldn’t surprise me if he found his way into the Top 3 as well.

Bottom line, with 19 career wins at Pocono, Hendrick Motorsports should see one of these two drivers rally for a Top 3 finish.

Bet: Chase Elliott or Kyle Larson (+105)

The Best Top 5 Bet for Pocono

Denny Hamlin (-110) is my choice for the best Top 5 bet. And, it’s really surprising that he’s still giving us this much value despite his large odds-on favorite status.

Hamlin has 16 Top 5s in 35 Pocono starts, which is a 45.7% Top 5 finishing rate. However, the #11 car has six Top 5s in the last eight races at this track, which includes three wins and two runner ups.

If there ever was a time to pick Hamlin to win, or finish in the Top 5, it would be this weekend at Pocono Raceway.

Bet: Denny Hamlin (-110)

The Best Top 10 Bet for Pocono

I alluded to this above, but Chase Elliott (-125) is by far my favorite Top 10 driver this weekend and my #1 bet for The Great American Getaway 400.

In 15 starts at this venue, Elliott has 10 Top 10s, which is a 66.7% Top 10 finishing rate. He’s also finished in the Top 10 for three consecutive races at Pocono.

Over his last six races at this track, Elliott has a 10.6 average finish. Either way you slice the Elliott Pocono pie, he’s going to end up as a Top 10 driver on Sunday.

Bet: Chase Elliott (-125)

Winning Manufacturer

  • Toyota (+140)
  • Chevrolet (+150)
  • Ford (+260)

Toyota is the rightful favorite this weekend with Denny Hamlin’s strong resume at this track. Taking it a step further, Toyota has won six of the last eight of these races. And, if you add the retired Pocono race to this, then you would see that Toyota had two more wins in the last four editions of that event.

Chevrolet probably gives us more potential contenders with the trio of Hendrick drivers and Kyle Busch, but I see Toyota holding serve at Pocono on Sunday.

Bet: Toyota (+140)

Team of Race Winner

  • Joe Gibbs Racing (+200)
  • Hendrick Motorsports (+220)
  • Team Penske (+475)
  • 23XI Racing (+650)
  • RFK Racing (+750)
  • Spire Motorsports (+1800)
  • Trackhouse Racing (+1800)
  • Richard Childress Racing (+2800)

I went with Toyota to win, in large part due to Joe Gibbs Racing. With that said, I’m going to hedge my wagers by taking Hendrick Motorsports for this NASCAR prop bet.

Hendrick has 19 total wins at Pocono over the 50-years of racing there. This weekend, Elliott, Byron and Larson are all in the Top 5 odds-on favorites to win The Great American Getaway 400. Yet, the team’s fourth driver Alex Bowman has also won at this track (2021).

I wouldn’t blame you if you rode with JGR all the way this weekend, but I’m going to cover my rear bumper with a Hendrick Motorsports sticker.

Bet: Hendrick Motorsports (+220)

Winning Car Number

  • Over 15.5 (-125)
  • Under 15.5 (-105)

I’m on the verge of a pit road speeding penalty trying to get this wager in. And, if you connected the dots above, then you will see how I’m a huge fan of the Under for this prop bet. Let me show you why:

  • Hamlin #11: has the most wins, Top 5s, Top 10s, and laps led
  • Blaney #12: won last year, and combines with Hamlin to have won four of the last six
  • Elliott #9: won this race in 2022
  • Busch #8: has four wins at Pocono and won this race three times including in 2021
  • Keselowski #6: has one win and the second-best average finish among the field
  • Larson #5: arguably the best Cup Series driver this season

Let me sum this up even more emphatically, with the Under, we have the four drivers who have won the last eight editions of this Pocono race. Enough said! Show me the green flag and the money!

Bet: Under 15.5 (-105)