NBA Trade Deadline Odds: What Moved in 2026, What Is Next Skip to content
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NBA Trade Deadline Odds: What Moved in 2026, What Is Next

The 2026-27 NBA trade deadline has no date we can source yet, and no sportsbook has posted player-trade props for it that we can quote as of September 25, 2026. The season opens on October 20, 2026, and All-Star weekend is February 19 to 21, 2027, in Phoenix, the NBA says.

The last deadline, on February 5, 2026, moved Anthony Davis, James Harden and Jonathan Kuminga, and sent Jaren Jackson Jr. to Utah and Ivica Zubac to Indiana. Giannis Antetokounmpo stayed in Milwaukee that day and was traded to the Miami Heat in June instead.

What moved at the 2026 deadline

PlayerFromToPart of the deal
James HardenLA ClippersCleveland CavaliersDarius Garland went the other way
Anthony DavisDallas MavericksWashington WizardsJoined Trae Young, traded to Washington in January
Jonathan KumingaGolden State WarriorsAtlanta HawksWith Buddy Hield, for Kristaps Porzingis

ESPN called Harden to Cleveland the most shocking trade of the deadline. The Cavaliers were 9-2 after a 22-19 start going into it, and by ESPN’s Bobby Marks’s figures, moving on from De’Andre Hunter and Lonzo Ball saved them about $100 million in luxury tax.

Washington, Utah and Indiana were a combined 42-109 on deadline day, and all three still made big roster upgrades: Davis to the Wizards, Jackson to the Jazz and Zubac to the Pacers. That was the deadline’s odd shape: the teams buying big names were near the bottom of the standings.

The trade that came after it

Milwaukee traded Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis to Miami in June 2026 for Tyler Herro, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, three first-round picks, a pick swap and a second-round pick, ESPN reported. The deal was executed on July 6.

Boston also bid for him. ESPN’s sources said the Celtics offered Jaylen Brown and two first-round picks, and Antetokounmpo has one guaranteed year left on his contract before a 2027 player option. The Heat host Minnesota on October 21, 2026, in his first game for Miami.

Betting on trades

Trade props ask whether a named player is traded by the deadline. At +200 a yes needs to happen 33.3% of the time to break even, and at -150 a no needs 60.0%. A bet is worth making only when you rate the chance higher than the price does.

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