Josh Allen is the NFL MVP favorite at +280 on DraftKings, as ESPN listed the market on September 24, 2026, before Week 3. Brock Purdy is second at +750, and Matthew Stafford, who won the award for 2025, is eighth at +2200.
Allen has thrown for 582 yards and five touchdowns with no interceptions and run for four more scores, and Buffalo is 2-0. At +280 the price asks him to win the award 26.3% of the time, the only chance on the board above 12%.
Ready for today’s action?
Browse picks for today’s games before they start.
NFL MVP odds
| Player | Team | DraftKings | Break-even | Team record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | +280 | 26.3% | 2-0 |
| Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers | +750 | 11.8% | 2-0 |
| Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | +800 | 11.1% | 1-1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | +850 | 10.5% | 2-0 |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | +900 | 10.0% | 2-0 |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | +1400 | 6.7% | 1-1 |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | +1800 | 5.3% | 1-1 |
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | +2200 | 4.3% | 1-1 |
| Drake Maye | New England Patriots | +2200 | 4.3% | 1-1 |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | +2500 | 3.8% | 2-0 |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | +2800 | 3.4% | 1-1 |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | +3000 | 3.2% | 1-1 |
Prices are DraftKings’ 2026 regular-season MVP market as ESPN carried it on September 24, 2026, with 89 players listed. Records are ESPN’s standings after two weeks.
Break-even is 100 divided by the price plus 100. Across all 89 names the board adds up to 139.7%, well over 100% because of the book’s margin, so each true chance sits below the figure in the table. A futures bet on the MVP is worth making only when you rate a player’s chance higher than the price does.
What the first two weeks show
| Player | Comp-Att | Pass yards | Pass TD | INT | Rush yards | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 40-60 | 582 | 5 | 0 | 92 | 4 |
| Brock Purdy | 45-56 | 492 | 5 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| Lamar Jackson | 38-56 | 559 | 2 | 1 | 74 | 1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 47-74 | 566 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 1 |
| Joe Burrow | 45-66 | 461 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| Dak Prescott | 48-65 | 454 | 6 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| Matthew Stafford | 37-56 | 482 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Drake Maye | 37-55 | 386 | 1 | 4 | 64 | 0 |
These are ESPN’s 2026 regular-season figures through two games each. Allen’s nine total touchdowns are the most in the group, and he is the only one of the eight without an interception.
Purdy has completed 80.4% of his passes, the highest rate in the table, for a 2-0 San Francisco team. Burrow is at +900 with three touchdown passes on a 2-0 team; Prescott has six on a 1-1 team and is at +1400.
The contenders further down
Stafford won the 2025 award after throwing for 4,707 yards and 46 touchdowns. He has 482 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions this season, and the Rams are 1-1, so last year’s winner starts this season eighth on the board.
Maye has one touchdown pass against four interceptions, the most interceptions in the table, and is tied with Stafford at +2200. Deeper down, Detroit’s Jared Goff has six touchdown passes and no interceptions at +4000, and New Orleans’ Tyler Shough has 662 passing yards, more than anyone in the tables above, at the same price.
Recent NFL MVP winners
| Season | MVP | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2024 | Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons |
Three of the top four on this board have won the award: Allen, Jackson and Mahomes, and Jackson and Mahomes have won it twice each. Purdy, second at +750, would be a first-time winner.
Rodgers is the only player in this ten-season list to win it in back-to-back years, for 2020 and 2021. Allen won for 2024 and is the favorite again two seasons later.
Can a non-quarterback win NFL MVP?
It has not happened since Adrian Peterson, a running back, won it for 2012. Quarterbacks have won all 13 awards since, from Peyton Manning for 2013 through Stafford for 2025.
Every one of the 16 shortest prices on this board is a quarterback. Running backs and receivers are covered on our NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds page.
How the season runs from here
Week 3 starts on Thursday, September 24, and the regular season ends with Week 18 on Sunday, January 10, 2027. That leaves 15 games per team for this board to move.
The price you take is fixed, and the board is not. Team strength is one cross-check, so compare an MVP price with the Super Bowl odds, and our calls on each game are on the NFL predictions hub. How to read a price as a chance is covered in our expert betting guide.