The NASCAR Cup Series race of many names returns to Phoenix Raceway this weekend! This year the title sponsor name is the Ruoff Mortgage 500 but you may remember some of the many past sponsors such as InstaCart 500, Fan Sheild 500, TicketGardian 500, Camping World 500, among others. Another thing that has changed is Kevin Harvick and other Ford drivers are not among the top favorites!
This year the Phoenix race has oddsmakers leaning towards a mix of Chevrolet and Toyota drivers starting with perpetual favorite Kyle Larson who is at +350 with the Martin Truex Jr. neat at +700. Larson drives a Chevrolet while Truex pilots a Toyota.
One thing that has not changed is that “500” refers to kilometers as the race is only 312 laps around the 1-mile race track. That means a short 312-mile race with plenty of action on what can be considered a track that’s a combo of high-banked short-track and an intermediate track with a few spots that mimic superspeedways!
Another factor that could come into play is that the track was reconfigured a few seasons ago and this will be the first time the new Gen 7 Cup Cars take to the track. That might be something that levels the playing field among Chevrolet, Ford, and Toyota teams. It will be interesting to see how the favorites fare when the checkered flag waves on Sunday.
Here are the top-five favorites through +800 to win the Ruoff Mortgage 500:
Kyle Larson +350
Martin Truex Jr +700
Kyle Busch +750
Chase Elliott +750
Denny Hamlin +800
2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 Preview
Track: Phoenix Raceway / Avondale, Arizona
Type: 1.022-mile paved banked dogleg Oval
Race Distance: 312 laps / 312 miles (502.115 km)
Defending Track Winner: Kyle Larson
TV/Radio: Fox / MRN
The Cup Series race is on Sunday, March 13 at 3:30 pm Eastern Time while the NASCAR Xfinity race will be on Saturday, March 12 at 4:30 pm Eastern Time. The Truck Series and ARCA Series are off this weekend.
2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 Predictions
Kyle Larson +350
Kyle Larson is the defending track winner as he won the Fall race at Phoenix. That was also the season- ending event for the NASCAR Cup Series and it sealed the Larson’s 2021 Cup Series Championship. Larson has also been solid at Phoenix over his career especially over his last six outings at the track. He’s finished 1st, 7th, 4th, 4th, 6th, and 3rd during those last six races. Larson won two weeks ago and finished in 2nd last week.
Denny Hamlin +800
Denny Hamlin suffered a DNF last week when he unexpectedly hit his shifter wrong coming out of the pits. The shifter in Cup Cars has changed since last year which caused the mistake. Hamlin does not often make the same mistakes over and over again. In his last ten races at Phoenix, he’s won a race and finished in the top ten seven times. He finished 3 rd at the last race at the track.
Joey Logano +850
Joey Logano won the Spring race two seasons ago and was the first winning Ford to do in the last six Phoenix races. In his last five starts at the tracks, he’s finished 10th, 9th, 1st, 3rd, 2nd, and 11th respectively. Ford’s seem to run well at Phoenix but also seem to fade in the end. Logano passed that hurdle with his 2020 Spring win and could do it again as he’s one of the strongest Ford drivers at Phoenix.
Others to Consider: I like Kevin Harvick (+2000) as a value pick as he should be considered a threat when he runs at Phoenix. But, he tends to fade in the closing laps. I hate to fade on Kyle Busch (+750) so early on the season but he seemed so strong last week only to let another race slip away.
2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 Betting Lines
Here are the odds heading into the Ruoff Mortgage 500:
Kyle Larson +350
Martin Truex Jr +700
Kyle Busch +750
Chase Elliott +750
Denny Hamlin +800
Joey Logano +850
Ryan Blaney +1200
William Byron +1400
Kevin Harvick +2000
Alex Bowman +2200
Tyler Reddick +2500
Christopher Bell +2500
Aric Almirola +2800
Brad Keselowski +3000
Austin Cindric +4500
Ross Chastain +5000
Kurt Busch +5000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +5000
Chase Briscoe +5500
AJ Allmendinger +6000
Erik Jones +6000
Austin Dillon +6000
Daniel Suarez +8000
Cole Custer +10000
Chris Buescher +12500
Darrell Wallace Jr. +15000
Harrison Burton +20000
Justin Haley +25000
Ty Dillon +50000
Michael McDowell +50000
Corey Lajoie +60000
Todd Gilliland +100000
Josh Bilicki +100000
Garrett Smithley +100000
Cody Ware +100000
BJ McLeod +100000