I was able to grind out a small win with last Sunday’s top bets for ScoresAndStats at 5-4-1 against the closing number.
With a number of important showdowns on this Sunday’s NFL Week 11 schedule, it is time for a few teams to up their game. I plan to up mine with this round of picks as well.
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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Pick: UNDER 51
The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Falcons last six games. The Saints come into this NFC South clash without the services of their quarterback Drew Brees. Scoring should stay low enough to cash in on the UNDER.
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers Pick: OVER 49
Detroit needed some late-game heroics to get past Washington at home last Sunday. Carolina has lost its last five games SU. Given the lack of defense by either of these teams in recent weeks, they should be able to go OVER the 49-point line.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans Pick: New England -2
The Patriots showed some real fight by beating Baltimore as touchdown underdogs. Houston struggled mightily last week, with just seven points in the loss to Cleveland. Take New England to win and cover the two points on the road.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars Pick: OVER 47½
The Steelers should remain undefeated on the year with the SU win, but laying 10-points on the road does come with added risk. Given the low total line, Pittsburgh should be able to do most of the heavy lifting to take things OVER.
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Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens Pick: Baltimore -6½
It appears that both of these teams were a bit overrated based on their play earlier in the season. I still believe the Ravens are the better overall team in this matchup. Playing at home helps cover the 6½-point spread.
Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos Pick: Miami -3½
The Dolphins are one of the hottest betting teams in the NFL right now at 5-0 SU and ATS over their last five games. Denver failed to show up last week against Las Vegas and things could get even worse this week.
New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers Pick: New York +9
I am taking a real flyer on this pick by going with a team that is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS. However, this could be one of the Jets best chances to win this season. The 2-7 Chargers have now failed to cover in their last three games.
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Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings Pick: UNDER 47½
Dallas should get Andy Dalton back at quarterback this Sunday, but points are still going to be hard to come by. Minnesota only needed 19 points to get past Chicago on Monday night. The Vikings may have to rely more on its defense in this game as well.
Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts Pick: Green Bay +2½
The Packers are 4-1 SU on the road this season. I also expect them to play much better this week after a tough win at home against Jacksonville. The Colts are a shaky 2-3 ATS over their last five games with quite a bit of inconsistency against winning teams.
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders Pick: Kansas City -6½
The Chiefs lone loss this season was at home against Las Vegas. That alone is motivation to lay the points on the road this time around. Kansas City has gone 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against the Raiders as another reason to lean this way.
