Dave’s Top 10 Best Bets for NFL Week 11

I was able to grind out a small win with last Sunday’s top bets for ScoresAndStats at 5-4-1 against the closing number.

With a number of important showdowns on this Sunday’s NFL Week 11 schedule, it is time for a few teams to up their game. I plan to up mine with this round of picks as well.

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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Pick: UNDER 51

The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Falcons last six games. The Saints come into this NFC South clash without the services of their quarterback Drew Brees. Scoring should stay low enough to cash in on the UNDER.

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers Pick: OVER 49

Detroit needed some late-game heroics to get past Washington at home last Sunday. Carolina has lost its last five games SU. Given the lack of defense by either of these teams in recent weeks, they should be able to go OVER the 49-point line.

New England Patriots at Houston Texans Pick: New England -2

The Patriots showed some real fight by beating Baltimore as touchdown underdogs. Houston struggled mightily last week, with just seven points in the loss to Cleveland. Take New England to win and cover the two points on the road.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars Pick: OVER 47½

The Steelers should remain undefeated on the year with the SU win, but laying 10-points on the road does come with added risk. Given the low total line, Pittsburgh should be able to do most of the heavy lifting to take things OVER.

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Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens Pick: Baltimore -6½

It appears that both of these teams were a bit overrated based on their play earlier in the season. I still believe the Ravens are the better overall team in this matchup. Playing at home helps cover the 6½-point spread.

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos Pick: Miami -3½

The Dolphins are one of the hottest betting teams in the NFL right now at 5-0 SU and ATS over their last five games. Denver failed to show up last week against Las Vegas and things could get even worse this week.

New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers Pick: New York +9

I am taking a real flyer on this pick by going with a team that is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS. However, this could be one of the Jets best chances to win this season. The 2-7 Chargers have now failed to cover in their last three games.

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Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings Pick: UNDER 47½

Dallas should get Andy Dalton back at quarterback this Sunday, but points are still going to be hard to come by. Minnesota only needed 19 points to get past Chicago on Monday night. The Vikings may have to rely more on its defense in this game as well.

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts Pick: Green Bay +2½

The Packers are 4-1 SU on the road this season. I also expect them to play much better this week after a tough win at home against Jacksonville. The Colts are a shaky 2-3 ATS over their last five games with quite a bit of inconsistency against winning teams.

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders Pick: Kansas City -6½

The Chiefs lone loss this season was at home against Las Vegas. That alone is motivation to lay the points on the road this time around. Kansas City has gone 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against the Raiders as another reason to lean this way.

About the Author

A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites.  I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.

I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.

It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.

The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.

My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.

I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.