Dave’s Top 10 Best Bets for NFL Week 4

For the third week in a row, I went 6-4 with my Top 10 NFL picks. My goal is to bump things up in Week 4 now that we have had a good look at all 32 teams.

There are a number of interesting games on the board heading into the first quarter mark of the season.


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New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions Pick: New Orleans -4

The Saints have lost their last two games to create an early sense of urgency in this Sunday’s game. New Orleans has gone 7-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last eight road games.

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers Pick: OVER 52

The total line is already inflated in this matchup but I am still leaning that way. It has gone OVER five of the last six meetings. It has also gone OVER in six of Carolina’s last seven games played at home.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals Pick: Jacksonville +3

Jacksonville got a harsh dose of reality with its lopsided loss to Miami. However, the added days of rest should serve the Jaguars well against the 0-2-1 Bengals. Jacksonville has been able to cover ATS in four of its last six games.


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Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys Pick: Dallas -4½

Cleveland has beaten the teams it was supposed to in its SU 2-1 start. However, it is facing a 1- 2 Dallas team that needs an impressive win at home. This presents the perfect opportunity for the Cowboys to finally play to expectations and win a game with relative ease.

Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick: OVER 45

The Chargers have struggled on offense but Tampa Bay is finding its form with Tom Brady leading the way. The Bucs have put up 82 points in their 2-1 SU start. The NFL game total has gone OVER in Tampa Bay’s last eight home games.

Baltimore Ravens at Washington Football Team Pick: Baltimore -13

Baltimore catches a break this week coming off a rough Monday night loss to Kansas City at home. Look for the Ravens to cover the large spread against their Beltway rivals. They have a five-game winning streak (SU and ATS) on the road.


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Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins Pick: Seattle -6½

Seattle has the early lead in the NFC West at 3-0 both SU and ATS. It has also been one of the most consistent teams during the first three weeks of the season. Miami is well rested but I do not see the Dolphins keeping things closer than a touchdown spread.

New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams Pick: OVER 47

The Giants have played to expectations in their 0-3 SU start. The Rams are coming off a tough loss to Buffalo after erasing a huge deficit. The one constant with LA this season is the ability to score points. The total has gone OVER in five of the Rams’ last six games.

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders Pick: Las Vegas +2½

The Bills are setting the early pace in the AFC East standings at 3-0 SU with a 2-1 record ATS. However, until the Raiders lose at home, I am riding that Las Vegas luck. Jon Gruden will have his team ready to go coming off the loss to New England.

Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers Pick: OVER 45

The Eagles have stumbled out of the gate to a 0-2-1 SU start while failing to cover in all three games as favorites. San Francisco is back on track with 67 points in its last two games. I like the 49ers to cover but I love the OVER on the low total line.

About the Author

A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites.  I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.

I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.

It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.

The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.

My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.

I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.