A number of NBA teams have been streaking lately. One is Utah which has won nine of its last ten games overall. The Jazz are off tonight, but Dallas, which is 8-2 in its last ten, is at home against Golden State.
Underdogs continue to win games at a 32.3 percent clip. The dogs fare better against the spread where they win 49.8 percent of the time. The road underdog wins against the spread 51.8 percent of the time.
Where can bettors find value on the underdog tonight. Here are the top NBA underdog picks for Thursday, March, 3, 2022.
Chicago Bulls vs. Atlanta Hawks
Pick: HAWKS +3.5
The Bulls have lost two straight and DeMar DeRozan finally came back to earth after an impressive run of ten straight 30-plus point games. The bigger issue for Chicago tonight is that the Bulls are playing on the road.
Chicago is just 15-14 in games away from the United Center. The Bulls also are not equipped to defend Atlanta point guard Trae Young, who just had 31 against Boston which is quite possibly the best defense in the NBA.
Atlanta is 2-1 SU in the last three games against the Bulls at home. Plus, they are 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS this season when they have played as a home underdog.
LA Lakers vs. LA Clippers
Lakers vs. Clippers Prediction
Pick: LAKERS +125
Yes, the Lakers are a mess. They have lost three straight and six of their last seven. One of those losses was a 28-point blowout loss to New Orleans … at home.
The Lakers also have already lost to the Clippers three times this season. The Clips have won eight of the last ten against the Lakers. That includes the last six straight.
It’s time for the Lakers to be the squirrel that finds a nut. The Lakers almost found it on Feb. 25 when they lost to the Clippers by 3, 105-102.
The Clippers continue to find ways to win with a patchwork lineup devoid of stars. Tonight, that lineup takes one on the chin as the Lakers work out some of their frustrations on their city rivals.
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction
Pick: MAVERICKS +2.5
The Warriors have one win in their last five games. Dallas has won four of five. The Mavericks have also owned the series with Golden State winning eight of the last ten. How Dallas is a 2.5-point home underdog is anyone’s guess.
Golden State is giving up 113.6 points over their eight games. In those eight games, the Warriors are 2-6 SU and just 1-7 ATS.
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last five games and the Mavs are one of the top defenses in the NBA. They rank second in points allowed per game at 103.4. The Mavs have won eight of their last ten games overall and in five of those wins they allowed 99 points or less.