Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Picks and Predictions June 12th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers MLB Thu, Jun 12, 17:35 pm.
Baltimore Orioles
ML: 150
0
4
Detroit Tigers
ML: -188
Last Updated on

The Detroit Tigers visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday, June 12, 2025. The game starts at 6:35 PM and is a night game. Fans can watch on MASN, while the weather forecast predicts a very hot day with scattered clouds.

The Tigers, managed by A.J. Hinch, are having a strong season with a 44-25 record. Tarik Skubal, with an ERA of 2.16, will start for Detroit. The Orioles, led by interim manager Tony Mansolino, have a 27-39 record. Dean Kremer, with an ERA of 4.98, will take the mound for Baltimore.

Tigers vs Orioles Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
  • Date: Thursday, June 12, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Tigers MoneyLine -192, Orioles MoneyLine +161

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a tough loss against the Baltimore Orioles with a score of 10-1. In that game, Casey Mize pitched for 5 1/3 innings, allowing 2 earned runs and striking out 7. Despite the loss, Spencer Torkelson showed consistency, scoring the only run for the Tigers.

The Tigers have strong pitching stats to support their chances of winning. They have a team ERA of 3.27, ranking 4th in the league, and have given up only 66 home runs, placing them 6th. With Tarik Skubal starting, who holds an impressive ERA of 2.16, the Tigers have a solid chance to keep the Orioles’ bats in check.

Offensively, the Tigers have players like Spencer Torkelson, who leads the team with 16 home runs and 47 RBIs. Their batting average sits at .251, ranking 9th, and they have a slugging percentage of .406, which is 7th in the league. With key hitters like Gleyber Torres and Riley Greene, the Tigers can generate enough offense to secure a win.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a strong win against the Detroit Tigers, with a score of 10-1. Zach Eflin was effective on the mound, allowing just one run over 6 2/3 innings. Jordan Westburg, Ramón Urías, and Gunnar Henderson led the offense with multiple hits and RBIs.

The Orioles have shown power at the plate, ranking 11th in the league with 73 home runs this season. Their slugging percentage of .392 ranks 14th, indicating they can hit for extra bases. This power can be a key factor in their upcoming game against the Tigers.

Dean Kremer will start for the Orioles, looking to improve his season record. While his ERA is 4.98, he has the potential to keep the Tigers’ bats in check. With support from hitters like Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday, the Orioles have a good chance to secure another win at home.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -192 against the Orioles’ +161. The Tigers have a strong pitching staff, ranked 4th in ERA at 3.27, while the Orioles’ pitching ranks 27th with a 5.04 ERA. The model projects the Tigers to win, with a score of 5-3, making the Tigers a solid pick for the moneyline.

The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Tigers’ pitching is strong, and the Orioles struggle on the mound, suggesting a lower-scoring game. The projected total score is 8, matching the line. Given the Tigers’ pitching, the under 8.0 is a reasonable pick.

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Orioles bring improving offense into finale vs. Tigers

Third baseman/designated hitter Jordan Westburg is eager to see if Baltimore’s bats can build on Wednesday’s dominant display. The Orioles evened this three-game series with a 10–1 win, fueled by a seven-run eighth inning against the American League’s best team, the Detroit Tigers.

Offensive momentum and lineup health

Westburg has homered in each of the first two games since returning from a six-week IL stint with a strained hamstring. His power surge underscores what interim manager Tony Mansolino called “plenty good enough to go out and win series and win ballgames,” especially as key contributors return to the lineup. Infielder Ramon Urias added that the club feels “better” now, and that confidence could carry over into this finale.

Despite the uptick, Baltimore’s struggles against left-handed pitching remain a concern. The Orioles rank last in MLB in slugging percentage (.283) and OPS (.562) when facing southpaws, making the upcoming matchup all the more challenging.

Pitching matchup in focus

On the mound for Detroit is reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal (6–2, 2.16 ERA). He’s struck out 105 batters in 83 ⅓ innings while issuing just seven walks, and he’s dominated Baltimore this year with a 1.52 ERA over 23 ⅔ innings, including an 11-strikeout, six-shutout-inning gem on April 27.

Opposing him is Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer (5–6, 4.98 ERA). Kremer surrendered five runs in his last outing but boasts four consecutive starts without allowing a home run. In two career starts versus Detroit, however, he’s 0–2 with an 8.44 ERA, so he’ll need to find his best form to keep this contest close.

Key storylines and strategic angles

Detroit hasn’t lost back-to-back games since May 24, going 11–5 since then, and manager A.J. Hinch praises his club’s resilience. The Tigers also debuted Colt Keith at third base on Wednesday, a move designed to test his defensive versatility as the season progresses.

For bettors, this game offers several angles:

  • The total runs line could be appealing if you expect a middling outcome after Baltimore’s outburst and Detroit’s usual offensive consistency. Find our latest MLB previews for detailed series context.
  • Skubal’s strikeout props are tempting—his swing-and-miss stuff has been elite. For expert analysis on his K-rate and other pitching markets, see our MLB expert betting guide.
  • If you’re looking for premium advice, consider our subscription service to buy picks tailored to today’s start times and matchups.
  • To track which handicappers are leading the way this season, check our leaderboard of best handicappers.

As Baltimore’s offense aims to finally solve a quality left-hander, and Detroit leans on its Cy Young ace, expect a competitive finale. Whether you’re monitoring series momentum or seeking that extra edge, our resources have you covered.

By T. Franklin Smith | April 8, 2025
By T. Franklin Smith | April 1, 2025
spread
moneyline
over/under
Baltimore Orioles
-
-
150
O 8.5
100
Detroit Tigers
-
-
-188
U 8.5
-125
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Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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