Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions June 27th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays June 27th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays will travel to Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles. This night game is set for Friday, June 27, 2025, at 7:05 PM. Fans can catch the action on APLTV, though there might be some light rain during the game.

The Rays, managed by Kevin Cash, hold a record of 46-35 this season. They lead the AL East with no games back. On the other hand, the Orioles, under interim manager Tony Mansolino, have a record of 34-46 and are 12 games back in the division. Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays, while Tomoyuki Sugano will take the mound for the Orioles.

Rays vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
• Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rays MoneyLine -122, Orioles MoneyLine +103

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a strong performance against the Kansas City Royals, winning 4-0. Shane Baz was impressive on the mound, pitching 8 innings and allowing just 3 hits. Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe both hit home runs, contributing to the team’s offensive success.

The Rays have a solid batting lineup, with a team batting average of .257, ranking 2nd in the league. They lead the league in stolen bases with 105, showing their speed on the bases. Their pitching staff is also strong, with a team ERA of 3.49, ranking 7th in the league.

Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays, bringing a 3.04 ERA and a WHIP of 1.10. He has been reliable, helping the team in crucial situations. With their recent performances and strong stats, the Rays have a good chance to continue their winning streak.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back after a tough 0-7 loss to the Texas Rangers. In that game, Colton Cowser managed the only hit for the Orioles. Despite the loss, the Orioles have shown they can compete, as seen in their 6-0 win over the Rangers just a few days ago.

Key stats highlight why the Orioles can win. They have hit 92 home runs this season, ranking 12th in the league. Their starting pitcher, Tomoyuki Sugano, has a solid ERA of 3.55, which can help keep the opposing team’s scoring in check.

Strong performances from players like Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday will be crucial. Henderson has a batting average of .271, while Holliday leads the team with 9 home runs. With these players leading the charge, the Orioles have the potential to secure a win against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Lean

The Rays are favored with a MoneyLine of -122, while the Orioles are at +103. The Rays have a stronger batting average and pitching stats, ranking 2nd in batting average and 7th in ERA. My model projects a score of Rays 5, Orioles 4. Based on this, the recommendation is to pick the Rays to win straight up.

The current over/under line is set at 9.0. My model’s projected total score is 9, matching the line. The Rays’ pitching ranks 7th in ERA, and the Orioles’ pitching struggles with a 27th rank. With these factors, the recommendation is to take the under 9.0.

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Red-Hot Rays and Their Stingy Pitching Visit Slumping Orioles

Two American League East rivals heading in completely opposite directions will clash on Friday night as the surging Tampa Bay Rays visit the slumping Baltimore Orioles. The Rays are riding a wave of dominant pitching, while the Orioles are desperately trying to find a spark for their ice-cold offense.

Tampa Bay’s Pitching Prowess

The Rays are one of the hottest teams in baseball, having won five of their last six games. Their success has been built on the mound. They are coming off a three-game sweep of the Royals where they posted back-to-back shutouts to end the series. The pitcher taking the mound for them on Friday, Ryan Pepiot (5-6, 3.04 ERA), is a major reason for that dominance. In his last start against these same Orioles on June 16, Pepiot was spectacular, tossing a season-high eight innings of one-run ball while striking out 11.

Baltimore’s Baffled Bats

While the Rays can’t be stopped on the mound, the Orioles can’t get anything going at the plate. They have lost four of their last five games and have been shut out twice during that span. Incredibly, they have been held without a hit through the first six innings in three of their last seven games. Manager Tony Mansolino is attributing the struggles to fatigue at the end of a long stretch of games.

“I wouldn’t look too deep into it,” Mansolino said. “It’s a really strange week… I think you can attribute a little bit of that to that.”

A Lopsided Duel on the Mound

Friday’s pitching matchup appears to be a major mismatch on paper. While the Rays have their hot hand in Pepiot, the Orioles will counter with rookie right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano (5-4, 3.55 ERA). Sugano has struggled with his control lately, issuing seven walks in June, and has failed to complete the fifth inning in each of his last three starts. This contrast will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

Can the O’s Break Through?

Despite the recent offensive woes, the Orioles believe they can turn things around against their division rival. “Grand scheme of things, I thought we’ve been playing some pretty good baseball the last couple weeks,” said infielder Jordan Westburg. How a slumping offense fares against a hot pitcher is a classic challenge, a topic often discussed in our expert betting guide. For two MLB teams fighting for position in the AL East, this series is crucial. To see who our experts think will win the opener, check out our daily MLB picks.