Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions September 19th 2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Thu, Sep 19, 19:15 pm.
Milwaukee Brewers
ML: 105
0
0
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML: -125
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

Thursday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Brewers has a first pitch set for 7:15 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 88-64 and are starting Tobias Myers, while the Diamondbacks are 84-68 and are starting Brandon Pfaadt. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, while the Brewers are leading the NL Central.

FOX is carrying Thursday’s TV coverage, and the money line odds have the Diamondbacks favored at -116 compared to the Brewers at -101. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Brewers are 5-5 in their last 10 games, while the Diamondbacks are 6-4.

Arizona vs. Milwaukee Key Information

  • Teams: Diamondbacks at Brewers
  • Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
  • Date: Thursday, September 19th
  • Betting Odds ARI -116 | MIL -101 O/U 8

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 9-9 with a 4.81 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27, and opponents are batting .263 off the right-hander this year. In his 29 starts, Pfaadt has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.64 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Pfaadt took the loss, giving up eight earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.

Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the league’s best team on-base percentage and slugging percentage. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

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Heading into today’s game, Pavin Smith is on a five-game hitting streak and is 8/15 in his last five games. Randal Grichuk has also been hot of late, going 5/7 in his last three games, with two homers and five RBIs. Grichuk also has a four-game hitting streak.

  • The Diamondbacks are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 1-4 vs. the run line.
  • Arizona has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • The Diamondbacks have an average of 6.4 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Diamondbacks are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Diamondbacks last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
  • Arizona has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 5.3 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Milwaukee is starting right-hander Tobias Myers vs. the Diamondbacks today. Myers has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.07 ERA. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recently faced the Diamondbacks on September 14th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that outing, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 4th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. This is a team that has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee also does a good job of working the count, as they are 2nd in the league in walks.

Willy Adames has been a key power source for the Brewers this season, as he is 10th in the league with 32 home runs. Adames is also 3rd in the league in RBIs, with 109. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .143 over his last eight games. Rhys Hoskins has also hit two homers in his last seven games and comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.

  • The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Brewers are 4-1 vs. the run line.
  • Milwaukee has an over/under record of 3-6-1 in their last ten games.
  • The Brewers have an average of 6.8 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 7-3
  • Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Milwaukee has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 6.2 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Our lean for a money line pick would be to take the Diamondbacks to come out on top. And with our projection for this game being the 4th highest-scoring in the league today, we would be leaning towards taking the over. Looking at the starters for this matchup, we have Brandon Pfaadt as the 3rd best strikeout option compared to Tobias Myers, who is 16th among today’s starters.

Diamondbacks and Brewers Gear Up for a Potential Playoff Showdown

As the season finisher race warms up, the Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers are set to go head to head in a significant four-game series that could act as a see of the postseason. The two groups have a lot to play for, with Arizona pursuing a wild-card spot and Milwaukee new off securing their second sequential National League Focal title.

This matchup holds huge load as the two groups could meet again in a wild-card series on the off chance that the standings hold, making way for a high-stakes series opener.

Brandon Pfaadt Aims for Redemption Against Brewers

The Diamondbacks will rely on right-hander Brandon Pfaadt as they open the series in Milwaukee. However, Pfaadt is looking to rebound from a disastrous start just five days ago when he faced this very same Brewers lineup.

Pfaadt allowed eight runs in only 1 2/3 innings in that game, which was easily one of his roughest outings of the season.

Arizona needs Pfaadt to turn things around quickly, as the team sits tied with the New York Mets for the second wild-card spot, 2.5 games behind the San Diego Padres.

While his performance against Milwaukee was far from ideal, Pfaadt has had stretches of effectiveness throughout the season, compiling a 9-9 record with a 4.81 ERA. A bounce-back performance could not come at a more critical time for Arizona.

Brewers Celebrate Division Title but Stay Focused

Milwaukee clinched their division on Wednesday thanks to a Chicago Cubs loss earlier in the day. The Brewers then capped off the night with a 2-1 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies, sealed by a walk-off single from Jake Bauers in the ninth inning.

“I hope we do a good job of keeping it under control when we celebrate, and then start to look forward and get after the next phase of this,” Brewers manager Pat Murphy said, keeping his team focused on the bigger picture.

Milwaukee’s festival might have been brief, however the Brewers have their eyes set on getting a first-round bye in quite a while. The Brewers are at present two games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for the second-best record in the National League, which could give them that truly necessary additional rest before the postseason starts.

Tobias Myers Looks to Keep Brewers Rolling

Taking the mound for the Brewers will be rookie right-hander Tobias Myers, who was impressive in his last outing against the Diamondbacks. Myers earned the win in that game, going six innings while allowing four runs on nine hits.

Myers has been steady for the Brewers, posting an 8-5 record with a 3.07 ERA. He’s 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA over his last seven starts, showcasing his ability to handle pressure situations as Milwaukee gears up for the postseason.

The Brewers will hope that Myers can replicate his success against the Diamondbacks and keep their momentum going, especially as they continue to chase a better playoff position.

Arizona’s Offense Heating Up at the Right Time

Regardless of Pfaadt’s battles in his last beginning, the Diamondbacks’ offense has been a splendid spot for the group, reliably delivering runs. Arizona set up nine runs in a success over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, drove by two homers from Corbin Carroll. Beginning pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez was additionally sharp, permitting only two runs north of 6 1/3 innings while striking out 11.

“If you were to tell me in spring training that we’d be in the position we’re in with 10 games to go, I’d sign up for that every single time,” said Arizona manager Torey Lovullo, reflecting on the team’s position as they push for the playoffs.

Arizona’s lineup has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 6.37 runs per game since the All-Star break. That offensive surge ranks second in National League history behind only the 1953 Brooklyn Dodgers, a testament to how potent this team can be when it’s clicking.

Pfaadt’s Challenge: Overcoming Recent Struggles

For Arizona to keep up their playoff chase, they need a better performance from Pfaadt in this series. His recent struggles, particularly in his last outing against Milwaukee, have raised concerns about his command and consistency.

“It was a total lack of pitch execution, missed pitches in the middle of the zone, lack of command with our secondary stuff, just too many misses to a team that is just going to fight you the whole way and not give in,” said Lovullo after Pfaadt’s last start.

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Pfaadt will need to sharpen his approach and avoid leaving too many pitches over the heart of the plate against a disciplined Brewers lineup. His ability to make adjustments and command the strike zone will be crucial if Arizona hopes to make a deep playoff run.

Brewers Riding High with Eyes on a Playoff Bye

While Milwaukee has already secured their division title, their work is far from done. The Brewers are still within striking distance of a first-round bye, and their focus remains on continuing to play winning baseball as the postseason nears.

“This is a special group of guys, and they believed at some point,” Brewers manager Pat Murphy said, praising the team’s chemistry and focus.

A key to Milwaukee’s success has been their ability to deliver in big moments. Whether it’s their pitching or timely hitting, the Brewers have consistently found ways to win close games, including Wednesday’s walk-off victory over the Phillies.

Playoff Atmosphere Already Taking Shape

With the two groups in season finisher conflict, this series between the Diamondbacks and Brewers conveys a postseason climate. In the event that the end of the season games were to start today, these two groups would get down to business in a wild-card series, making this four-game set an expected review of what’s to come.

Both Arizona and Milwaukee have shown flexibility all through the season, and as they head into the last stretch, each game turns out to be progressively significant. For the Diamondbacks, each success carries them closer to getting a wild-card spot, while the Brewers are hoping to keep up with their energy and secure a higher seed in the end of the season games.

This series could be a pivotal turning point for the two clubs as they hope to harden their postseason goals and get ready for the extraordinary fights ahead.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Wed, Sep 18, 18:31 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Milwaukee Brewers
+1.5
-160
105
O 8
-110
Arizona Diamondbacks
-1.5
135
-125
U 8
-110
Sean Kuchman | Handicapper

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