Milwaukee Brewers vs Ny Mets Mets Picks and Predictions September 27th 2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Mets MLB Fri, Sep 27, 20:10 pm.
Milwaukee Brewers
ML: -105
0
0
NY Mets Mets
ML: -115
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Mets and Brewers is set for 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 91-68 and are starting Frankie Montas, while the Mets are 87-70 and Sean Manaea is on the mound for them. New York is 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central.

The money line odds have the Mets at -121 compared to the Brewers at +101, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs. SNY will be televising this NL matchup.

New York vs. Milwaukee Key Information

  • Teams: Mets at Brewers
  • Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
  • Date: Friday, September 27th
  • Betting Odds NYM -121 | MIL +101 O/U 7.5

The Mets Can Win If…

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 12-5 with an ERA of 3.29. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. Out of his 31 appearances, Manaea has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 9.25 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he didn’t give up more than one earned run.

Over the past eight games, Jose Iglesias has been on fire for the Mets, batting .441 with seven runs scored. He also has a current 17-game hitting streak. Luisangel Acuña has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 in his last eight games, including three homers. Acuna also has a three-game hitting streak coming into today’s game.

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As a team, the Mets are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. New York comes into the game as the league’s 6th ranked home run-hitting team and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and OPS.

  • The Mets are 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Mets are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • New York has an over/under record of 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • The Mets have an average of 4.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Mets are 6-4
  • Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 4.0 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Frankie Montas will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In his most recent outing, he went just 2 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs, and six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back over his last four starts, Montas has finished with a loss, no-decision, and loss in three of those outings. Montas’ ERA for the season is 4.85, along with a record of 7-11. Out of his 29 starts, Montas has nine quality starts and is averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and they are also 3rd in the league in walks. Their team on-base percentage of .326 is also 3rd in the MLB.

Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are 10th in the league and leads the Brewers. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/24 in his last six games. William Contreras is batting .281 this season and is 3rd on the team with 23 homers.

  • The Brewers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Brewers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Milwaukee has an over/under record of 3-6-1 in their last ten games.
  • The Brewers have an average of 4.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
  • Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • Milwaukee has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 5.1 runs per game on offense

The Lean

There should be no shortage of offense in today’s Mets and Brewers matchup, and not only are we leaning towards the Brewers picking up the win at home, but we are also leaning towards the over. The Brewers have the 3rd best team run scored projection, and 2nd best home runs projection, and Frankie Montas has the 2nd best chance to pick up a win among today’s starters.

After two weather-related postponements, the New York Mets will resume their postseason push when they face the Milwaukee Brewers in a pivotal three-game series starting Friday in Milwaukee. The series could play a crucial role in determining the National League wild-card standings.

The Mets (87-70) enter Friday tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71) for the second NL wild-card spot. They trail the San Diego Padres (91-68) by three games and hold a one-game lead over the Atlanta Braves (86-71). The Mets will play a makeup doubleheader on Monday against Atlanta, which had games postponed due to rain on Wednesday and Thursday.

Mets Manager Emphasizes Focus on Brewers

“We’ve got to move on to the next series now,” said Mets manager Carlos Mendoza. “Facing another really good team in Milwaukee. We’ve got to go out there and not only win a series, but we’ve got to go out there and take care of business. That’s the only thing we can do.”

The Mets will start left-hander Sean Manaea (12-5, 3.29 ERA) in Friday’s opener. The Brewers, having already clinched the NL Central title, will send right-hander Frankie Montas (7-11, 4.85 ERA) to the mound.

Brewers Prepare for Calculated Series

Milwaukee (91-68) secured the NL Central last week and is locked into the No. 3 seed for the playoffs. The Brewers are fresh off a 5-2 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates, which clinched a series win. Aaron Civale threw six scoreless innings to lead Milwaukee to the victory.

The upcoming series could serve as a precursor to a potential wild-card matchup between the Brewers and Mets, with both teams preparing for the playoffs.

“These three games will be calculated, very calculated,” Brewers manager Pat Murphy said. “Who pitches, how long they pitch, who will be ready when.”

Mets to Welcome Back Francisco Lindor

New York is expected to welcome back star shortstop Francisco Lindor, who has been sidelined since Sept. 15 due to lower back pain. Lindor was slated to return against the Braves before the rainout.

“He was feeling good today,” Mendoza said on Wednesday. “That’s why he was in the lineup. He’s going to work out, hit in the cages, move around, and we’ll see how he continues to progress. But we’re buying him an extra day or two here.”

Lindor has been a key player for the Mets, hitting .271 with 31 home runs and 86 RBIs this season.

Montas and Manaea Set for Friday’s Pitching Duel

Frankie Montas, acquired from the Cincinnati Reds in July, will be looking to bounce back after a rough outing in his last start. Montas allowed eight runs (seven earned) in just 2 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, though he avoided the loss as the Brewers rallied from an 8-0 deficit to win 10-9.

“It shows you the type of team and bullpen that we have,” Montas said. “We don’t give up the fight. We’re out there putting up a fight, and we’re the type of team where you have to make 27 outs or we’re going to show you what we’re made of.”

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Montas has had a challenging September, going 1-2 with a 5.75 ERA and allowing six home runs in 20 1/3 innings. He is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in two career appearances (one start) against the Mets.

On the other side, Sean Manaea has been a steady force for the Mets, winning four straight decisions over his last eight starts. The Mets have won all eight of those games. Manaea has a 1-1 record with a 4.19 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Brewers.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Thu, Sep 26, 17:47 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Milwaukee Brewers
+1.5
-170
-105
O 7.5
-115
NY Mets Mets
-1.5
145
-115
U 7.5
-105
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