Miami Marlins vs La Dodgers Dodgers Picks and Predictions September 19th 2024

Miami Marlins vs LA Dodgers Dodgers MLB Thu, Sep 19, 16:40 pm.
Miami Marlins
ML: 170
0
0
LA Dodgers Dodgers
ML: -200
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins on Thursday, as they are hosting the Dodgers, who are starting Jack Flaherty. The game gets underway at 4:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Dodgers are heavily favored on the money line (-206). The Marlins are +176 on the money line.

Los Angeles comes in with a record of 90-62 and they are 1st in the NL West, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 56-96. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSFL is carrying this game on TV.

Los Angeles vs. Miami Key Information

  • Teams: Dodgers at Marlins
  • Where: loanDepot Park Miami
  • Date: Thursday, September 19th
  • Betting Odds LAD -206 | MIA +176 O/U 8

The Dodgers Can Win If…

Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.04. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Flaherty’s last outing came on September 14th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Freddie Freeman has been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers, going 7/19 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .368 for the Dodgers since being traded to the team. Tommy Edman has struggled of late, going just 4/21 in his last five games. However, he does have two homers in that stretch.

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Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 48 homers are 2nd in the league and the most on the Dodgers. He also is 2nd in the league with 110 RBIs. Ohtani is batting .287 for the season. Teoscar Hernandez is also a power threat, as he has 29 homers and 90 RBIs.

  • The Dodgers are 5-5 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Dodgers are 3-2 vs. the run line.
  • Los Angeles has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
  • The Dodgers have an average of 7.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Dodgers are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Dodgers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Los Angeles has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Dodgers have averaged 5.9 runs per game on offense

The Marlins Can Win If…

Marlins starter Edward Cabrera has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 4-7. His ERA for the season is 4.55, along with a WHIP of 1.33. Cabrera’s last outing came on September 13th, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Against the Dodgers, Cabrera has made one appearance and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .211 and is averaging 10.01 strikeouts per nine innings.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is batting a collective .241, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just 21st in the league. One area they have really struggled in is drawing walks, as they are the league’s worst team in that category.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 26 homers and Sánchez sitting in the 2nd spot with 17. Burger also leads the team with 66 RBIs, while Sánchez is 2nd with 62. Otto Lopez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/26 in his last seven games, with two homers and six RBIs.

  • The Marlins are 3-7 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Marlins are 2-3 vs. the run line.
  • Miami has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
  • The Marlins have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Marlins are 3-7
  • Looking back across the Marlins last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
  • Miami has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Marlins have averaged 3.0 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Our lean for an over/under pick would be to take the over, as we have this as the 8th highest-scoring game of the day. For a money line pick, we would be leaning toward the Dodgers to come out on top. Los Angeles is 4th in our projections in home runs, and Jack Flaherty has the 2nd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.

Jack Flaherty Looks to Extend His Success Against Miami

As the Los Angeles Dodgers aim to secure another series win, Jack Flaherty, their right-hander, is set to take the mound against the Miami Marlins in what promises to be a decisive game. Thursday’s afternoon matchup in Miami will give Flaherty the chance to continue his dominance in a ballpark where he’s found plenty of success in the past.

Flaherty has made a habit of shining in Miami, and his team will need another solid performance from him as they chase a postseason berth.

Flaherty’s History of Success in Miami

Jack Flaherty has made two career starts in Miami, and in both outings, he’s been nothing short of stellar.

In 12 2/3 innings, he’s kept the Marlins scoreless, allowing only 10 hits and six walks while striking out 11 batters.

Those two beginnings have procured him a 2-0 record with an ideal 0.00 ERA in this ballpark. Overall, Flaherty has confronted Miami multiple times, going 2-2 with an amazing 2.55 ERA.

His history goes with him a characteristic decision for this vital game. The Dodgers, who are 5-3 in games he’s begun, have likewise depended on Flaherty all through this season, with his 12 successes denoting a lifelong high. Nonetheless, he’s falling off an unpleasant excursion against an intense Braves group, where he battled to track down his cadence.

Bouncing Back from a Tough Outing

Flaherty’s last start wasn’t what the Dodgers had hoped for. Facing the Atlanta Braves, one of the league’s most potent offenses, he surrendered four runs on five hits in just three innings. That game ended in a 10-1 loss, but Flaherty isn’t dwelling on it.

“I was around the zone but not attacking,” Flaherty said, reflecting on the outing. “Walked four guys, didn’t get ahead in counts, and couldn’t put guys away. They strung together good at-bats, but you move on. Time to make adjustments and get ready for the next one.”

It’s this kind of mindset that the Dodgers are banking on as they prepare for Thursday’s game. Flaherty knows what it takes to bounce back and has the experience to do so, especially in a setting where he’s found past success.

Edward Cabrera: Miami’s Talented Yet Unpredictable Arm

On the other side, the Miami Marlins will counter with their own right-hander, Edward Cabrera. Known for his high-velocity fastball and excellent changeup, Cabrera has the tools to give the Dodgers’ lineup some trouble. However, control issues have often plagued the young pitcher.

Cabrera’s walk rate has been a concern, sitting at 4.4 walks per nine innings this season, though that’s an improvement from his 6.0 rate in 2023.

Cabrera has had a rough history against the Dodgers. In three career appearances, including two starts, he’s gone 1-2 with a hefty 7.71 ERA. He last faced the Dodgers on May 7, when Max Muncy launched a grand slam in the first inning, setting the tone for a short two-inning outing for Cabrera.

Despite these struggles, Cabrera has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in his most recent starts.

Cabrera’s Recent Dominance

September has been kind to Cabrera. Earlier this month, he delivered seven scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, showcasing his potential. Then, in his most recent outing against the Washington Nationals, Cabrera was brilliant once again.

“That was the most dominant outing of his season, maybe his career,” said Marlins manager Skip Schumaker after Cabrera’s six innings of one-hit ball against Washington.

While Cabrera took the loss in that game, his performance left little to be desired. He struck out nine batters and allowed only two unearned runs. Unfortunately for Cabrera, fielding errors and a lack of offensive support sealed his fate. But the Marlins are hopeful that with a cleaner game behind him, Cabrera can carry that momentum into Thursday’s matchup.

Connor Norby: Adjusting to a New Position

Behind Cabrera, the Marlins will be leaning on their defense and hoping for a strong contribution from rookie Connor Norby. Recently acquired from the Baltimore Orioles, Norby has had to adjust to a new role. Although naturally a second baseman, he’s been playing third base since joining Miami at the end of July.

“Making a position change in the big leagues is tough,” said Schumaker. “But Connor’s done well considering, and he’s also had to hit. That’s a lot to handle for a young guy.”

Norby has committed four blunders in 22 games at third base, yet he’s shown guarantee at the plate. In his 26 games with the Marlins, Norby has posted an amazing .864 OPS and scored 23 runs, offering genuinely necessary hostile help.

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What’s in store in the Unequivocal Matchup

As the Dodgers and Marlins get ready to go head to head in the last round of their three-game series, the two groups will be searching for areas of strength for a from their beginning pitchers. Flaherty’s set of experiences in Miami gives Los Angeles an unmistakable benefit, particularly provided his capacity to close down the Marlins’ arrangement in past gatherings. Notwithstanding, the Marlins can’t be counted out, as Cabrera has been moving in the correct heading and could be ready for areas of strength for another.

For the Dodgers, a success would add to their energy as they head into the last stretch of the time, hoping to set their season finisher position. In the mean time, Miami will expect areas of strength for a to what has been an extreme season, particularly from youthful players like Norby who are working for what’s in store.

Thursday’s down vows to be a skirmish of potential versus experience, with both Flaherty and Cabrera having a great deal to demonstrate on the hill.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Wed, Sep 18, 14:33 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Miami Marlins
+1.5
-105
170
O 8
-110
LA Dodgers Dodgers
-1.5
-115
-200
U 8
-110
Sean Kuchman | Handicapper

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