Ny Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions September 20th 2024

NY Mets Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Fri, Sep 20, 19:10 pm.
NY Mets Mets
ML: -105
0
0
Philadelphia Phillies
ML: -115
DocSports, The most trusted name in sports handicapping

At 7:10 PM ET, the Phillies and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-109). The money line odds have the Phillies at -108.

Philadelphia will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 91-62 and in 1st place in the NL East. The Mets have won four in a row and are 85-68 overall. David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets, while the Phillies are starting Cristopher Sanchez. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.

Philadelphia vs. New York Key Information

  • Teams: Phillies at Mets
  • Where: Citi Field New York
  • Date: Friday, September 20th
  • Betting Odds NYM -109 | PHI -108 O/U 7.5

The Phillies Can Win If…

Through 29 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 10-9, along with an ERA of 3.24. He has made 17 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Sánchez’s most recent outing came on September 15th vs. the Mets, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went seven innings, giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up an earned run. Sánchez has given up just one earned run in three of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he has 7.43 strikeouts and just 1.99 walks.

As a team, the Phillies are one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th) and batting .258 as a team, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. Philadelphia’s offense has been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Schwarber’s 35 homers leading the team and Harper’s 29 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Harper has been hot of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games with three homers. Schwarber is also on a four-game hitting streak. Trea Turner has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/41 in his last 10 games with three homers.

  • The Phillies are 6-4 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Phillies are 1-4 vs. the run line.
  • Philadelphia has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
  • The Phillies have an average of 3.2 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten road games, the Phillies are 5-5
  • Looking back across the Phillies last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
  • Philadelphia has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Phillies have averaged 5.5 runs per game on offense

The Mets Can Win If…

Through 19 starts, David Peterson has a record of 9-2 and an ERA of 2.85. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.26 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The left-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and 3.13 ERA. At home, his record is 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him at 31. Alonso also has the top RBI total on the team at 87, while Lindor is 2nd with 86 RBIs. Both players have been swinging the bat well of late, with Alonso hitting .375 and Lindor at .300 over the team’s last six games.

Jose Iglesias comes into the game on a 13-game hitting streak and has gone 11/26 in his last six games. Over this stretch, he has scored six runs but has yet to go deep. Brandon Nimmo has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/20 in his last five games, including two homers.

  • The Mets are 7-3 in their last ten games.
  • Over their last five games, the Mets are 4-1 vs. the run line.
  • New York has an over/under record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
  • The Mets have an average of 6.6 runs per game over their last five games.
  • Across their last ten home games, the Mets are 7-3
  • Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
  • New York has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
  • In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 4.2 runs per game on offense

Mets Look for Another 10-Run Outing in Clash with Phillies

The New York Mets are on an offensive tear and will look to maintain their hot streak when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday night. After scoring 30 runs over their last three games, the Mets are aiming for another high-powered performance as they continue their push for a National League wild-card spot.

Red-Hot Mets Offense Without Lindor

Despite the absence of star shortstop Francisco Lindor, the Mets (85-68) have shown no signs of slowing down. Lindor, who played in the first 147 games of the season, has been sidelined with a sore back, yet New York’s offense has exploded. The Mets have scored 10 runs in each of their last three games, marking the first time in franchise history they’ve accomplished such a streak.

Several players have stepped up in Lindor’s absence, with Brandon Nimmo, Pete Alonso, Francisco Alvarez, and rookie Luisangel Acuña each contributing two home runs in the past three games. Nimmo’s tie-breaking homer on Thursday propelled the Mets to a 10-6 victory over the Phillies, extending their offensive streak.

“We said it: Guys are going to go down, and guys will continue to step up,” Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said. “It feels like a different guy every night.”

Wild-Card Race Intensifies

Thursday’s win keeps the Mets tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final two NL wild-card spots, two games ahead of the Atlanta Braves. With the tiebreaker advantage over Arizona from their season series, every game becomes crucial for New York as they chase a postseason berth.

The Mets’ timely offensive surge has provided a much-needed boost as they fight for a wild-card spot, even without one of their star players.

Phillies Miss Clinching Opportunity

The Philadelphia Phillies (91-62) are on the cusp of clinching a playoff berth, but they missed an opportunity to seal the deal on Thursday. Their magic number to win the NL East remains at four after falling short in the series opener. Despite rallies throughout the game, Philadelphia couldn’t overcome the Mets’ relentless offense. Trea Turner and Bryce Harper led the charge for the Phillies, with Turner hitting a two-run homer and Harper adding a two-run double.

“We had that big inning going,” Phillies manager Rob Thomson said. “I really thought we were going to come back and win that game.”

Peterson and Sanchez Face Off Again

Friday’s game will feature a rematch of left-handers David Peterson (9-2, 2.85 ERA) for the Mets and Cristopher Sanchez (10-9, 3.24 ERA) for the Phillies. The two pitchers faced each other last Sunday, with both delivering strong performances. Peterson allowed just one run over 7 2/3 innings, while Sanchez gave up one run over seven innings, though neither earned a decision in the game.

Peterson has been a consistent force for the Mets this season, holding a 1-2 record with a 4.57 ERA in nine career games against the Phillies. Sanchez, meanwhile, has also been solid, posting a 1-2 record with a 3.62 ERA in eight career games against the Mets, including two starts this season where he recorded a 2.84 ERA.

Key Players to Watch

  • Mets: Brandon Nimmo, Pete Alonso, Luisangel Acuña
  • Phillies: Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, Cristopher Sanchez

With both teams in the heat of postseason races and the Mets’ offense firing on all cylinders, Friday’s game promises to be another critical matchup as the season winds down.

In a game where every run matters, will the Mets continue their red-hot streak, or can the Phillies rally to clinch their division? Friday’s showdown is poised to be a pivotal contest for both clubs.

The Lean

Look for the Phillies to come out on top as they take on the Mets today, and we are leaning towards taking them on the money line. We also like the over in this one, as this is our 2nd highest projected scoring game of the day. These teams are also projected to finish with the 3rd most hits. David Peterson has the 13th best strikeout projection among today’s starters, but we still like the Phillies offense in this one, as they have the 2nd best home run projection.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Thu, Sep 19, 15:18 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
NY Mets Mets
-1.5
185
-105
O 7.5
-110
Philadelphia Phillies
+1.5
-220
-115
U 7.5
-110
Sean Kuchman | Handicapper

Over two decades of winning sports picks by Sean Kuchman. 

Sean’s extensive experience in sports gambling is matched by his passion for the games and his commitment to research, offering followers well-researched picks and a chance to win alongside him.

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