Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Predictions May 16th 2025

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Suarez Looks to Extend Dominance vs. Pirates

Ranger Suarez rebounded brilliantly from an early rough outing, blanking Cleveland over seven innings on Saturday after allowing seven runs in his season debut. Now fully healed from his offseason back issue, the 2022 All-Star is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in seven career appearances (four starts) against Pittsburgh and aims to add another strong performance to that ledger Friday night at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies Split Doubleheader, Bullpen Carries Confidence

Philadelphia snapped St. Louis’s nine-game win streak with a 2-1 victory in Wednesday’s opener before falling 14-7 in Game 2. Jesus Luzardo’s seven-inning gem and Bryce Harper’s clutch RBI in Game 1 highlighted the Phillies’ ability to win tight contests, while Jordan Romano has delivered six spotless appearances to cap his turnaround from a 13.50 ERA in April.

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Pirates’ Resurgence Under New Leadership

Under interim manager Don Kelly, Pittsburgh snapped a five-game skid with a 4-0 win at New York, their third straight one-run contest before Wednesday’s breakthrough. Matt Gorski and Jared Triolo each launched two-run homers, and rookie infielder Trey Lipscomb bolstered the lineup in Luis Garcia Jr.’s absence, showcasing the club’s depth as Andrew Heaney takes the ball looking to spark an offense that has scored more than three runs just twice in 11 games.

Key Matchups and Tactical Stakes

Suarez’s changeup will test the Pirates’ patience early, while Heaney must neutralize Bryce Harper’s power and Gavin Lux’s spring-loaded swing. The battle in the middle innings—between Philadelphia’s late-inning bullpen and Pittsburgh’s penchant for small-ball rallies—will determine whether this opener tilts toward a pitcher’s duel or an offensive slugfest.

MLB Predictions and Final Thoughts

With two veteran arms in Suarez and Heaney set to go toe-to-toe, this series opener promises a tightly contested affair where late-game bullpen matchups loom large. For in-depth analysis, odds breakdowns, and expert side and prop selections, trust our MLB Predictions before placing your bets.

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