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Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets June 27th 2025
The New York Mets will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Friday, June 27, 2025. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM and will be broadcast on SNY. Fans can expect a warm evening with a light breeze, though there is a chance of light rain.
The Mets come into this game with a 48-34 record, showing strength in the NL East. David Peterson will start for the Mets, holding a 2.98 ERA. The Pirates, with a 32-50 record, will look to improve their standing in the NL Central. Mitch Keller will pitch for the Pirates, aiming to turn around his 1-10 record this season.
Mets vs Pirates Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Venue: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
- Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
- Betting Odds: Mets MoneyLine -165, Pirates MoneyLine +139
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets are coming off a strong 4-0 win against the Atlanta Braves. Pete Alonso had a standout performance, going 3-for-4 with a run and an RBI. Griffin Canning was solid on the mound, allowing just one hit in 2 2/3 innings.
The Mets’ pitching has been a key factor this season, leading the league with a 3.23 ERA. Their pitchers have also given up the fewest home runs, only 59 so far. This strong pitching gives them a great chance to control the game against the Pirates.
Offensively, the Mets have power with 107 home runs, ranking sixth in the league. Pete Alonso and Juan Soto are major threats, with 18 and 19 home runs, respectively. With their balanced lineup and strong pitching, the Mets are well-positioned to secure another win.
The Pirates Can Win If…
The Pittsburgh Pirates are looking to bounce back after a 4-2 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. In that game, Tommy Pham stood out with two hits and one RBI. Spencer Horwitz also contributed with a double and an RBI. The Pirates will aim to carry forward the positives from their recent performances.
The Pirates have shown strong hitting capabilities this season. They rank 5th in stolen bases with 72, which can be a game-changer. Their ability to create scoring opportunities with speed and smart base running could be key against the Mets.
Mitch Keller will be on the mound for the Pirates. Despite his 1-10 record, Keller has a decent WHIP of 1.22, indicating he can limit baserunners. With solid support from hitters like Andrew McCutchen and Nick Gonzales, the Pirates have the pieces to secure a win.
The Lean
The Mets are the favorites with a moneyline of -165. They have a strong pitching staff, leading the league with a 3.23 ERA. The Pirates, with a moneyline of +139, have struggled offensively, ranking 27th in home runs. Our model projects a Mets win with a score of 5-3.
The over/under line is set at 8.5. The Mets’ pitching dominance and the Pirates’ weak offense suggest a low-scoring game. Our model projects a total score of 8, making the under a reasonable pick. The Mets’ ability to limit runs supports this prediction.
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Banged-Up Mets Turn to David Peterson in Opener vs. Pirates
The New York Mets earned a victory on Thursday, but it came at a significant cost. Already dealing with a rash of injuries to their pitching staff, the Mets lost another starter and will now turn to their most consistent arm to lead the way. The New York Mets will look to their new de facto ace, David Peterson, as they open a three-game series against the host Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday night.
The Accidental Ace
With injuries to Kodai Senga, Tylor Megill, and now another starter who went down Thursday with a leg injury, David Peterson (5-3, 2.98 ERA) has suddenly been thrust into the role of staff ace. The left-hander is having an All-Star caliber season, having allowed three runs or fewer in 13 of his 15 starts. Now, the pressure is on him to be the stopper for a rotation in crisis.
“Nobody’s Going to Feel Sorry for Us”
Despite the overwhelming injury news, Mets manager Carlos Mendoza is not making any excuses. His message to the team is clear: it’s time for the next man up to prove himself.
“Nobody’s going to feel sorry for us,” Mendoza said. “We’ll find a way. We’ll find a way. Guys will step up. Our mentality is, ‘What do we need to do today?’ Pretty confident in the guys that we’ve got in that room.” This mentality is a key factor when evaluating banged-up MLB teams.
A Message Sent in Pittsburgh
The Pirates are dealing with their own internal challenges. Manager Don Kelly made headlines this week when he benched star center fielder Oneil Cruz for not hustling on a key play. It was a clear message to the clubhouse about the standard of effort that is expected.
“I think he understood… that that’s not going to be tolerated,” Kelly said. “We need more. Not more hits, not more home runs — that will come with the work — but the effort and the way we go about it.” How a team responds to public discipline is a fascinating topic in our expert betting guide.
A Duel of Opposing Fortunes
Friday’s pitching matchup features two pitchers in very different situations. While Peterson has been solid for the Mets, the Pirates will start the ultimate hard-luck pitcher, Mitch Keller (1-10, 4.02 ERA). Despite a decent ERA, Keller has just one win all season due to a lack of run support. However, he has an excellent 2.12 career ERA against the Mets. This duel will be a key focus on the scores and odds board. To see who our experts think will win, check out our daily MLB picks.
