Yankees vs Blue Jays Picks and Predictions October 4th 2025

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

The New York Yankees continue their playoff push as they travel north to face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Saturday. Both teams are still fighting for postseason positioning in the American League East, and this matchup could be pivotal as the season enters its final weekend.

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The Yankees enter this game with momentum after a strong 7–2 win over Toronto on Friday night, powered by Aaron Judge’s 45th home run of the season and Gerrit Cole’s dominant six-inning outing. With just two games left, New York is focused on locking in their Wild Card standing and keeping their pitching rotation sharp heading into the postseason.

Toronto, on the other hand, is on the brink of elimination. Despite a strong offensive core led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, inconsistency from the bullpen has hurt the Blue Jays in close games. Kevin Gausman will get the ball on Saturday, looking to finish his season strong after logging 200+ strikeouts for the third straight year.

Projected Pitching Matchup

  • Yankees: Nestor Cortes (LHP, 3.74 ERA, 1.14 WHIP)
  • Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (RHP, 4.01 ERA, 1.21 WHIP)

Cortes has rebounded after an injury-plagued 2024 campaign, holding opponents to a .222 average over his last six starts. Gausman has struggled recently with command, giving up 11 runs across his last 14 innings, but still owns one of MLB’s best strikeout rates.

Key Stats:

  • The Yankees are 8–3 in their last 11 road games.
  • Toronto has lost 7 of their last 9 against left-handed starters.
  • Judge and Soto have combined for 84 HRs — the most by any duo in MLB this season.
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Best Bets & Prediction

Bet TypePickOdds
MoneylineYankees -120Yankees’ lineup depth and Cortes’ recent form give them the edge.
Total RunsOver 8.5 (-110)Both teams have been swinging hot bats and feature power throughout the order.
Player PropAaron Judge Over 0.5 HR (+270)Judge has three HRs in his last four games at Rogers Centre.

Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4

Injuries and Conditions

  • Yankees: DJ LeMahieu (foot) – day-to-day; Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) – out.
  • Blue Jays: Alek Manoah (shoulder) – out; George Springer (illness) – probable.
  • Weather: Dome stadium, 70°F controlled climate — neutral hitting environment.

Handicappers and Picks

Handicappers at Scores and Stats are backing the Yankees to close out the series behind their elite bullpen and power bats. Expect Cortes to outduel Gausman and New York’s late-inning relief arms to seal the deal.

For expanded expert insights, visit the College Football Week 6 Odds & Predictions page for cross-sport betting edges, and stay tuned to our NFL sections, including the latest on NFL Underdogs and Sunday Night Football Predictions, to sharpen your weekend card.