New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions – June 13, 2026

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The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet Saturday afternoon at Rogers Centre in Toronto, with first pitch set for 3:07 p.m. ET. This is Game 2 of the series, and it has a sharper betting feel after Toronto took Friday’s opener 8-5 and snapped New York’s four-game winning streak. It is also one of the more interesting matchups on the Saturday MLB previews board because the pitching edge points one way, while the injury and ballpark context pull this closer to even.

New York enters at 41-27 and sits right behind Tampa Bay in the AL East race, while Toronto is 34-36 and trying to climb back into the wild-card picture. YES and Sportsnet have the broadcast, and the market has the Yankees as a short road favorite behind Cam Schlittler against Kevin Gausman. That number feels fair, but not soft. The Yankees have the better season profile, yet the lineup is thinner without Aaron Judge, and Trent Grisham’s hamstring issue adds one more moving piece.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Odds

These are the current betting lines for Yankees vs Blue Jays, and bettors should always monitor updated latest MLB odds before locking in a position.

TeamMoneylineRun LineTotal
New York Yankees-122-1.5 (+146)O 7.5 (-106)
Toronto Blue Jays+104+1.5 (-176)U 7.5 (-114)
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New York Yankees Betting Form

The Yankees are still built like a contender, even with the injuries starting to pile up. They have a strong run differential, a deep rotation, and enough power to make any low-total game uncomfortable for Under bettors. Ben Rice has been one of the key bats, Cody Bellinger just went deep in Friday’s loss, and Paul Goldschmidt still gives them a right-handed presence in the middle. But this is not the full-strength Yankees lineup. Judge is out, Austin Wells is on the IL, Giancarlo Stanton is out, Jasson Domínguez is still working back, and Grisham is now day-to-day after leaving Friday’s game. That matters for both the moneyline and the team total.

The projected lineup still has contact and left-handed power, but it becomes more matchup-dependent against Gausman. Rice, Bellinger, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Spencer Jones and Ryan McMahon can all pressure a right-hander, yet there is some swing-and-miss risk in the bottom half. If Grisham sits, the top of the order loses a patient left-handed bat and a good defensive center fielder. For bettors tracking New York across the broader MLB picks board, that is the kind of injury note that can move a fair price by a few cents.

Schlittler is the reason I still lean Yankees. The right-hander comes in at 7-3 with a 1.87 ERA and 89 strikeouts, and his profile gives New York the cleaner first 5 innings case. He has been trusted as more than a five-and-dive arm, which also helps a bullpen that had to cover real innings Friday. The risk is that Toronto already saw the Yankees’ bullpen once and has the better recent offensive feel, but from a starting-pitcher angle, New York owns the edge.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Form

Toronto’s overall record is still under .500, but Friday’s win showed why this team is dangerous at home. The Blue Jays put up eight runs, got production from George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Alejandro Kirk and Kazuma Okamoto, and forced the Yankees to play from behind all night. Kirk’s return is a real boost. He went 3-for-3 with a walk and two RBIs after coming off the injured list, and that changes the length of this lineup even with Daulton Varsho moving to the IL.

The Jays have enough right-handed contact to make Schlittler work, especially if Springer and Guerrero get traffic in front of them. Ernie Clement has been one of their steadier bats, Okamoto brings power, and Kirk gives them another plate-discipline piece. The projected order is not perfect, and Santander, Varsho and others being unavailable still limits the ceiling, but Toronto does not need to slug its way into this game. If it can run up Schlittler’s pitch count by the fifth or sixth, the Blue Jays +1.5 becomes more attractive than the moneyline.

Gausman is the important piece for the home side. He enters 4-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 79 strikeouts, and his command profile is good enough to keep Toronto live if he avoids free passes. The Yankees are banged up, and that gives Gausman a cleaner path than he might have had a few weeks ago. The issue is that New York’s left-handed bats can still punish mistakes, and Rogers Centre does not forgive elevated fastballs. For anyone building a MLB betting guide style read on this game, Gausman’s splitter command is probably the hinge.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup Breakdown

The starting pitcher matchup is the clearest Yankees edge. Schlittler has been sharper than Gausman this season, and his strikeout ability gives him a path to silence the middle of Toronto’s order early. That does not mean this is automatic. Toronto is coming off a high-energy offensive night, and the Blue Jays made the Yankees chase the game from the first inning Friday. Sometimes that carries over. I do not want to overstate it, but home confidence matters a little in a division series like this.

The bullpen setup is not clean on either side. Toronto used Mason Fluharty, Braydon Fisher, Tyler Rogers and Louis Varland on Friday, with Fisher throwing 26 pitches and Varland closing it out. New York used Jack Bird, Brent Headrick, Camilo Doval and Fernando Cruz after Ryan Weathers failed to get through the fifth. That makes first 5 innings more appealing than full game if the price is reasonable, because the starter edge is stronger than the late-inning edge.

The park factor also keeps me from getting too aggressive with the Under. Rogers Centre is roof-controlled, and the listed forecast around 70 degrees with wind does not carry the same open-air impact if the roof is closed. Still, this is a comfortable hitting environment, and both teams have enough power to turn one mistake into two quick runs. The total at 7.5 is not inflated, which makes the Under less obvious even with two quality right-handers.

From a side perspective, New York is the better team and has the better starter. From a spread perspective, Toronto +1.5 is expensive enough that it is hard to love. If you are paying -176 on a run line, you need a lot to go right, and this Blue Jays bullpen still has to prove it can stack clean nights against a patient Yankees offense.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Yankees on the moneyline. My number makes New York closer to -137, so -122 still leaves a little value even with the lineup concerns. It is not a huge gap, and I would not chase this past the mid -130s, but Schlittler gives New York the clearest single-game edge. The Yankees also had enough traffic Friday to suggest the offense was not dead. They just did not cash enough of those chances.

The run line is less attractive. Yankees -1.5 at plus money is tempting because the pitching gap is real, but Toronto’s offense looked better with Kirk back, and the Jays are at home with the last at-bat. I would rather lay the shorter moneyline price than need New York to win by margin. If you can find a reasonable first 5 innings moneyline under -130, that is also playable, perhaps even cleaner than the full-game side.

The total is trickier. The starting pitchers point Under, but the number is only 7.5, and both bullpens worked Friday. Toronto’s lineup is healthier at catcher but thinner in the outfield, while New York’s lineup has power but is missing its biggest bat. I lean Under 7.5, mostly because Schlittler can control the first half and Gausman should benefit from a watered-down Yankees order. Still, I prefer the side. If the market pushes this to 8, the Under becomes more interesting.

Projected score: Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3. The edge is not massive, but the better starter at a modest road price is enough for me. Before the number moves, it is worth checking how the broader market lines up against the handicapper leaderboard, especially if late lineup news removes Grisham from the Yankees order.

Best Bet: Yankees Moneyline -122.

MLB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

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