Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions October 28th 2025

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, at Paycom Center. Oklahoma City enters as one of the NBA’s last unbeaten teams at 4-0, while Sacramento looks to recover from a 127-120 loss to the Lakers. Both Western Conference squads feature elite scorers and fast-paced offenses that promise an exciting matchup in Oklahoma City.

Line Movement and Odds

The Thunder opened as 10.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 228.5. Oklahoma City is priced at -567 on the moneyline, while Sacramento sits at +418. Early betting action has favored the over, given the Thunder’s offensive rhythm and the Kings’ three-point shooting form.

For updated lines and live totals, check the NBA odds and scores page, and explore expert breakdowns in the NBA picks section.

Sacramento Kings Outlook

The Kings enter this contest at 1-2, beginning a challenging four-game road trip after falling to the Lakers. Despite the loss, Zach LaVine has been on fire, scoring 30-plus points in each of the team’s first three games while adding intensity on the defensive end. Dennis Schroder continues to provide playmaking stability, and veteran DeMar DeRozan adds a reliable midrange presence.

Sacramento’s perimeter shooting has been sharp, ranking second in the league at 41.4 percent from deep. However, the team’s rebounding percentage (44.2%) is among the lowest in the NBA, a weakness that could prove costly against the Thunder’s athletic frontcourt.

Coach Doug Christie has emphasized discipline after the Lakers attempted 28 more free throws than his team on Sunday. If Sacramento can control fouls and push the pace, they could test an Oklahoma City defense playing its second game in as many nights.

Sacramento Kings Injury Report

• Keegan Murray (thumb) – out
• Nique Clifford (hamstring) – out

Oklahoma City Thunder Outlook

The Thunder continue to roll after a 101-94 road win against Dallas, improving to 4-0 on the season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 23 points with eight assists, while Chet Holmgren added 18 points and 11 rebounds. Holmgren’s third NBA season has started strong — averaging 23.0 points and 10.3 rebounds on 56.9 percent shooting — as he anchors both ends of the floor.

Oklahoma City’s defense remains elite, tied for first in defensive rating (104.4). They also rank top-five in rebounds (50.8 per game) and opponent field-goal percentage (42.0%). Coach Mark Daigneault’s group has combined length, energy, and balance to stay unbeaten.

The Thunder are now the defending NBA champions and continue to show the same disciplined defensive form that powered their title run. Their ability to defend without fouling and control the glass makes them a nightmare matchup, especially at home.

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

• Jalen Williams (knee) – questionable
• Aaron Wiggins (ankle) – questionable

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Chet Holmgren’s matchup against Zach LaVine defines this game — a battle between an elite interior defender and one of the NBA’s hottest perimeter scorers. Holmgren’s improved physicality inside will be tested against LaVine’s attacking drives and Schroder’s pick-and-rolls.

The Kings will try to exploit their shooting advantage and speed, while the Thunder will look to dominate inside with rebounding and rim protection. If Oklahoma City controls tempo and limits Sacramento’s second-chance looks, they can continue their unbeaten run.

Best Bets and Prediction

The Thunder have the league’s best defense and a home crowd that fuels momentum late in games. Sacramento’s outside shooting can keep it close early, but Oklahoma City’s consistency and depth should prevail in the second half.

Projected Score: Thunder 121, Kings 109
Best Bet: Thunder -10.5 (-110)
Secondary Lean: Over 228.5 (-110)

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