Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors April 11th 2025

At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-833) will take on the Portland Trail Blazers (+572) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 227 points.

Golden State is currently 6th in the Western Conference, while Portland is 12th. The Warriors are favored by 13 points.

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers
• Where: Portland at Moda Center
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds GS -13, GS -833 | POR +572 O/U 227

Sign Up Here!

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors fell to 47-33 on the season after a 114-111 home loss to the Spurs on Wednesday. Golden State was heavily favored, entering the game as 17.5-point favorites, but couldn’t cover the spread. The total score of 225 points fell short of the 233.5-point over/under line.

Golden State started strong, going on a 13-0 run and leading 32-23 after the 1st quarter. However, they were outscored 32-19 in the 2nd quarter. The Warriors bounced back in the 3rd, outscoring the Spurs 37-21, but they couldn’t hold on, as the Spurs rallied with a 38-23 4th quarter to steal the win.

In their 114-111 loss to the Spurs, the Warriors shot 41.9% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 33.3% clip. Stephen Curry led the way with 30 points, including 5 threes, while Jimmy Butler added 28 points and 7 assists, shooting 62.5% from the floor.

Curry scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Butler added 13 points in the 4th. Draymond Green contributed 13 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists, hitting 57.1% of his shots and making 2 threes.

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 3rd quarters, the Warriors struggled in the 4th, allowing 38 points and ultimately falling to the Spurs. Golden State gave up 114 points on 48% shooting from the field.

The Warriors also allowed 18 made threes at a 39% clip. San Antonio went to the line 21 times, hitting 18 free throws. Defensively, Golden State recorded 8 steals and 2 blocks.

• The Warriors are 4-0-1 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.
• Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
• Over their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Trail Blazers Can Win If…

Portland’s season record dropped to 35-45 after a 133-126 road loss to the Jazz on Wednesday. The Blazers, favored by 6.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 259.5 exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 229.5 by 29.5 points.

Utah’s 10-0 run, which took the score from 38-36 to 46-38, was a key moment. Portland led 85-80 going into the 4th quarter but were outscored 34-29 in the final period.

Shaedon Sharpe led the Trail Blazers with 37 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists in their 133-126 loss to the Jazz, hitting 6 threes at 50% efficiency. Overall, Portland struggled from beyond the arc, shooting just 24.4% with 11 made threes, while finishing with a 46.2% field goal percentage.

Sharpe scored 15 points in the 1st quarter and added 11 more in the 3rd. Rayan Rupert contributed 19 points, including 4 in overtime, and Toumani Camara added 16 points, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter.

Despite holding the Jazz to 24 points in the 1st and 25 in the 3rd, the Trail Blazers gave up 34 points in the 4th, leading to a 133-126 loss. Portland allowed Utah to shoot 51% from the field.

The Blazers sent the Jazz to the line 22 times, where they made 18 free throws. Portland also gave up 15 threes on 41% shooting. Defensively, they recorded 13 steals and 5 blocks.

• When looking at their past five home matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
• In their last five games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Warriors is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 134-85. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Warriors at -13.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 227 and given that our model is projecting 219 points between the teams, we like the under.

The Best Expert Handicappers

Golden State Warriors Enter Playoff Mode Ahead of Portland Showdown

The Golden State Warriors are treating every game like a playoff battle—and rightfully so. Following a devastating 114-111 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday, the Warriors travel to face the Portland Trail Blazers in a regular-season matchup with major postseason implications.

“We are already in the playoffs,” head coach Steve Kerr stated. “There’s pressure, emotion, and stakes. All you can do is move forward and prepare for the next big one in Portland.”

Devastating Buzzer-Beater Loss to Spurs

Golden State appeared in control against San Antonio, leading by 12 entering the fourth quarter. But a last-second, buzzer-beating 3-pointer by former Warrior Harrison Barnes, who launched it over Jimmy Butler’s tight defense, flipped the script entirely.

Now 47-33, the Warriors are clinging to the 7th seed in the Western Conference, with just two games left in the regular season. Their position is precarious—they’re only one game behind multiple teams ahead of them, but also just inches from slipping into the dreaded play-in tournament.

Jimmy Butler’s Impact Since Arrival

Since acquiring Jimmy Butler, Golden State has surged to a 23-8 record. He poured in 28 points against the Spurs, showing why his veteran presence is so vital down the stretch. Butler brings not just scoring but elite defense and leadership that could be the difference in a tight playoff race.

Stephen Curry: Still the Engine

Stephen Curry remains the heartbeat of the Warriors. He led all scorers with 30 points, including five 3-pointers, proving once again he can deliver in clutch moments. Yet even his brilliance wasn’t enough to stave off a painful loss. Golden State’s hopes will continue to ride on his shoulders.

Postseason Scenarios Still Wide Open

The Western Conference standings are as tight as ever. With six teams within 2.5 games of each other, the Warriors could still clinch the No. 4 seed—or fall into the play-in range (7th to 10th). Friday’s game in Portland could be pivotal in deciding their fate.

Golden State’s Dominance Over Portland

Golden State holds a commanding recent record against the Trail Blazers, winning 8 straight and 12 of the last 13 meetings. In their season opener, the Warriors demolished Portland 140-104—marking one of their most dominant performances of the year.

Trail Blazers Focused on Development Amid Injuries

The Portland Trail Blazers (35-45) have already been eliminated from playoff contention, but there’s still a silver lining. Several young players are stepping up:

• Shaedon Sharpe scored a career-high 37 points in their recent overtime loss to the Jazz.
• Rookie Rayan Rupert also hit a career-high with 19 points.

Despite missing key players like Anfernee Simons, Deandre Ayton, Jerami Grant, and Scoot Henderson, Portland’s youth is showing promise.

Chauncey Billups Emphasizes Fundamentals

Head coach Chauncey Billups acknowledged his team’s effort but pointed to recurring issues: missed free throws and turnovers.

“To win close games in this league, you have to hit free throws and take care of the ball,” he noted.

Portland ranks near the bottom of the league in both free-throw percentage (25th) and turnovers per game (28th), making late-game execution a consistent challenge.

What This Game Means for Both Teams

For the Warriors:

• A win keeps them in the hunt for a top-6 seed and helps avoid the play-in tournament.
• A loss could drop them further down and increase the playoff pressure.

For the Trail Blazers:

• Although out of the playoff race, the game serves as a test for player development and system improvement.
• Rising stars like Sharpe and Rupert continue building their confidence.

Key Stats to Watch

Final Thoughts: High Stakes for Warriors, Growth for Blazers

This isn’t just another regular-season game. For Golden State, it’s a chance to reassert their playoff readiness after a crushing loss. For Portland, it’s an opportunity to showcase their young core’s growth and resilience.

Expect the Warriors to come out aggressive and focused—but don’t sleep on a young, hungry Portland squad looking to play spoiler.