NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
The Phoenix Mercury close out a four-game road trip on Thursday night when they visit the Dallas Wings at College Park Center in Arlington. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. ET, and the game is available on Prime Video and WNBA League Pass. If you have been tracking the WNBA previews hub, this is one of the sharper handicap spots on the board because both teams are trying to rebound from ugly losses, but Dallas still brings the cleaner offensive profile into the matchup.
Phoenix enters 4-9 after an 87-81 loss at Golden State on Tuesday, while Dallas is 7-4 after getting blown out 100-76 by Minnesota. The bigger-picture numbers still tilt toward the Wings. Dallas is averaging 88.2 points and 23.2 assists per game, while Phoenix is at 81.6 points and 18.3 assists. That gap matters in a game lined around two possessions.
Get WNBA picks before tip-off.
Follow our experts.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor the latest WNBA odds before locking anything in. The market has Dallas around -6.5 with a total of 169.5, while the moneyline is sitting near Wings -265 and Mercury +220.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | +220 | +6.5 (-105) | O 169.5 (-108) |
| Dallas Wings | -265 | -6.5 (-106) | U 169.5 (-110) |
Phoenix Mercury Betting Form
Phoenix has enough veteran talent to stay dangerous, but the offensive baseline has been shaky. The Phoenix Mercury stats and results page lines up with that. The Mercury are scoring 81.6 points per game, and ESPN lists Kahleah Copper as the team’s leading scorer at 17.4 per game while Alyssa Thomas leads in assists at 7.7. Thomas is still driving a lot of what works here, and she comes in off a 22-point, 8-rebound, 9-assist performance, but Phoenix has still dropped to 4-9 and just saw a two-game winning streak end in San Francisco.
The injury picture is not ideal either. The official WNBA injury report listed Sami Whitcomb out for Phoenix because of a left knee arthroscopy, and that takes away another experienced spacer and secondary ball-handler on the road. The Phoenix Mercury injury report is the page to watch for any late changes, but as of the latest official report, Whitcomb is the one confirmed absence.
Dallas Wings Betting Form
Dallas still looks like the more explosive offense, even after the Minnesota loss. The Dallas Wings schedule and stats page reflects a team averaging 88.2 points per game, good for one of the best scoring marks in the league, and a Mavs Moneyball preview noted the Wings entered this spot ranked second in scoring and fourth in field-goal percentage. Before the loss to the Lynx, Dallas had beaten Los Angeles 104-96 behind Arike Ogunbowale’s 30-point night and recorded its best 10-game start since the franchise’s Detroit Shock era.
The backcourt gives Dallas the cleaner creation edge in this matchup. Paige Bueckers is leading the Wings at 18.7 points and 5.8 assists per game, while Ogunbowale is adding 14.9 points and Jessica Shepard is at 13.4 points and 11.2 rebounds. The official injury report showed Odyssey Sims out with a left ankle issue and Awak Kuier probable with a right wrist issue. That is not perfect, but it is still a better place to be than Phoenix on the availability front. The Dallas Wings injury report is still worth checking before tip, especially for Kuier’s final status.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Matchup Breakdown
The first thing that jumps out is style. Dallas wants to play with pace, move the ball, and let Bueckers, Ogunbowale, and Fudd put pressure on rotations. Phoenix has more trouble getting into that kind of rhythm consistently. The Mercury do defend actively, and a Wings preview noted Phoenix ranks fourth in steals per game, so there is a real path for the underdog if Dallas gets loose with the ball. Still, Dallas has the better offensive ceiling, and that is usually where I start in a game lined like this.
The other piece is schedule context. Phoenix is finishing a four-game road trip, while Dallas is back home trying to reset after a bad loss. That is a pretty decent buy-low spot for the Wings, especially because the Mercury have not shown enough scoring consistency to punish a favorite for 40 minutes unless Thomas completely controls the game. A good sports betting strategy guide would probably frame it this way: if one team has the stronger shot-creation profile and the fresher setup, the favorite is often the cleaner side than the total.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Dallas on the spread. The Wings just got embarrassed by Minnesota, but that kind of result can actually help in the next spot when the market does not fully punish it. Dallas still has the better offense, the better passing profile, and the stronger backcourt scoring combination. At -6.5, I think the number is still playable because Phoenix’s offensive floor is a little too low for me to trust on the end of a road trip.
The total is tougher. The combined season scoring average points right at this range, and there is an over case because Dallas can push tempo and Phoenix has enough veterans to contribute. But the side is stronger than the total for me. Phoenix’s path to covering is tied to Thomas controlling the game and the Mercury forcing turnovers, while Dallas can still cover without a perfect shooting night if its offense gets back to normal. If you want one more market check before betting it, comparing the matchup with today’s WNBA picks is reasonable, but I still come back to the favorite.
Best Bet: Dallas Wings -6.5 (-106).
Find the edge on today’s WNBA slate.
Check our picks.
WNBA Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
This is the kind of game where comparing opinions helps, because the market is asking bettors to decide whether Dallas’s Minnesota loss was a warning sign or just a bad night against the league’s hottest team. Looking at the handicapper leaderboard can help separate real form from noise when you are dealing with a mid-range WNBA spread like this.
It also helps to compare styles from top sports handicappers. Some will take the veteran underdog and trust Thomas to keep it close. Others will back Dallas at home because of the offensive edge and the better schedule spot. That split is exactly why price shopping matters here.
If you want a broader card instead of one standalone play, premium WNBA picks are part of that mix too. For this matchup, though, I do not think it needs much dressing up. Dallas has the better scoring profile, the better backcourt creation, and the more favorable spot.
