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Texas Tech vs Kansas State Week 10 Betting Preview
Texas Tech travels to Manhattan for a rematch of the first-ever Big 12 football game. The No. 13 Red Raiders face a resurgent Kansas State team at Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET, airing on FOX.
Texas Tech (7-1, 4-1 Big 12) crushed Oklahoma State 42-0 last week. The Red Raiders’ defense allowed only 87 passing yards, their best performance of the year. Quarterback Behren Morton returns from a lower-body injury, giving Texas Tech’s top-10 passing attack a major boost.
Kansas State (4-4, 3-2) has found its rhythm after a 1-3 start. The Wildcats dominated rival Kansas 42-17 for their second straight win, led by Avery Johnson’s 231 yards and three total touchdowns. Head coach Chris Klieman said his team “needed to raise their level,” and they’ve done exactly that with improved offensive balance.
For more early-week lines and matchup analysis, visit the NCAA football odds page
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Line Movement and Odds
Texas Tech opened as a 6.5-point favorite and has since moved to -7.5 (-103), indicating support from sharp bettors. Kansas State sits at +7.5 (-117), while the total has held steady around 52.5 points.
Current odds:
- Texas Tech -7.5 (-103)
- Kansas State +7.5 (-117)
- Moneyline: Texas Tech -293, Kansas State +237
- Total: 52.5 (Over -111, Under -110)
Most public money leans toward Texas Tech ATS, but sharps have grabbed early Kansas State action at +7.5. Live market data via ScoresAndStats Picks shows balanced total action with a slight lean to the Over.
Matchup Breakdown
Texas Tech Outlook
The Red Raiders rank 4th nationally in points scored (349) and sit top-10 in both passing yards and first downs. Morton has 1,501 yards, 13 TDs, and three picks in six games. RB Cameron Dickey adds balance with 680 yards and nine rushing scores.
Defensively, Texas Tech brings pressure, ranking 5th in sacks (26) and 4th in fumble recoveries. That front could disrupt Avery Johnson’s timing if the Wildcats fall behind on down-and-distance.
For deeper preview insights, check the NCAA Football Game Previews page
Kansas State Outlook
The Wildcats’ offense has become more efficient, averaging 29.8 points in their last four games. Johnson has thrown for 1,787 yards and 15 touchdowns while rushing for three more. RB Joe Jackson adds 382 yards on the ground.
Defensively, Kansas State thrives on takeaways. Their +9 turnover margin ranks eighth in the country. That opportunistic style could swing the game if Morton forces throws under pressure.
You can track both programs and player stats on their team hubs:
Texas Tech Red Raiders team page
Kansas State Wildcats team page
Injuries and Conditions
Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Behren Morton (QB) – Probable, lower body
- Roy Alexander (WR) – Questionable
- Hunter Zambrano (OL) – Questionable
- Skyler Gill-Howard (DL) – Out, leg
- Will Hammond (QB) – Out, ACL
- Quinten Joyner (RB) – Out, knee
Kansas State Wildcats
- Beau Palmer (LB) – Questionable
- Dylan Edwards (RB) – Questionable, ankle
- George Fitzpatrick (OL) – Questionable, personal
- Joe Vickers (OL) – Questionable
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Best Bets and Prediction
Texas Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games. Kansas State is 4-0 ATS this season and 3-0 as an underdog. The Red Raiders’ elite offense should control tempo, but the Wildcats’ turnover edge keeps this close.
Projected Score: Texas Tech 35, Kansas State 21
Best Bet: Texas Tech -7.5
Secondary Lean: Over 52.5
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