Florida International Panthers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders November 30th 2024
ESPN+ will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Florida International Panthers, set to kick off at 2:00 ET from South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium in Miami. The Panthers are favored by -8.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 52.5 points. Both teams are 3-8 on the season, and the money line odds have the Panthers at -333 and the Blue Raiders at +263.
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International Key Information
- Teams: Blue Raiders at Panthers
- Where: South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium Miami
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds FLINT -333 | MTNST +263 O/U 52.5
The Blue Raiders Can Win If…
Middle Tennessee enters Week 14 with a 3-8 record, and they are ranked 129th in our CFB power rankings. They have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. On the road, they are 1-4, and at home, they have gone 0-4.
The Blue Raiders have been favored in just one of their 11 games this season. They are 0-1 as the favorite and 1-7 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -16.6 points per game, and they are 2-7 against the spread.
Middle Tennessee’s over/under record is 4-5, with their games averaging 51.7 points. The average over/under line this season has been 55.3 points, while this week’s line is set at 52.5 points.
Middle Tennessee’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17.5 points per game, placing them 126th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their run game has been particularly weak, with only 89.5 rushing yards per game. Jaiden Credle leads the team with 435 rushing yards and four touchdowns.
Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,836 yards, completing 64.4% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Middle Tennessee ranks 24th in passing attempts per game, averaging 261.5 yards through the air. Omari Kelly has 869 receiving yards and four touchdowns this season.
Middle Tennessee’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.2 points per game. In their recent game against New Mexico State, they gave up 36 points, including 382 total yards, with 237 yards coming through the air and two passing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 246.1 passing yards per game against Middle Tennessee, completing 67.2% of their passes. On the ground, the defense has allowed 203.5 rushing yards per game on 37.6 attempts per contest.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Middle Tennessee has a record of 1-2. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have gone 2-8 straight up. This includes going 3-7 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 4-6.
The Panthers Can Win If…
Florida International enters Week 14 with a 3-8 record, hosting Middle Tennessee. They’ve gone 3-1 at home but are 0-4 on the road. Ranked 116th in our power rankings, the Panthers have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They’ve been favored in two games this season, splitting those matchups at 1-1.
Despite their record, FIU has been strong against the spread, going 6-2 ATS. They are 4-0 ATS at home and have a -0.4 average scoring margin. As the favorite, they are 1-1 ATS, but they’ve covered in five of six games as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 52.5 points. FIU’s games have averaged 51.5 points, with an average line of 49.8 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-3, with seven games featuring lower lines than this week’s total.
Florida International’s offense has been driven by their passing game, with Keyone Jenkins leading the way at quarterback. He has thrown for 2,238 yards and 19 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 97. The Panthers are 69th in scoring, averaging 25.5 points per game, and they rank 123rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.
FIU is 62nd in passing completions, averaging 17 per game, and they are 76th in passing yards, with 221.3 yards per game. Jenkins has completed 61% of his passes, and the team ranks 53rd in passer rating. On the ground, they are 105th, with 120.5 rushing yards per game. Kejon Owens leads the rushing attack with 386 yards. Eric Rivers has been the top receiver, with 1,055 yards and 11 touchdowns.
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Florida International’s defense has allowed 25.9 points per game this season, ranking 58th nationally. In their recent 27-26 loss to Kennesaw State, they gave up 27 points, including 177 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, though they did manage to force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 199.9 rushing yards per game against FIU, while the Panthers have allowed just 172.6 passing yards per game, the 16th-lowest mark in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 57.8% of their passes and posted a passer rating of 70.4 against FIU’s defense.
- Over their last three games, the Florida International Panthers have gone 2-1 straight up. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
- The Florida International Panthers have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. Across these games, their ATS record was just 5-5, while posting an over-under record of 6-4.
The Lean
Florida International is favored by -8.5 points in their week 14 matchup against Middle Tennessee. We expect the Panthers to win and cover the spread, with a projected final score of 33-23 in their favor.
Given the over/under line of 52.5 points, our projection of 56 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.