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Game Preview: Tennessee vs Oklahoma
The Tennessee Volunteers bring one of the most explosive offenses in college football into Saturday’s primetime SEC matchup against the Oklahoma Sooners at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville. Both teams enter with 6-2 records and legitimate hopes of climbing back into playoff contention.
Tennessee (6-2, 3-2 SEC) ranks second nationally in points per game (45.6) and third in total offense (510.1 yards). Quarterback Joey Aguilar has emerged as one of the most efficient deep-ball passers in the nation, throwing for 2,344 yards, 18 touchdowns, and just six interceptions. He’s complemented by a balanced rushing attack led by DeSean Bishop, who’s logged 652 yards and nine scores.
Oklahoma (6-2, 2-2 SEC) counters with one of the toughest defenses in the country, ranking sixth nationally in points allowed (12.5) and second in sacks per game (3.6). Coach Brent Venables’ unit has already faced potent offenses in Texas and Ole Miss, splitting those matchups but gaining valuable experience against elite playmakers.
This game renews a budding SEC rivalry. Tennessee won last year’s meeting 25-15 in Norman, while Oklahoma won the only previous matchup in Knoxville — a double-overtime thriller in 2015.
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Line Movement and Odds
Tennessee opened as a 3-point home favorite, with the total set at 56.5. The early money has leaned slightly toward the Volunteers thanks to their 25-2 home record since 2021. The total has held steady as bettors anticipate a fast-paced offensive showcase.
Monitor real-time shifts using the college football odds board and see expert projections for this matchup on the NCAAF picks page.
Tennessee Volunteers Outlook
The Tennessee Volunteers are peaking offensively, fresh off a 56-34 road win at Kentucky. Joey Aguilar threw for 396 yards and three touchdowns, while the defense forced three turnovers to secure the victory.
Tennessee’s offense leads the SEC in yards per play (7.3) and first downs, with wide receivers Squirrel White and Bru McCoy providing reliable targets. Running back DeSean Bishop gives the Volunteers balance, averaging 5.6 yards per carry and providing red-zone consistency.
The concern lies on defense, where Tennessee allowed 476 total yards to Kentucky. Coach Josh Heupel stressed discipline and gap integrity this week, noting, “It takes 11 guys doing their job at a high level.” The Volunteers’ defense ranks top five nationally in sacks and interceptions, so the potential for big defensive plays remains strong.
Tennessee Volunteers Injury Report
- Ben Bolton (LB) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Arion Carter (LB) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Rickey Gibson III (DB) – Out (Undisclosed)
- Jermod McCoy (DB) – Out (Knee)
- Travis Smith Jr. (WR) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
Oklahoma Sooners Outlook
The Oklahoma Sooners are looking to bounce back from a 34-26 loss at Ole Miss, where their offense struggled to finish drives despite outgaining the Rebels in total yards. Quarterback John Mateer passed for 223 yards without an interception, but the Sooners settled for too many field goals in scoring territory.
Mateer has thrown for 1,790 yards and 13 touchdowns this season while recovering from a hand injury that briefly sidelined him in early October. His chemistry with receiver Isaiah Sategna III (624 yards, 4 TDs) will be critical against a Tennessee secondary that can be vulnerable deep.
Oklahoma’s defensive line remains the foundation of its success, ranking second nationally in sacks and fourth in first downs allowed. Linebackers Danny Stutsman and Kip Lewis headline a fast, physical front seven capable of pressuring Aguilar into mistakes.
Oklahoma Sooners Injury Report
- Keontez Lewis (WR) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Jacob Sexton (OL) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Jake Taylor (OL) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Jovantae Barnes (RB) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Gentry Williams (DB) – Questionable (Undisclosed)
- Troy Everett (OL) – Out (Undisclosed)
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
This battle comes down to Tennessee’s explosive offense against Oklahoma’s disciplined defense. Aguilar’s ability to handle pressure and avoid turnovers will determine whether the Volunteers can sustain drives against a pass rush that ranks among the best in the nation.
Conversely, Oklahoma must establish balance offensively. If Xavier Robinson and the ground game can complement Mateer’s passing attack, the Sooners can keep Tennessee’s high-powered offense off the field and exploit the Vols’ defensive lapses.
The game may hinge on third-down efficiency — Tennessee ranks top-10 in conversions, while Oklahoma’s defense ranks fourth nationally in stopping them.
Betting Trends
- Tennessee is 25-2 straight up in its last 27 home games.
- The Volunteers are 20-2 straight up as favorites in their last 22 games.
- Oklahoma is 8-3 ATS after a loss over its last 11 games.
- The Sooners are 4-0 straight up following a loss since 2024.
- The over is 9-2 in Tennessee’s last 11 games.
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Prediction
This matchup features strength versus strength: Tennessee’s vertical offense against Oklahoma’s relentless pass rush. Expect both teams to trade scores early before Tennessee’s home-field edge and tempo wear down the Sooners in the fourth quarter.
Projected Score: Tennessee 35, Oklahoma 31
Best Bet: Tennessee -3
Total Lean: Over 56.5
Scores and Stats Handicappers
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