Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners Picks and Predictions October 11th 2025

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The Allstate Red River Rivalry is set for Week 7 of the 2025 regular season. The Oklahoma Sooners will take on the Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX. This outdoor game will kick off at 3:30 PM on Saturday, October 11, 2025, and will be broadcast on ABC.

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Oklahoma enters the game ranked #6 in both the AP and Coaches Polls, boasting a perfect 5-0 record. Texas holds a 3-2 record and is ranked #19 in the Coaches Poll. Both teams are part of the Southeastern Conference, making this a key conference matchup. Oklahoma has a 1-0 conference record, while Texas is 0-1 in conference play.

Oklahoma vs Texas CFB Key Information

  • Sport: College Football
  • Teams: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns
  • Venue: Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX
  • Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Oklahoma Moneyline +118, Texas Moneyline -141, Oklahoma Spread +2.5 (-107), Texas Spread -2.5 (-113), Total Over 42.5 (-109), Total Under 42.5 (-112)

Oklahoma vs Texas – Red River Rivalry Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns renew one of college football’s most iconic rivalries, and this year, the roles have reversed.

Oklahoma enters the matchup ranked No. 6 in the nation and undefeated, while Texas has dropped two of its last three, including a road loss at Florida. Despite preseason expectations favoring the Longhorns, the Sooners’ defense and depth have made them early SEC contenders.

Oklahoma can win if

Their defense continues to dominate and the pass rush disrupts Arch Manning. The Sooners are ranked first nationally in total defense, allowing just 193 yards per game, and second in sacks with 22. Their front seven, led by Ethan Downs and Danny Stutsman, has been relentless.

Offensively, Oklahoma has shown balance. Even without injured starter John Mateer, backup Michael Hawkins Jr. has kept the offense moving, throwing for 167 yards and three touchdowns over two games. Running back Tory Blaylock adds stability on the ground, while the offensive line — despite injuries — has allowed the fewest sacks in the SEC.

If Hawkins plays efficiently and the defense maintains its pressure, Oklahoma can extend its unbeaten streak and take control of the early SEC race.

Texas can win if

Arch Manning finds his rhythm and limits turnovers. Manning threw for 289 yards in last week’s 29-21 loss at Florida but also had two interceptions. When protected, his deep-ball connection with Ryan Wingo — who has four touchdowns — can stretch defenses and open running lanes.

The Longhorns’ defense ranks 13th nationally in yards allowed (260.2) and 26th in points allowed, making them one of the more complete units in the conference. Texas also ranks fifth in fumble recoveries and has been strong in field position battles, a key factor in rivalry games.

If Manning stays composed and Texas’ defense can contain Oklahoma’s tempo, the Longhorns have the pieces to flip momentum and reclaim bragging rights in Dallas.

Line Movement and Odds

Opening: Texas -3 / Oklahoma +3
Current: Texas -2.5 / Oklahoma +2.5
Total: 42.5 points

This year’s Red River line opened tight and remains one of the most bet matchups of the week. Public money leans toward Oklahoma following its 44-0 win over Kent State, while sharp action supports Texas bouncing back at a neutral site.

For real-time movement, totals, and spreads, check the college football odds page. To compare book reliability and payout speed, visit the Sportsbook Reviews directory or evaluate trusted providers via Pay Per Head Reviews.

Matchup Breakdown

The focus will be on both defenses. Oklahoma’s unit leads the nation in total defense and sacks, while Texas ranks near the top in third-down stops and points allowed.

The Sooners average 34.8 points per game and have scored at least 30 in every outing. The Longhorns, however, have held four of five opponents under 24 points this season. Oklahoma’s challenge will be establishing balance early and avoiding predictable play-calling with Hawkins under center.

For deeper matchup analytics, team rankings, and betting data, explore the college football teams page and detailed models inside the Expert Betting Guide.

Injury Report

Oklahoma Sooners

  • QB John Mateer (hand) – questionable
  • WR Keontez Lewis (head) – doubtful

Texas Longhorns

  • CB Malik Muhammad (undisclosed) – questionable
  • RB CJ Baxter (hamstring) – probable

Clear skies and mild conditions are expected in Dallas, with temperatures near 76°F at kickoff.

Best Bets and Prediction

This rivalry often comes down to defense and turnovers. Oklahoma’s front seven gives them the edge, but Texas’ experience and home crowd split could make this another tight finish. Expect big defensive plays and efficient drives from both quarterbacks.

Prediction: Oklahoma 28, Texas 24
Best Bet: Oklahoma +2.5 (-110)
Secondary Lean: Over 42.5 (-110)

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