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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs West Virginia Mountaineers November 30th 2024
FS1 will be covering this week 14 matchup between the West Virginia Mountaineers and Texas Tech Red Raiders, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock. The over/under line is currently at 64.5 points. The Red Raiders are the -3.5-point favorites at home. Texas Tech enters the game with a 7-4 record, while West Virginia is 6-5 on the season.
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech Key Information
- Teams: Mountaineers at Red Raiders
- Where: Jones AT&T Stadium Lubbock
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds TXTECH -170 | WVIR +142 O/U 64.5
The Mountaineers Can Win If…
West Virginia enters Week 14 against Texas Tech with a 6-5 record, ranked 49th in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible, but their chances of winning the Big 12 are just 0.1%.
The Mountaineers have a +0.5 average scoring margin this season and are 5-5 against the spread. On the road, they are 3-1 ATS, while their home record is 2-4.
This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, the highest for any West Virginia game this season. They are 6-4 against the over/under, with an average line of 56.6 points and an average total of 58.9 points per game.
West Virginia’s offense is averaging 29.7 points per game, ranking 43rd in the nation, and they are 30th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their strength is in the run game, with 200.5 rushing yards per game on 40.5 attempts, placing them 22nd nationally in rushing yards.
Jahiem White leads the team with 693 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,707 yards, 12 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, with a passer rating of 79. Hudson Clement leads the receivers with 535 yards and three touchdowns.
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West Virginia’s defense has allowed an average of 29.2 points per game this season, ranking 71st nationally. They’ve given up 260.7 passing yards per game, placing them 150th, with opposing quarterbacks completing 63.1% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 109. On the ground, West Virginia has allowed 138.2 rushing yards per game.
In their recent game against UCF, West Virginia’s defense gave up 21 points, allowing 348 total yards. UCF ran the ball 34 times for 176 yards and completed 11 of 21 passes for 172 yards.
- Through their last three games, the West Virginia Mountaineers have a record of 2-1. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the West Virginia Mountaineers have gone 6-4 straight up. This includes going 5-5 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 7-3.
The Red Raiders Can Win If…
Texas Tech enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, hosting West Virginia. They are ranked 51st in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, their odds of winning the Big 12 are at just 0.1%.
The Red Raiders have been favored in six of their 11 games, going 4-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +1.1 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread in six games, with a 6-3-1 ATS record.
This week’s over/under line is set at 64.5 points. Texas Tech’s games have averaged 73.6 points, and their over/under record is 6-4, with an average line of 62 points.
Texas Tech’s offense is averaging 37.4 points per game heading into week 14, ranking 12th in the nation. They are also 14th in third-down conversion rate, converting 47.3% of their attempts. In our offensive power rankings, they are 53rd.
Behren Morton has thrown for 2,941 yards this season, leading the passing attack. He has 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions, with a passer rating of 96. Texas Tech is 5th in passing attempts, averaging 41.8 per game, and 10th in passing yards, with 292.8 per game. Tahj Brooks leads the rushing game with 1,317 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Texas Tech’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.3 points per game. In their recent game against Oklahoma State, they gave up 48 points but still managed to win 56-48. The defense allowed 556 total yards, including 353 passing yards and 203 rushing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 309.9 passing yards per game against Texas Tech, completing 62.9% of their passes. The defense ranks 82nd nationally against the run, allowing 151 rushing yards per game on 32.7 attempts per contest.
- The Texas Tech Red Raiders have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Against the spread, Texas Tech went 0-2-1 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 3-0.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have gone 7-3 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 4-5-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 7-3.
The Lean
West Virginia comes into this week 14 matchup as the +3.5 point underdogs on the road vs. Texas Tech. We see them not only covering the spread but winning the game outright, with a final score of 30-27 in their favor.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 64.5 points, our projection of 57 points suggests taking the under as the best play.
West Virginia Brings Strong Big 12 Road Record to Texas Tech
West Virginia (6-5, 5-3 Big 12) aims to cap off its regular season with a perfect record in Big 12 road games when it visits Texas Tech on Saturday afternoon in Lubbock, Texas.
The Mountaineers have already secured bowl eligibility and will try to extend their road success against a Red Raiders team looking to reach new milestones this season.
Texas Tech Eyes Historic Regular Season
Texas Tech (7-4, 5-3) has its sights set on achieving six conference victories for just the fifth time in program history. Additionally, a win on Saturday would mark the Red Raiders’ first eight-win regular season since 2009.
“We have to take advantage of our opportunities,” Texas Tech coach Joey McGuire said. “At the end of the day, we’re going to take care of business on Saturday, and we’re going to go into a bowl game. Our expectations would be 8-4 with an opportunity to get to that ninth win.”
High-Octane Red Raiders Offense
Texas Tech boasts one of the most explosive offenses in the Big 12, leading the conference in points per game (37.4) and ranking second in total yards per game (450.0). Their up-tempo attack is highlighted by quarterback Behren Morton, who threw for 401 yards and four touchdowns in last week’s 56-48 win at Oklahoma State.
Running back Tahj Brooks has been equally impressive, rushing for 1,317 yards and 14 touchdowns on 263 carries this season.
West Virginia Defense Faces Challenge
West Virginia coach Neal Brown acknowledged the challenge of preparing for Texas Tech’s pace.
“We’ve got to get aligned to their tempo,” Brown said. “That’s where they really feast, is they can get their tempo going. That usually happens after a made first (down) or a really positive play on first down. So, we’ve got to do a nice job of getting lined up.”
The Mountaineers will need to step up defensively to contain the Red Raiders’ potent offense.
Mountaineers Ground Game in Focus
West Virginia will look to exploit a Texas Tech defense that ranks last in the Big 12 in scoring defense (36.3 points per game) and second-to-last in yards allowed per game (456.2).
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The Mountaineers rushed for 200 yards in last week’s 31-21 win against UCF. Running back CJ Donaldson Jr. led the way with 96 yards on 19 carries and two touchdowns.
High Stakes for Both Teams
For Texas Tech, Saturday’s game is an opportunity to make history and improve its bowl game standing. For West Virginia, a win would solidify its road dominance and bolster its postseason resume.
With two dynamic offenses and plenty on the line, the matchup promises to deliver excitement in Lubbock.
