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Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Week 4 Betting Preview
Tampa Bay rides a milestone lift. Nikita Kucherov crossed 1,000 career points and Victor Hedman hit 800 in a 4-3 home win over Anaheim. Anthony Cirelli buried the late PPG. Vegas arrives off a 3-0 loss at Florida after an 8-game heater to start the year. Puck drops Sunday, Oct. 26, 5:00 p.m. ET at Benchmark International Arena. For context pieces around this matchup, browse our NHL previews
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Line Movement and Odds
Snapshot now: Lightning -136 ML, Golden Knights +115 ML. Puck line Tampa Bay -1.5 +179, Vegas +1.5 -224. Total 6.5 (O -102, U -118). Opens were close to these numbers, with a mild drift toward Tampa. Tickets lean to the road dog, larger wagers split. Track moves on the live screen at NHL odds
Matchup Breakdown
Tampa Bay outlook
Top unit can tilt this. Cirelli’s net-front with Kucherov’s seam work stresses a penalty kill that has leaked entries. At five-on-five, Tampa needs cleaner exits to keep Jack Eichel from turning neutral-zone turnovers into rush looks.
Vegas outlook
Finishing depth is intact, but injuries push the crease and top-six roles. If Vegas controls the forecheck and keeps this at even strength, expected goals narrow fast. Discipline is key. Give Tampa three or more power plays and the edge swings back to the home side.
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Injuries and Conditions
Tampa Bay
- Nick Paul, upper body, out.
- Maxwell Crozier, lower body, monitoring.
- Niko Huuhtanen, out.
- Scott Sabourin, suspension.
Vegas
- Adin Hill, lower body, week-to-week.
- Mark Stone, wrist, LTIR.
- Noah Hanifin, lower body, IR.
- Alex Pietrangelo, personal, monitoring.
- Trevor Connelly, lower body, out.
- Jakub Demek, undisclosed, out.
- Jordan Gustafson, undisclosed, out.
- Carl Lindbom, available to step in.
Weather
Indoors.
Best Bets and Prediction
Public leans Knights plus the hook, but Tampa’s special teams and home ice matter. Projected score: Lightning 4, Golden Knights 3.
Best bet: Lightning moneyline to -140.
Secondary lean: Over 6.5 if a depth goalie starts for Vegas.
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