Utah Mammoth vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Predictions November 2nd 2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning go for their fifth straight victory when they visit the Utah Mammoth on Sunday afternoon in Salt Lake City.

Utah’s seven-game winning streak ended Tuesday in Edmonton with a 6-3 loss. The Mammoth have been perfect at home so far, winning all four contests. Tampa Bay is rising in the Eastern Conference with four straight wins, including a 2-1 overtime victory against Dallas on Thursday.

Coach Jon Cooper credited the team’s turnaround to better defensive discipline, saying they’ve “changed the mentality” after early-season risk-taking led to costly rushes.

Brandon Hagel continues to heat up with points in four straight games, while Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed only four goals in his past three starts. Utah counters with a productive forward group led by Logan Cooley and Nick Schmaltz, both riding multi-game scoring streaks.

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Line Movement and Odds

According to the NHL odds board, the Lightning opened around -130 on the moneyline, while Utah sits near +110 at home. The total opened at 6.5 goals and has seen slight movement toward the Under after early public money leaned Over.

Sharp bettors have backed Tampa Bay in early wagering, pushing their line up several cents, while ticket volume favors Utah. Keep an eye on the latest updates at ScoresAndStats NHL picks

Matchup Breakdown

Tampa Bay Outlook:
The Lightning are playing their best two-way hockey of the season. Hagel and Anthony Cirelli have anchored a balanced top six, while Vasilevskiy is finding his elite form again with a .952 save percentage during the win streak. Tampa Bay ranks top-10 in goals allowed per game (2.82) and continues to excel on special teams.

Utah Outlook:
Despite Tuesday’s setback, Utah remains one of the Western Conference’s biggest surprises. The Mammoth rank seventh in goals allowed (2.73) and have scored first in six of their past eight games. Cooley has nine points in his past four contests and enters his first game since signing an eight-year, $80 million extension.

The key battle will be between Tampa Bay’s forecheck and Utah’s transition game. The Lightning have tightened their neutral zone play, while the Mammoth rely heavily on stretch passes to generate rush chances.

Injuries and Conditions

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Erik Cernak (lower body) – day-to-day, expected to play
  • Mikhail Sergachev (leg) – out, long-term
  • Matt Dumba (upper body) – game-time decision

Utah Mammoth

  • Sean Durzi (upper body) – day-to-day, practiced Saturday
  • Clayton Keller (knee) – out indefinitely

Check the full Lightning injury report and Mammoth injury report for official updates.

No weather factor is expected indoors at Delta Center.

Best Bets and Prediction

Tampa Bay’s improved defensive structure and elite goaltending make them a strong play on the road. Utah’s offense can push the pace early, but the Lightning’s recent form gives them the edge in a close matchup.

Projected Score: Lightning 3, Mammoth 2
Best Bet: Lightning ML (-130)
Secondary Lean: Under 6.5

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