Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Picks and Predictions August 7th 2025

Alyssa Thomas Leads Mercury in Revenge Matchup Against Fever

Alyssa Thomas continues to rewrite the WNBA history books, and the Phoenix Mercury hope her all-around dominance can carry them to a statement win when they host the Indiana Fever on Thursday night.

Thomas became the first player in WNBA history to record consecutive triple-doubles, posting 13 points, 12 rebounds and 12 assists in Phoenix’s commanding 82-66 win over the Connecticut Sun. Just two days earlier, she notched 10 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in a win against the Chicago Sky. Her playmaking, rebounding, and floor leadership have ignited a new level of confidence within the Mercury lineup.

“We need to get them back,” said forward Satou Sabally, referring to Indiana’s 107-101 victory over Phoenix just eight days earlier. Sabally, who returned from a brief absence, contributed 23 points and six rebounds against Connecticut.

Mercury Seek Payback on Home Court

Phoenix enters this matchup motivated by more than just momentum. The previous meeting between these teams was a high-scoring affair in which the Fever, despite being short-handed, put up a season-high 107 points. The Mercury allowed Indiana to shoot over 51 percent from the field and failed to contain guard Aari McDonald, who exploded for a season-best 27 points.

This time, Phoenix looks to tighten up defensively while continuing to build on Thomas’ historic stretch. Her all-around dominance is setting a tone that the rest of the Mercury roster is starting to mirror. In their past two games, Phoenix held opponents to under 70 points and forced more than 15 turnovers per contest.

Fans looking to analyze the betting side of this matchup can visit the WNBA expert picks page for a breakdown of projected outcomes, player props, and total predictions.

Indiana Stumbling Without Clark

The Fever’s promising surge was halted in their 100-91 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks on Tuesday, snapping a five-game winning streak. Star guard Caitlin Clark remains sidelined with a groin injury, and her absence continues to be felt despite solid scoring from veterans like Kelsey Mitchell, who dropped 34 points in the loss to L.A.

Even with Clark out, Indiana has maintained a top-tier offensive efficiency during their road trip. However, defensive lapses and a lack of size on the glass have become growing concerns. In their last game, the Fever were outshot 56 to 44 percent and outrebounded 32-27.

While Clark’s status remains uncertain, Indiana is expected to rely once again on McDonald and Mitchell to generate offense. If the Fever hope to sweep this brief two-game series, they’ll need a much better defensive effort against a Mercury team firing on all cylinders.

For live line updates, betting odds, and statistical breakdowns, check the WNBA scores and odds page.

Alyssa Thomas’ Elite Company

Thomas is now just the fourth player in league history to register a game with at least 30 points, 15 rebounds, and five assists — joining the ranks of Candace Parker, Tina Charles, and Tina Thompson. She nearly replicated that effort in the last matchup against Indiana, finishing with 32 points, 15 boards, and seven assists.

Her ability to impact the game in so many ways is not just a statistical anomaly — it’s a strategic advantage that the Mercury have leaned into heavily.

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Final Thoughts

Phoenix’s momentum, led by the historic performance of Alyssa Thomas, makes them a dangerous opponent for a shorthanded Indiana squad. If the Mercury continue to play with intensity on both ends and avoid the defensive breakdowns from the last meeting, they should be in position to avenge that loss.

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