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Norway and Senegal meet Monday, June 22, 2026, at New York New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford for a FIFA World Cup Group I match. Kickoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET, and this is one of the better second-round group matches on the board because the stakes are already obvious.
Norway opened with a 4-1 win over Iraq, and Erling Haaland immediately put his stamp on the tournament with two goals. Senegal lost 3-1 to France, which was not a disaster from a performance standpoint, but the table does not care much about that. They have zero points and now need a response before the final match against Iraq.
Group I also includes France, so Norway can put themselves in a great knockout position with another win before facing the French in the final group match. Senegal are not in must-win territory mathematically, but it is close enough. A loss here would leave them relying on third-place paths and goal difference, which is not where this team wants to be.
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Norway vs Senegal Odds
These are the current 3-way betting lines for Norway vs Senegal, with the draw priced around +240. Bettors should always monitor the latest soccer odds before locking in a World Cup wager.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | +135 | -0.5 (+135) | O 2.5 (-125) |
| Senegal | +210 | +0.5 (-160) | U 2.5 (+100) |
Norway Betting Form
Norway’s opener was the kind of performance that changes a market quickly. The 4-1 win over Iraq was not only about the scoreline. Norway showed power through midfield, clean service into the box, and the ability to turn pressure into goals once the match opened up. Haaland scoring twice also matters because every opponent now has to defend the entire game around him.
Martin Ødegaard remains the key to the chance creation. Haaland is the finisher, obviously, but Ødegaard’s timing between the lines and ability to find runners makes Norway more than a direct team. Alexander Sørloth gives them another big body and another route to goal, while Antonio Nusa and Oscar Bobb can add width and speed if Norway want to stretch Senegal’s fullbacks.
From a betting perspective, Norway are attractive because the price is still in plus-money range. That will not always be the case if this team keeps scoring. The risk is that Senegal are a major physical step up from Iraq. Norway may not get the same clean central access, and they may need to handle more transition threat than they did in the opener.
Senegal Betting Form
Senegal’s 3-1 loss to France was not as bad as the score looks, but it did expose the issue. They can compete physically and create moments, yet they did not generate enough sustained attacking pressure to keep France uncomfortable for 90 minutes. Against Norway, they need more from the front line and more efficiency in transition.
Sadio Mané, Nicolas Jackson, Ismaïla Sarr, Iliman Ndiaye, and Habib Diarra give Senegal enough pace and movement to hurt Norway if they can get the ball forward early. The problem is whether they can connect those attacks often enough. If Senegal spend long stretches defending Haaland and clearing second balls, the attacking talent may feel disconnected.
Senegal +0.5 is the safer underdog angle because the draw is very live. The moneyline at +210 is not crazy, but it asks Senegal to be sharper in both boxes than they were against France. I can see the case. I just do not think the price fully accounts for Norway’s current confidence and finishing edge.
Norway vs Senegal Matchup Breakdown
This match should be decided by midfield control and box defending. Norway want Ødegaard receiving in pockets, Haaland pinning the center backs, and Sørloth helping create overloads through direct service. If Senegal allow Norway to play forward too easily, the game can tilt toward repeated high-value chances.
Senegal need to make the match more physical and less rhythmic. They have the athletic profile to do that. Their midfield has to close passing lanes into Ødegaard, force Norway wide, and make the service into Haaland less clean. That is easier said than done, but it is the path.
Set pieces could be a huge swing area. Norway have size everywhere, and Haaland plus Sørloth on restarts is a real problem. Senegal also have aerial strength through Kalidou Koulibaly and their midfield runners, so I would not dismiss their dead-ball threat either. This may not need 15 clean open-play chances to produce goals.
The game state is tricky. Norway would love to win, but a draw still keeps them in good shape after beating Iraq. Senegal need the result more urgently, which could force them to open up if they fall behind. For bettors comparing 3-way moneyline, draw no bet, and handicap markets, the expert betting guide is useful for thinking through why the favorite at plus money may still be the better value than the safer spread.
Norway vs Senegal Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Norway to win, and I like the price enough to make that the best bet. Senegal are dangerous, and I would not call this a mismatch. But Norway showed more attacking clarity in their opener, and Haaland gives them the most reliable finishing profile on the field.
The concern with backing Norway is Senegal’s transition game. If Mané or Jackson gets space behind the fullbacks, Norway’s back line will have to defend in uncomfortable areas. Still, Norway’s midfield should create enough chances, and the Haaland factor makes small edges feel bigger. One good cross, one loose marking moment, and the match can change.
The total leans Over 2.5. Norway just put four past Iraq, Senegal have to push harder than they did against France, and both teams carry real set-piece danger. That said, I am not rushing to make the total the main play because a tense 1-1 draw is still very possible if Senegal keep the first half controlled.
BTTS has appeal. Senegal should create more than they did against France, and Norway are not a shut-down defensive side. But the cleanest value is still Norway at plus money. They have the better current form, the better striker, and the more confident attacking structure.
Projected Score: Norway 2, Senegal 1.
Best Bet: Norway Moneyline (+135).
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FIFA World Cup Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
World Cup betting gets sharper after the first matchday because we finally have real tournament context. Norway’s opener backed up the hype around Haaland and Ødegaard, while Senegal’s loss to France added pressure to this price. Checking today’s soccer picks helps bettors compare expert opinions across sides, totals, props, and derivative markets before locking in a number.
ScoresAndStats gives readers access to top sports handicappers with different soccer betting styles. Some experts may focus on plus-money favorites and goal props, while others are stronger with underdogs, Asian handicaps, BTTS, or live-betting angles during international tournaments.
The handicapper leaderboard adds transparency with long-term records and profit tracking. Bettors who want more than the free board can also look at premium soccer picks for expert plays across the World Cup card, while the best soccer bets this week page is useful for tracking broader betting angles.
