2024 MLB World Series Odds and Predictions

The road to the 2024 MLB World Series is nearly set. By the time it’s official, we’ll be off and running toward crowning a new MLB champion.

Naturally, there won’t be a ton of time between now and then, so pushing out a breakdown of the latest 2024 MLB World Series odds seems like a good idea.

The top sports betting sites are still offering updated World Series betting odds, and they’ll simply refresh them a lot quicker than we can keep churning out new WS content. Still, the field is mostly set, and we can gauge how to bet on the 2024 World Series winner based on the current pricing.

Just keep in mind that the World Series odds will probably change quickly, so it might make sense to get your bets in now. The question, of course, is who should you back? I’ve got you covered with an odds breakdown, and some analysis for the best bets this year.

2024 World Series Odds

Check out the Scores and Stats complete list of World Series odds.

MLB Team	Opening Odds	June Odds	October Odds
Philadelphia Phillies	+1400	+600	+185
Los Angeles Dodgers	+320	+300	+290
New York Yankees	+900	+450	+400
Houston Astros	+700	+2200	+650
Baltimore Orioles	+1400	+900	+850
San Diego Padres	+1200	NA	+850
Cleveland Guardians	+6000	+1600	+900
Milwaukee Brewers	+9000	+2500	+1550
Atlanta Braves	+450	+950	+1750
Kansas City Royals	+15000	+2500	+1950
New York Mets	+2500	NA	+2000
Detroit Tigers	+6600	NA	+2000
Arizona Diamondbacks	+3000	NA	+3500

The Philadelphia Phillies own the best 2024 World Series odds at the moment, but as you can see, they have come a long way from where they were at the beginning of the year.

Philly was always a threat, but they’ve morphed into a favorite over the last few months. Not far behind them are the usual suspects in the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees, and it’s certainly logical to think this year’s champion will come from that trio of teams.

However, it seems like the top World Series betting favorites routinely face-plant at some point in the MLB playoffs. Good examples are when the Texas Rangers won it all last year, or the fact that they faced off with the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Four years ago the Atlanta Braves shocked the Dodgers, and nobody really expected that to happen going into the season, either.

I could go on. The point is there is decent value with the best teams, but there’s even more upside with a few teams that aren’t priced with the favorites. But some are more appealing than others.

To see which ones deserve your backing (and cash) at MLB sportsbooks, let’s get into the weeds.

Why Are the Philadelphia Phillies Favored to Win the World Series?

Some may be surprised to learn that it is not the Los Angeles Dodgers that are favored to win the World Series at this point, but the Philadelphia Phillies.

Bryce Harper and co. have a roster full of mashers. Harper himself took 30 balls into the stands this year, while Kyle Schwarber blasted 38 to the moon. Altogether, the Phillies ranked 7th in home runs, and were quite good across the board, ranking 4th in batting average (.258) and 4th in runs scored (775).

Philly has the offense to match wits with anyone, and it’s a big reason why they raced to an NL East division crown. The division had two other pesky teams nipping at their heels all year, too, so it’s not a small accomplishment.

While you could trust the Phillies based on their offense alone, you really don’t need to. Zack Wheeler was as elite as it gets, striking out 213 batters and posting a staggering 2.56 ERA with a 16-7 record on the year.

It wasn’t just Wheeler, though. Ranger Suarez and Cristopher Sanchez were surprisingly good for the rotation, while the always reliable Aaron Nola was good for a gem here and there. In all, the Phillies ranked 11th in team ERA, ranked 12th in runs allowed, and had the 7th most total whiffs.

From top to bottom, the Phillies are star-studded and have plenty of substance. They look every bit the World Series favorite oddsmakers are pegging them to be.

The problem? WS favorites haven’t had a lot go their way in recent years and the Phillies specifically – no matter how great they’ve looked going into the post-season – haven’t won a title since 2011.

World Series Favorites

The Phillies look good and are a solid bet, but there are at least three more viable World Series contenders to give a long, hard look this year.

Los Angeles Dodgers +290

I don’t think we can seriously discuss 2024 World Series contenders without showering the L.A. Dodgers with some praise. This team has been better than anyone in baseball, as they already locked up the NL West title and as of now own the best record in the majors.

Shohei Ohtani was already considered elite before signing on with Los Angeles this past summer, but he’s taken his game to a whole new level. He smashes 50+ home runs for the first time in his career, and also racked up an insane 57 steals.

That 50-50 season was of the historic variety, and if you bet on Shohei Ohtani prop bets before the season started, it’s safe to say you made out okay. Naturally, Ohtani alone makes the Dodgers a very tough out come playoff time. I didn’t even touch on the rest of this loaded roster, which features the always efficient Freddie Freeman and the versatile Mookie Betts.

Overall, Ohtani powered an offense that ranked 3rd in home runs, 2nd in runs scored, 2nd in walks, and first in OPS. Simply put, the Dodgers were the most complete offensive team in baseball, and it showed with an insane 144 run differential – second in the MLB.

Defensively, the Dodgers remained solid. They posted the 13th best collective ERA, ranked 14th in runs allowed, and racked up the 12th most strikeouts. Those weren’t elite numbers, but in a year where Walker Buehler regressed and Clayton Kershaw wasn’t always available, I’d say they fared pretty darn well.

Kershaw has yet to pack it in for 2024, too. The team also acquired Jack Flaherty in the middle of the year, and his presence may make Kershaw’s status a non-issue. Still, with the aging southpaw possibly an option for L.A.’s title run, they could be a screaming value at their +290 World Series odds.

New York Yankees +400

An even better value just might be the pinstripes, as New York did well to fend off the pesky Baltimore Orioles to secure first place in the AL East.

The Yanks got off to a hot start early in the year, endured an epic slide, and bounced back to finish relatively strong down the stretch.

Through it all, Aaron Judge (54 home runs) and Juan Soto combined to give New York one of the best scoring duos in baseball. The Yankees unsurprisingly ranked first in the majors in home runs, had the third most runs, and walked more than anyone.

New York’s dominant offense helped pace the league in run differential (150), and their bats alone make them a tough team to bet against come playoff time.

As far as defense, the Yanks were a bit better than expected despite not being at full strength all year long. Gerrit Cole was still good when he was out there, and while Carlos Rodon had some rough patches, he closed the year with 195 Ks and a 16-9 record.

Luis Gil also impressed, while Nestor Cortes, Clarke Schmidt, and even Marcus Stroman had their moments for a pitching staff that combined for the league’s 6th best ERA (3.74). New York’s defense also ranked 4th in strikeouts and gave up the 10th fewest runs on the year.

Of course, what it all comes down to for New York is if those powerful bats can show up when it matters most. To this point, that hasn’t happened, as the Yanks haven’t made it back to the World Series since 2009.

Could this finally be the year Aaron Judge and co. realize their potential? If so, you’re getting this home run-hitting crew at an arguable discount.

Houston Astros +650

The Houston Astros may be cheaters, but there is no denying how good they can be. Their offensive talent has gone nowhere, even with the actual faces on the roster changing a bit over the years.

Health has been a factor and Houston did get off to a slow start, but they rallied and ended up winning the AL West. Considering the positive momentum they’ve gained over the past few months, it’s awfully difficult to write them off at this +650 price tag.

Houston was not the most dominant offense in the league, but they were still very good, ranking 10th in home runs and 10th in runs scored.

The Astros made their money on the rubber, though. As good as their offense could be in doses, they overcame some dry spells and injuries via their pitching.

Veteran pitcher Justin Verland was underwhelming across 16 starts, but he got bailed out by some solid young pitching. Hunter Brown (179 strikeouts) developed nicely, while Framber Valdez (2.91 ERA) and Ronel Blanco (2.80) both were a big reason Houston allowed the 7th fewest runs in baseball.

The starting rotation isn’t quite as existing as it once was, but the future is bright. Josh Hader rounds out an underrated staff that could tap into that long-term ability as soon as their 2024 playoff run. If that ends up being the case, Houston could end up proving a lot of people wrong – and making some bettors look very smart.contender.

Best World Series Betting Value

There is a ton of World Series betting value to get excited about here, but once we get to the middle of the pack, nobody stands out more than the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Brew Crew has been one of those teams everyone assumed would fade as the season wore on, but they held firm and won the NL Central crown. A big reason for their success has been their ability to simply get on base (10th in OPS), and once there, they can fly.

Milwaukee ranked second in steals during the regular season, and they were aided further by registering the third most walks in the league. While the Brewers were fantastic at getting on base and dominating with their elite base-running, don’t knock their power (15th in HR), or their ability to drive in runs (5th in runs and 6th in RBI).

Whether or not their style of offense is sustainable is a valid question to raise. In past years, Milwaukee would make it to the MLB playoffs and flounder immediately due to a weak offense.

It’s better than it was last year, but they’re still down a key bat in Christian Yelich. If the offense can’t show up, they will definitely need their no-name pitching crew to play lights out.

That isn’t to say the Brewers are loaded with scrubs. They’re just a bunch of would-be cast-offs that have banded together to form a better than expected staff. Freddy Peraltz (11-9 with 200 Ks) is the big ace to trust here, but it admittedly gets a little bleak after that.

Still, youngster Tobias Myers (8-6 with a 3.09 ERA) flashed potential, while veterans like Frankie Montas and Aron Civale have been reborn since being added to the roster. In all, Milwaukee enjoyed the league’s 5th best collective ERA, allowed the 5th fewest runs, and tied for second in saves (53).

The Brewers probably aren’t equipped to outlast the powerful teams if their pitching can’t keep it close. But as far as methodical pitching and timely offense goes, they’re live to mess things up at their +1550 price.

Top World Series Longshot

Maybe you consider the Brewers a longshot. If so, obviously I like them quite a bit. A team with worst World Series odds bettors should also keep in mind, though, is the Detroit Tigers.

A complete afterthought before the season began, the Tigers weren’t on anyone’s radar for much of this season. In fact, they were so far out of the World Series conversation that they were selling off pieces around the MLB trade deadline.

As fate would have it, though, the Tigers got hot over the last couple of months, and their meteoric in-season rise coincided with a significant collapse by the Minnesota Twins.

They barely made the cut, but they finished in second place in the AL Central, and have quickly morphed into a team nobody wants to face in the 2024 MLB playoffs.

Detroit has flaws, to be sure. You won’t find them inside the top-10 in a lot of key offensive stats, but they do pack a punch from a power perspective, and they have some interesting young talent that seems poised to make some noise.

Of course, it’s their pitching you should be excited about. The idea with the Tigers – if you’re into taking on some risk and riding a fun narrative – is that their pitching will carry them, and the offense will show up as needed.

It’s not a crazy notion, especially when you consider how unhittable ace Tarik Skubal has been (18-4 with 228 Ks and a 2.39 ERA) all season. The team doesn’t have Jack Flaherty anymore, but they have some young guys that have grouped together to form a solid pitching rotation.

This bet is all about narrative and momentum, to be clear. Detroit isn’t the best team in baseball, and they certainly aren’t the most talented or most experienced. But they’re on fire, and sometimes getting into a groove – particularly come playoff time – is more important than anything else.

Who Will Win The 2024 MLB World Series?

The Phillies are understandable favorites. The Dodgers and Yankees are right there with them. If you want to bet on these teams, nobody will blame you. However, I see one team that stands out as a problematic matchup for anyone, and in all capacities.

That’d be none other than the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Brew Crew can hit homers, they rack up walks, and they flat out can get on base with regularity. Once there, they can run the bases as well as anyone, and they know how to get guys in.

If their offense can find its groove in the playoffs, they’re going to be a problem. I also like that they have an ace to lean on, and that the rest of their rotation is filled with seasoned veterans with a chip on their shoulder and something to prove.

Looking at the numbers, the Brewers have everything you’d need in a title contender. They even have a fun narrative, as the team that GM Craig Counsell abandoned for an in-division rival.

Even better? Their +1550 World Series odds are absurd. I’d shop around for the best price possible, but at anything close to that, the Brewers feel like a slam dunk.

2024 World Series Prop Bets

The following World Series prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:

Which League Will Win the 2024 World Series?

• American League +110
• National League -140

You’re obviously getting a bit more value with the AL, but my top 2024 World Series pick is from the National League.

If you don’t agree with me and want to bet on someone else other than the Brewers, the good news is they’re in the same league as two of the biggest favorites – Philly and Los Angeles.

One way or another, I really do prefer the NL side. The -140 odds aren’t amazing, but all things considered, they’re also not that bad.

Will There Be a First Time World Series Winner?

• Yes +850
• No -1600

This is a tough one just because if we’re talking about raw numbers, the odds are pretty low. That said, the Milwaukee Brewers have yet to win a World Series, and I do think this will be their year.

If like the San Diego Padres chances, too, then this inflated price tag gives you two different teams for it to hit. Regardless, my pick to win the 2024 World Series is Milwaukee. Rolling with them gives you better odds, but this bet could give you some safety.

Which State Wins The 2024 World Series?

• California +225
• The Field +340
• New York +350
• Pennsylvania +375
• Texas +1000
• Ohio +1100
• Missouri +3000

California has the Dodgers and the Padres, but they could end up facing each other in the NLDS. So, that hinders the chances of the CA betting option hitting. New York has the Mets and Yankees, which is a solid option because they wouldn’t potentially meet until the World Series.

Pennsylvania features just the Phillies, while Texas has the Astros, Ohio has the Guardians, and Missouri has the Royals. That leaves The Field with the Brewers, Orioles and Tigers. Unfortunately, Baltimore and Detroit play each other in the AL Wild Card Round.

Although we like the Brewers to win the World Series, let’s hedge our bet by taking another option in this World Series prop. New York is the only option with two or more teams that don’t play each other prior to the World Series. So, we’re taking The Big Apple as our hedge bet with this prop.

Recent World Series Champions

The following is a list of recent World Series Champions:

Year	Team	# Won
2023	Texas Rangers	1
2022	Houston Astros	2
2021	Atlanta Braves	4
2020	Los Angeles Dodgers	7
2019	Washington Nationals	1
2018	Boston Red Sox	9
2017	Houston Astros	2
2016	Chicago Cubs	3
2015	Kansas City Royals	2
2014	San Francisco Giants	8